Accumulate HDFC Bank; target of Rs 510: PLilladher

Published on Fri, Jan 20, 2012 at 15:36 |  Source : Moneycontrol.com

Updated at Fri, Jan 20, 2012 at 15:53  

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Accumulate HDFC Bank; target of Rs 510: PLilladher

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Prabhudas Lilladher is bullish on HDFC Bank and has recommended accumulate rating on the stock with a target of Rs 510 in its January 19, 2012 research report.

"HDFC Bank (HDFCB) continues to deliver consistent +30% PAT growth, with robust asset quality trend. Strong ROA improvement has aided HDFCB to deliver +30% PAT growth despite ~25% b/s growth over FY10-12. Though growth could remain <22- 23% in FY13, HDFCB could potentially deliver +30% PAT growth with possible margin improvement and credit costs levers. We have increased our earnings by 2- 3% and PT to Rs510/share and maintain our 'Accumulate' rating. We prefer HDFCB over Kotak Bank among defensives as we expect relatively better ROA resilience for HDFCB in a normalised credit cost scenario."

"Retail segment aided ~22% YoY growth, with HDFCB paring down growth (2% sequential contraction) in the bulk corporate book due to low spreads. Repricing and high proportion of retail-lending aided yields. With the rate cycle likely to reverse, we expect marginal improvement in margins, though management expects limited margin impact. Slippages have remained stable sequentially and management is not seeing any significant stress points even now. Given low NPA accretion over the last 7-8 qtrs, management expects lower recoveries/write-offs, going forward, which could lead to marginally higher net accretion to NPAs; however they do not see any material negative surprises in the near term. HDFCB added ~Rs0.7bn to their floating provision book (~Rs11bn currently) which will provide a huge cushion when the cycle turns," says Prabhudas Lilladher research report.    

Public holding more than 90% in Indian cos

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To read the full report click on the attachment

  

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