Oct 12, 2012, 09.42 PM IST

Credit Suisse raises average price outlooks for crude, gold

Credit Suisse has raised its 2013 average price forecasts for crude oil, saying that while prices will trade in a range until 2015, they should move into the upper half of that range next year.

Source: Reuters

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Credit Suisse raises average price outlooks for crude, gold

Credit Suisse has raised its 2013 average price forecasts for crude oil, saying that while prices will trade in a range until 2015, they should move into the upper half of that range next year.

It raised its 2013 Brent crude forecast to USD 115 per barrel from USD 103 per bbl, and for West Texas Intermediate to USD 106.00 per bbl from USD 97 per bbl.

"Though oil demand should continue to recover modestly, swing-producer Saudi Arabia is likely to continue to massage supply (with or without the aid of strategic petroleum inventories) so that prices do not stray far from their 'acceptable' price range", the bank said in a note dated October 12.

It also raised its 2013 average price forecast for gold to USD 1,840 per ounce from USD 1,720 p er oz, and for silver to USD 33.10 per oz from USD 29.20 per oz.

"In light of the Fed's open-ended commitment to asset purchases, the shift in language on rates, and the potential for an additional program of Treasury buying once Operation Twist expires, we have shifted our gold forecast moderately upwards and outwards," it said.

Among base metals, the bank raised its average 2013 price outlooks across the board, except for nickel for which it retained its previous forecast.

The bank said central bank easing and improved macroeconomic sentiment had caused a rally among base metals, but an improvement in real demand was required to hold on to recent gains.

"Outside of demand, a major influence on base metals is the shortage of available metal in LME warehouses and the supply response to rebounding prices," it added.