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Mukul Pal, CEO, Orpheus Capital, feels this time some emerging markets (
For
Also Read: See Sensex in 8-10K range in H1 FY10: BNP Paribas Sec
Here is a verbatim transcript of the exclusive interview with Mukul Pal on CNBC-TV18. Also watch the accompanying video.
Q: Just on an overall basis, if you could comment on let us say the Dow and the FTSE perhaps our own markets Nifty and Sensex – from a retracement perspective would you say that we are out of a bear rally or do you believe this is just a very strong rally within the bear market but we are pretty much still in that phase?
A: After we have fallen for about two-years, it is tough to say from one point that we are in a new trend. So what we seeing is surely a bounceback from an extremely oversold prices and what we believe is that these are the prices or this is the time from where some emerging markets might start showing relative out performance compared to some of the other markets in the world.
So we believe that Dow should also find some turndown from here. We think that 8,000-8,200 are tough to breach and this March rally should somewhere stop here and we should see a dip now from about 3,100 from NSE Nifty and first week of April we should start to rise again till mid-May from where we should fall again in June.
So we are still going to bottom till about June worldwide from where the 12-15 month rally should start.
Q: What kind of bottoms are you looking at? Are you looking at 2,500 getting breached?
A: For
Q: Would
A: Yes I think so.
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