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Rajesh Tambe, Research Partner, Suresh Rathi said to Moneycontrol.com, "The weakness in the US activity and the financial volatility in the Euro Zone will result into a mild slow down of global output which in turn will lead to overall slowdown in the global markets.
Rajesh Tambe, Research Partner, Suresh Rathi said to Moneycontrol.com, "The weakness in the US activity and the financial volatility in the Euro Zone will result into a mild slow down of global output which in turn will lead to overall slowdown in the global markets.
Oil prices moving up and demand for it also going up are some good signs of recovery for the US economy. Also there are no evident signs to prove that US may get into double dip recession.
The Indian markets will remain volatile till the month of September 2011.
Factors to watch
a. The rate of fiscal expansion will be slow
b. Credit growth increase is not the true reflection of the economy as credit is not directly related to GDP. It only acts as lubricant. The increase in percentage is also because of inflation.
c. Inflation still remains a great concern of worry.
d. The increase in interest rates is basically done, to dampen the demand which eventually will ease the commodity prices. By doing this one can't see quick results; these actions will always have a delayed effect .The results could be seen towards the end of 2011.
e. Scams, corruption and poor governance if not addressed properly could see a shift in investments to overseas markets, even big banks in India (private sector) can take there money for investments to the overseas markets.