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Jul 12, 2012, 08.23 AM IST
Housing finance company HDFC is expected to report a growth of 18% year-on-year in its profit after tax of Rs 999 crore for the quarter ended June 2012, according to CNBC-TV18 estimates.
Net interest income is likely to spike 28% to Rs 1,274 crore in the first quarter of financial year 2012-13 as against Rs 998 crore in a year ago period.
Net interest income growth helped by healthy 19-20% growth in loans and a 19-20% growth in disbursements
In fourth quarter of FY12, net interest income rose 29% YoY to Rs 1,681 crore
Analysts on average expect spreads around 2.27%
Net interest margins are likely to be steady around 4.2% to 4.3%. Loan re-pricing of teaser loans should help margins. Year-on-year margins will be higher, but QoQ the margins should look lower because typically Q4 sees the highest margins.
Net interest margin stood at 4.4% and 3.3% in the fourth quarter and first quarter of previous financial year, respectively.
Analysts expect a steady loan growth of 18% to 20% to continue. In the previous quarter, loan book grew by 20% to Rs 1.4 lakh crore. Approvals increased by 20% and disbursements went up by 18%.
Watch out for lower non-interest income due to lower fee income + sale from investments (Rs 20 crore) and lower dividend income as the HDFC Bank dividend will accrue in Q2 only.
In Q4 FY12, fee income declined 23% to Rs 60 crore and sale from investments went down by 40% to Rs 79 crore. Dividend rose by 7% to Rs 62 crore.
Asset quality will continue to be healthy
In the fourth quarter of previous financial year, gross non-performing assets (NPA) fell 3 basis points to 0.74%
Profit growth might be restricted to 17 to 18% due to lower dividend and treasury income
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