Bullish on India, will buy if market falls: Morgan Stanley

In the pecking order of risk from a halt in Quantitative Easing (QE), India features as a country with moderate risk, compared to other emerging economies.
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Jun 18, 2013, 01.29 PM | Source: Moneycontrol.com

Bullish on India, will buy if market falls: Morgan Stanley

In the pecking order of risk from a halt in Quantitative Easing (QE), India features as a country with moderate risk, compared to other emerging economies.

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Bullish on India, will buy if market falls: Morgan Stanley

In the pecking order of risk from a halt in Quantitative Easing (QE), India features as a country with moderate risk, compared to other emerging economies.

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Moneycontrol Bureau

Brokerage house Morgan Stanley says the leading indicators for equity returns are in good shape, and that it would be a buyer in the event of a market fall.

According to Morgan Stanley, the three key concerns on Indian equities have been high FII ownership and positions especially in the context of any risk off, the market's complacency about tail risks; and adverse political developments.

The brokerage says that FII ownership and positions have reduced after the sell-off  on concerns over the Fed stimulus being scaled down.

"Both may have a bit more to fall before one can say that their overhang has completely gone away," said Morgan Stanley strategists Ridham Desai, Sheela Rathi, and Utkarsh Khandelwal in their note clients.

They, however, added in the pecking order of risk from a halt in Quantitative Easing (QE), India featured as a country with moderate risk, compared to other emerging economies.

"Leading indicators for equity returns (real rates, earnings, liquidity, sentiment and valuations) are in good shape though global liquidity has tempered at the margin," said the Morgan Stanley note.

"The conviction level of market participants is constantly challenged, though, because confirmatory signals remain feeble. We are a buyer of this fall," the note said.

Also read: More FII outflows likely: Dalton Capital

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