Jul 12, 2012, 08.23 AM IST

Sell ITC; expect -5% volume growth in FY13: Espirito Santo

Nitin Mathur, consumer research analyst, Espirito Santo, says that volume growth in FY13 is a concern, considering 12% price hike which the company has undertaken to off set excise duty which came in the Union Budget.

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Nitin Mathur, consumer research analyst, Espirito Santo, says that volume growth in FY13 is a concern, considering 12% price hike which the company has undertaken to off set excise duty which came in the Union Budget. ITC is a great business but the stock has run up quite a bit far from our fair value of Rs 200.


Below is the edited transcript of his interview to CNBC-TV18. Also watch the accompanying video.


Q: How detrimental would this hike in VAT in UP be for ITC?


A: Volume growth in FY13 is a concern, considering 12% price hike which the company has undertaken to off set excise duty which came in the Union Budget. ITC is a great business but the stock has run up quite a bit far from our fair value of Rs 200. We remain nervous around such news and hence we maintain a sell rating on ITC.


Q: What is your volume growth and stock price target?


A: Expect minus 5% volume growth in FY13 and Rs 200 as fair value.


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