CNBC-TV18’s Priyanka Ghosh reports that the rate cut has evoked mixed reaction from the real estate sector. While affordable loan rates might spur demand, there are concerns that companies might derive benefits from lower rates.
The rate cut has evoked mixed reaction from the real estate sector. While affordable loan rates might spur demand, there are concerns that companies might derive undue benefits from these lower rates, reports CNBC-TV18's Priyanka Ghosh.
There is no doubt that the 50-basis point cut in rates is a ray of hope for the real estate sector. There is now an expectation that buyers who have been sitting on the fence waiting for a rate cut, will finally take the plunge and buy homes. And that developers will be encouraged to launch new projects.
However several industry experts are skeptical. A relief in the balance-sheets of companies is hardly likely. The real estate industry, which pays on an average 13% interest rate on loans, is expected to see its interest cost on an annualised basis come down by 3-4%.
For highly leveraged companies such as DLF , it will mean Rs 120 crore less in interest cost payments.
In all, according to a CNBC-TV18 estimate, the top ten listed real estate companies, with a debt burden of Rs 38,182 crore and bearing an interest cost burden of nearly Rs 5,000 crore annually, will be able to save only Rs 200 crore.
This stress in the balance sheet would have eased if the RBI had left any indication of a further reduction in rates. But unfortunately, the RBI's tone suggests quite the opposite.
So the expectation of a price reduction is low. On the contrary, some feel that prices might now increase as the trigger eagerly looked forward to, is already over.
DLF stock price
On January 28, 2015, DLF closed at Rs 162.95, up Rs 4.85, or 3.07 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 242.80 and the 52-week low was Rs 100.00.
The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 3.29 per share as per the quarter ended September 2014. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 49.53. The latest book value of the company is Rs 93.40 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 1.74.
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