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Nifty may test 3600-3700 levels: Ashwani Gujral
Published on Mon, Jul 13, 2009 at 09:47   |  Updated at Tue, Jul 14, 2009 at 09:24  |  Source : CNBC-TV18

Technical Analyst Ashwani Gujral said that there is still weakness in the market and that the pullback will end at 4090 level. He added that the Nifty may see 3600-3700 levels soon.

Also read: Global mkts to be ranged on mixed economic data: Blackstone


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Here is a verbatim transcript of the exclusive interview with Ashwani Gujral on CNBC-TV18. Also watch the accompanying video.

Q: Do you play for a pullback to 4,200 or do you think 3,800 is easier to predict?

A: On Friday, we tried pulling back, went up to 4,130 but the pullback failed before the target was achieved. So that sort of shows that there is still weakness in the market. There was good news, again the market fell. So I think all pullbacks would now end around 4,090 and for this market, the next strong support is around 3,870. I feel that markets move in excesses. So you may see those 3,600–3,700 levels. So people should not expect to get-off lightly on this one.

Q: If your call is that it may get a lot worse for the market right now, even in today’s trade if we get a down-start you would open up a short on the Nifty you are saying?

A: It is often not a smart idea to short once the market is down 160 but clearly the bias is towards the short side. Where you want to short is more of a tactical kind of call. You would probably short now on all rallies towards 4,000. So if you are carrying shorts from Friday, you are fine but fresh shorts probably should wait for some kind of uptick. You keep getting these intraday rallies where you can go short around 4,000.

Q: What about a couple of those smaller IT stocks like Subex, Azure and MindTree? Do you track any of those?

A: I don’t track those but the technology may hold-up but it is not likely to go up against the market. So people should be cautious of even entering technology because below 4,000, the fall will be demoralizing. So you cannot expect technology to bail you out.

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