Bear of the Day: Stock that rose 24% in 3 days

Published on Mon, Mar 07, 2011 at 16:08 |  Source : Moneycontrol.com

Updated at Mon, Mar 07, 2011 at 17:20  

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Bear of the Day: Stock that rose 24% in 3 days

Essar Shipping Ports & Logistics gained 2.80% or Rs 2.50 to end at Rs 91.85 on the BSE. It touched an intraday high of Rs 98.25 and an intraday low of Rs 90. There were pending sell orders of 447 shares, with no buyers available. The total traded volumes were of 766,860 shares. However, it rose 24.29% in last 3 days.

The company touched its 52-week high Rs 136.25 and 52-week low Rs 71.95 on 09 Aug, 2010 and 04 Mar, 2010, respectively. Currently, it is trading -32.59% below its 52-week high and 27.66% above its 52-week low. Its market capitalisation stands at Rs 5,655.05 crore.

Earlier in the week, the Gujarat High Court approved a scheme of arrangement of de-merger of shipping, logistics and oil fields services businesses of Essar Shipping Ports & Logistics Ltd. The company said in a statement that the demerger will create two separate entities i.e. Essar Ports Ltd (existing ESPLL) and Essar Shipping Ltd. Both the companies would be listed on the NSE and BSE. The scheme also includes a merger of two wholly owned investment subsidiaries into ESPLL. The scheme of arrangement will become effective upon completion of certain statutory formalities.

Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Rajiv Agarwal, CEO and MD of Essar Shipping Ports and Logistics said, "In a month's time the whole process will get completed and the companies will get demerged. Then in another month or so, the new company, Essar Shipping, will get relisted. That's the process going forward."

He expects the debt in the ports to be in the region of Rs 4000 crore and in the shipping business to be around Rs 4500 crore by the end of March 31.

Also read: Eye topline growth of about 15% in FY12: Essar Shipping

What analyst said?

SP Tulsian, sptulsian.com expects a 50% rise from current levels in Essar Shipping's stock price. Tulsian said, "I think the recent high court approval of the restructuring move will lead to the company getting bifurcated into two. One is that the shipping logistic and oil field services will go into one company that is Essar Shipping of which one share will be given to the shareholder for every three shares held in this company. Second will be Essar Port of which the existing company will be renamed as Essar Ports - three shares will become two shares in this post restructuring move. So a shareholder who is holding at present three shares in the company will be holding two shares of Essar Ports and one share of Essar Shipping after this restructuring."

He further added, "If you look at Essar Ports, this will be the second largest private sector port in the country. If I take the valuation or the market cap of Mundra Port it is right now at about Rs 27,000-27,500 crore while the entire company of Essar Shipping or Essar Ports & Logistics that it is called now has a market cap of close to about Rs 5,000 crore. I see huge value because the capacity of Essar Ports will be increased from 76 million tonne of crude receiving and dispatch capacity to about 156 million tonne by 2013."

"Similar is the case with Essar Shipping in which they would be having shipping, logistic and oil field services because they will be having oil rigs, the cargo ship and everything. So on a sum-of-parts basis if you are buying three shares today for about Rs 245 I see huge value maybe coming up post this restructuring move and one can expect an appreciation close to about 50% because restructuring is likely to happen in the next couple of months. Maybe the new entity that is Essar shipping will get listed probably in three months time. So maybe in six months one can expect a price of about 50% rise from hereon taking the valuation of both the companies."
 
Peer comparison:

Company

Last Price (Rs)

Market Cap (Rs in Cr)

Sales Turnover  (Rs in Cr)

PAT  (Rs in Cr)

Essar Shipping

91.75

5648.89

1028.21

90

Pipavav

80.4

5353.02

-

-

Shipping Corp

105

4890.89

4166.64

940.67

GE Shipping

261.2

3977.81

2055.46

395.75

ABG Shipyard

351.95

1792.19

1807.67

228.92

Mercator Lines

36

881.61

679.42

6.4

Great Offshore

232.9

867.13

1012.38

176.18

BharatiShipyard

142.8

432.82

1348.09

138.45

Varun Shipping

27.1

406.52

896.65

12.55

Seamec

103.15

349.68

424.84

203.9

  

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