Jun 21, 2012, 08.54 AM IST

US markets close flat; commodities extend fall

US markets ended flat as Federal Reserve could not announce any QE3. Commodities corrected further today.

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By Gautam Broker, Research Analyst at CNBC-TV18


**Fed delivers along market expectations; muted reaction as a decision already priced in


Fed says


- Extends Operation Twist by USD 267 billion for 6 months; it will now halt at end 2012 as against June 30 earlier


- Cuts GDP forecast range for 2012 to 1.9 - 2.4% from 2.4 - 2.9% earlier


- Unemployment forecast now at 8 - 8.2% as against 7.8 - 8% earlier


- Inflation expectations remain largely unchanged


- Language Change: Open to further easing 


“The Committee is prepared to take further action as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery“.


**Focus back to Europe


German Chancellor Angela Merkel to agencies: No concrete plans for the ESM to purchase periphery sovereigns


Alert: Eurozone heads of state meeting will be held tomorrow; French President Francois Hollande has been pushing for purchases 


ECB officials: Rate cuts are likely to be discussed at next meeting 


Alert: ECB non governing council will be meeting today


US markets at close: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite were flat


European markets at close: DAX was up 0.5% and FTSE rose 0.6%; CAC went up 0.3%. Italy rallied 2.1% and Spain gained 1.5%


Asia Today


Nikkei moved up 0.9% whereas Hang Seng, Kospi, Straits Times, Taiwan Weighted and Shanghai were down 0.3-0.5%


Currencies


Dollar index hit a high of 81.7 post Fed while fell to 81.2 intraday. It settled at 81.58


Dollar index was largely unchanged at 81.56 today morning


Euro touched a high of 1.274 yesterday, before closing at 1.270 to the US dollar.


It was at session low of 1.267 today morning


US dollar was in the green as against Yen and Australian Dollar today 


Commodities


Brent crude was at its lowest since December 2010 that settled down over USD 3 a barrel at USD 92.7 a barrel


WTI crude closed down below USD 82 a barrel; EIA inventory moved up by 2.9 million barrels as against forecast of 1 million barrels


Crude corrected further today morning


Brent crude is currently at USD 92.2 a barrel, down 0.5% while WTI crude was down 1% at USD 80.6 a barrel


Gold was volatile yesterday; it hit intraday low of around USD 1520 an ounce post Fed, but got back above USD 1600 an ounce by close


Gold futures fell 0.9% to USD 1600 an ounce this morning


LME Copper was down around 1% yesterday


What to watch out for


EZ PMI’s, Consumer Confidence 


UK Retail Sales


US Initial jobless claims


US Existing home sales


Philadelphia Fed Index


FHFA Home Price Index


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