May 29, 2012, 10.07 AM IST

Tata Motors Q4 PAT seen up 70% at Rs 4200 cr

Tata Motors is going to announce its fourth quarter results. According to CNBC-TV18 company's Q4 consolidated revenue seen up 41% at Rs 50400 crore versus 35610 crore (YoY).

Source: Moneycontrol.com
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Tata Motors is going to announce its fourth quarter results. According to CNBC-TV18 company's Q4 consolidated revenue seen up 41% at Rs 50400 crore versus 35610 crore (YoY).


Its consolidated EBITDA seen up 68% at Rs 7520 crore versus Rs 4471 crore and OPM is seen at 15% versus 12.5% (YoY).


The company's consolidated  PAT is seen up 70% at Rs 4200 crore versus Rs 2460 crore (YoY).


However, on standalone basis its revenue is seen up 13% at Rs 16550 crore versus Rs 14600 crore (YoY).


Its standalone EBITDA seen down 11% at Rs 1100 crore versus Rs 1246 crore and OPM seen at 6.5% versus 8.8% (YoY).


The company's standalone PAT seen down 36% at Rs 400 crore versus 627crore (YoY).


JLR (in GBP MLN ) YoY


Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) revenue is seen up 48% at 4050 versus 2738.


EBITDA seen up 2X at 787 versus 393 (versus 752 mn in Q3)


Its OPM seen at 19.2% versus 14.4% and PAT seen up 68% at 480 versus 287.


 


Key factors to watch


  • The company is likely to surprise positively in earnings with the big story being JLR's volume growth and continued
  • deterioration in domestic earnings similair to last quarter.
  • Analysts are expecting company to report highest quarterly earnings within Sensex.
  • Also, street has not adjusted completely to bumper margins by JLR during Dec 11.
  • Its consolidated sales to increase 41% YoY driven by JLR volume growth of 42% YoY ( up 14% QoQ ).
  • The big kicker came in March when JLR volumes grew 51% YoY to 36471 units due to Evoque volumes of 9200. Also
  • ex-evoque, sales were up 13% YoY, compared to 2-3% growth over January and February indicating strong growth
  • across product lines.
  • However, standalone operations to register YoY decline due to muted margins in domestic business, slowdown in CV
  • sales and high marketing expense in PV segment.
  • JLR margins to expand sequentially due to operating leverage, better geographic mix and currency benefits.
  • Successful launch of new products like LR evoque and rising contribution from better margin countries like China will
  • aid JLR this quarter.
  • Most analysts have scaled up their FY13 JLR volume to 18% growth to 376000 versus 315000 earlier.

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