Strategies to trade mkts, commodities, currencies this week

Experts speak on the way the markets have rallied during the week

Stephen Roach, Chairman, Morgan Stanley Asia, said, "For the first time in 12 years, I have been optimistic about India than China. The reason being that India has made good improvements in the recent years from the standpoint of macro development, especially higher savings, increased foreign direct investment, and a massive improvement in infrastructure's share of GDP."

"From the standpoint of India, you have got massive government Budget deficit. External capital flow have been hit in the past one-and-a-half year. The government, politicians need to seize the moment and take the initiative."

Jonathan Garner, Chief Asian and Emerging Market Equity Strategist, Morgan Stanley, said, "We have upgraded India to overweight along with other markets in the region. It is the key outperformer this year and the growth is proving very resilient in a global context. You have very positive political dynamics that has unfolded here in India which is a catalyst for the people here to really get involved. Hence, we are seeing increasing flows from our global client into the Indian market."

"What we have seen throughout the year is the building of fund flows towards the emerging markets. Year-to-date, we have had over USD 40 billion of net inflows to various emerging markets funds that we track."

Sanjay Shah, MD and Head-Institutional Sales, Morgan Stanley, said, "What has happened post the election results is that most large global long-only funds, who were waiting for results to come out and get some more clarity, have decided to go overweight on Indian equities. Some are in the process of doing so and some have already started doing so. That is where the incremental amount of interest is coming from. Global hedge funds have been increasing their exposure to India post the election results, but it is not as much hedging as there is more fresh interest built into Indian equities."

Ridham Desai, MD and Head-Equities, Morgan Stanley, said, "Our bull case does call for a significant room on the upside. That is predicated on the policy response from the government if it exceeds current expectations. Our bull case for this year is somewhere around 19,500 which is not very far from where we were at the peak of 2008."