Jan 01, 2013, 05.59 PM | Source: Moneycontrol.com

Bulls begin 2013 on a high; realty, banks lift Sensex 154

The market began the calendar on an upbeat note, as sentiment was boosted by the fiscal deal in US which helped avoid the much talked about 'cliff' for now.

Moneycontrol Bureau

The market began the calendar on an upbeat note, as sentiment was boosted by the fiscal deal in US which helped avoid the much talked about “cliff” for now.

The Senate approved a last-minute deal early Tuesday morning to scale back USD 600 billion in scheduled tax hikes and government spending cuts that threatened to push the economy into recession.

Investors chased metal and banking shares, lifting the Sensex by 154 points to 19580. The Nifty rose 46 points to close at 5950. Hindalco, Jindal Steel, Tata Steel, ICICI Bank and SBI were among the big gainers, rising 2-3 percent.

Laggards were mostly from the IT, pharma and FMCG sectors.

Realty shares were the star performers among midcaps as investors are betting that a likely reduction in interest rates will boost demand for residential property. Shares of DLF, Unitech, HDIL, Parvsnath Developers, Indiabulls Real Estate and Oberoi Realty gained 2-4 percent.

Geosphere lists out 4 key risks to Indian equities in 2013

"Given the expectations of 50 basis point-cut (100 basis points equals 1 percent) in interest rates in the next one year, we expect demand (for real estate) to improve on higher affordability,” said a recent report by Crisil Independent Equity Research “This will also provide some respite from the high interest costs and boost earnings. As a result, we expect valuation multiples to improve and return to historical levels of FY09-10,"  the report said.

A section of the market is skeptical if the market can sustain its recent gains, given the worsening macro-economic environment.

"We expect Current Account Deficit to print 4.3% of GDP in FY2013 (previous estimate 4.2%). With stable risk conditions globally, we expect the BoP (Balance of Payment) deficit to be restricted to USD 5.6 billion," said a report by Kotak Securities today.

"The risk however emanates from (1) global risks of a US fiscal cliff and uncertainties regarding the European sovereign debt crisis leading to lower capital flows to India and (2) domestic uncertainties-political and economic (Union Budget 2013-14)," the report added.

Domestic institutions were net sellers of equities in 2012, making foreign funds critical if the market has to build on its recent gains. And some economists worry that the rupee could slowly start coming under pressure.

"Unless the government takes solid steps to tackle the fiscal deficit and improve the investment climate on which we are skeptical given it is a pre-election year our bias in 2013 (particularly in H2) will be to build on a long USD/INR(Indian rupee) position. We expect USD/INR at 54.5 by March 2013, 56.0 in June 2013 and 59.0 by December 2013," said a note by Nomura.

Indian equity benchmarks gained more than 0.8 percent after the US Senate passed the fiscal cliff Bill. The broader markets too participated in the rally with the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices rising 1 percent each.

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Nifty lodged itself on top on 5900 after Washington averted fiscal cliff by agreeing to raise taxes of the rich for the first time in two decades. The news was well received by Indian stock markets.

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The BSE benchmark Sensex surged by 152 points on the first trading session of 2013 on the back of buying after US policymakers reached an agreement to avert the imminent fiscal cliff of wide-reaching tax hikes and deep spending cuts in the world's biggest economy.

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Equities began New Year on a buoyant note, with the Sensex rallying 150 points in early trade.

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Stock markets opened on a promising note on the first trading day of 2013 with the BSE benchmark Sensex rising over 132 points in early trade on increased buying by funds as well as retail investors.

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