Accumulate Gateway Distriparks; tgt of Rs 163: PLilladher

Published on Sat, Feb 04, 2012 at 09:51 |  Source : Moneycontrol.com

Updated at Sat, Feb 04, 2012 at 10:05  

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Accumulate Gateway Distriparks; tgt of Rs 163: PLilladher

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Prabhudas Lilladher is bullish on Gateway Distriparks and has recommended accumulate rating on the stock with a target of Rs 163 in its February 1, 2012 research report.

"Gateway Distriparks' (GDL's) standalone revenues stood at Rs562m, a growth of 8% YoY; however, down 7% QoQ. The sequential decline was mainly on account of a ~12% drop in volumes at Mumbai CFS, cushioned a bit by an improvement in realizations (+7% QoQ). Higher dwell time in Q3FY12 (~12 days) as against ~11 days in Q2FY12 propped up realizations. EBITDA margins were flat on a QoQ basis at 57.1% compared to 56.8% in Q2FY12. Consequently, PAT stood at Rs206m, down 10% YoY and 9% QoQ."

"Overall, CFS volumes declined 9% QoQ to 79,347 TEUs on account of a 12% sequential decline in Mumbai CFS volumes. Despite JNPT port volumes growing ~2.5% QoQ, GDPL's Mumbai CFS witnessed a 12% decline in volumes, indicating a loss of market share for the company this quarter. However, a 8% sequential improvement in blended CFS realizations resulted only in a marginal drop in CFS revenues QoQ (-1%). Management indicated that the Cochin CFS at Vallarpadam is almost ready and is expected to start partial operations within a month. Also, the company remains bullish on the prospects of the Chennai CFS market and is actively scouting for a land parcel to expand CFS capacity in this market."

"Rail business continued its steady performance of H1FY12 in Q3FY12 as well. On account of the company's rakes operating at near peak utilizations, the company is guiding to add 6-8 rakes in the next fiscal to grow the rail business. GDL remains upbeat on the rail business, and has guided for a capex of ~Rs1.3bn for FY13 in this vertical. There has been some positive movement on the approvals front at the Assauti terminal in Faridabad and thus with regulatory uncertainty subsiding, GDL now expects the terminal to be commissioned by July 2013. We expect the rail business to drive revenue growth for the company, going forward."

"We continue to value the CFS and the cold chain business at PER of 13x FY13 which gives us a value of Rs132/share. Further, we are valuing the rail business at P/B of 1.25, with a 10% holding company discount. Our SOTP-based target price works out to Rs162. We maintain 'Accumulate' on the stock," says Prabhudas Lilladher research report.   

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To read the full report click on the attachment

  

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