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Coca-Cola gets fizz back into biz
Published on Fri, Mar 14, 2008 at 08:59   |  Updated at Thu, Mar 20, 2008 at 16:16  |  Source : CNBC-TV18

Fifteen years after its re-entered India, Coca-Cola expects to make a profit on its investments this year. CNBC-TV18's Vivian Fernandes reports after an exclusive interview with Neville Isdell, Chairman and CEO of the Coca-Cola company.

Neville Isdell is taking a break in India to spot tigers - a fitting challege for a man who pulled up the company from its trough four years ago.


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He is the man who drove coke back to India 15 years ago. But is he satisfied, because India volumes were up 14% last year against 8% internationaly?

Neville Isdell said, "Certainly in the last two years we have been very successful and we have found our feet in India."

The past 15 years have been trying times for the company in India. There have been six changes of CEOs versus three at Pepsi, which has been in India longer. The company's concentrate business is making money, the franchisee bottlers too are turning in a profit, but company owned operations, that do 70% of the business, are likely to be out of the woods this year.

Isdell quips, "We have come a long way and I would anticipate that we would be making money in India."

Isdell was recalled from retirment in 2004, after 40 years of service, to revive the company from its worst crisis in its 121-year history. He says it is not time to cry victory even though the stock has recovered from 38 dollars to around 59. He is big on sustainability, striving to recycle not only all the water that it uses, but also the resin that goes into its bottles.

"The reputational side is very important. Unless you are perceived as a reponsible company by consumers both in reality and in perception, you will not be able to flourish in the 21st century," he explains.

And in between tracking cola sales, this Irishman finds time to check in on cricket. Perhaps it is a hangover from the days he spent in Australia.

Excerpts from CNBC-TV18’s exclusive interview with Neville Isdell:

 

Q: This has also been a very difficult market for you, if I go by the instability at the top. There have been six changes of CEOs at Coca-Cola versus three at Pepsi and Pepsi has been in India longer.

 

A: There is no question that we stumbled on occasions and made some mistakes. I think where we are today is most important thing. We have learnt from a lot of our mistakes and we are moving forward and are on very strong position.

 

If you look at beverages, four of the top brands are ours. If you look at beverages overall, exclusding water, five of the top six are our brands, so we have got ourselves into a very strong position.

 

Q: But the top Cola brand is not Coca-Cola or even Pepsi. Did you expect in 1993 that Thumbs Up would remain number one?

 

A: I did and I bought Thumbs Up. I understood then that Thumbs Up, Limca and Maaza were extremely strong brands. If we were going to get critical mass in India, that was very important.

 

I also remember that in press conferences, people said that, ‘you are there just to kill both these brands and push Coca-Cola’. I said that there is a real place for Thumbs Up. If we take the Cola category, as an Indian brand, it has a spicy taste, matches Indian taste and I fully anticipate to see Thumbs Up continuing to be the number one. I am pleased to say this.

 

Q: Is India unique is this respect that a local brand is number one in the cola category?

 

A: It is fairly unique. I have just come out of Peru, where we have a brand that we have bought. It is a local brand, which goes back to the 30s, called Inca Kola. It is not in a way a real cola but is perceived as such. Inca Kola and Coca-Cola basically work neck and neck. So, that will be another example that we have. But there are not many others.

 

Q: Last February, Coca-Cola India launched a Pulpy orange drink (Minute Maid Pulpy Orange). That has been quite a success and this was the drink that was developed in China in 2003. At least, it was launched in China in 2003. It became a huge hit over there and then went to Thailand before coming to India. What lessons can you draw from that experience?

 

A: First of all that you don't develop everything back at head office in Atlanta. Innovation comes from everywhere around the world. What you have to do with that innovation is transfer it from one place to the other. Frankly, we have been good at that in the past and here is a good example of an innovation coming out of China that is now in more than three markets in the world and one or two other smaller markets and you will see that expand.

 

So, that has been extremely successful. Pulpy is today, in all the leading metropolitan areas in China, the number one orange drink.

 

Q: Despite all this adverse talk against carbonated soft drinks, they continue to remain the mainstay. How soon do you expect the center of gravity to shift to non-carbonated or so-called functional drinks?

 

A: I actually see it as two legs of a pillar. One of the questions I got asked, when I came back, was while sparkling soft drinks are not growing. With all the pressure around it, are you going to need to replace them? I said no at that time. There is tremendous growth left for sparkling and our growth rate last year was 4%. So, by putting the marketing and the stimulation behind it, we have been able to grow them again.

 

When people say that there is a problem with calories in Coca-Cola, we have got a wonderful example in terms of Coke like Diet Coke and now Coke Zero, the most successful launch we have had in 25 years. We give you a zero calorie offering. It is about consumer choice. So, that big leg of our business is growing and growing very strongly. Now, there is a major opportunity in the ‘still’ area and we are investing in that. We grew our ‘still’ beverages by 12% last year overall against 4% for sparkling, smaller base.

 

We have made some major acquisitions as well as the organic growth from Minute Maid Pulpy. We just acquired last year the largest juice manufacturer in Latin America. We are now number one in juice in Latin America, with Jugos del Valle.

 

In fact, people wouldn’t believe this, but we are number one in the world with juice. With our brands and the aggregate, we are the largest supplier of ready-to-drink juice around the world.

 

Q: Despite that, Red, black, and silver is going to be your main strategy?

 

A: Right. Red, silver and black. That is at the core. But you are going to see faster growth rates because we are coming from a smaller base, coming out of juice, tea and packaged coffee and also from value-added water. We don’t have a goal of being number one volumetrically in water because the margins are very thin. But in terms of value added water, yes we do have that goal.

 

Q: You are talking about Glaceau. That is the brand that you acquired last year for USD 4.1 billion. It has become a USD 13 billion brand in the Coca-Cola portfolio. How soon are you going to introduce smart water and vitamin water in India? Is there a market for that kind of drink here?

 

A: That market is very much at premium level. We have only gone with our first international launch of vitamin water. We launched in Australia some two weeks ago. We know that for vitamin water launch is not actually a mass launch. The way you launch that is very much a word-of-mouth, organic type of a launch. That is the way we are doing it in Australia and build it up very slowly. You will see it moving into a couple of other European markets. We have got it slated for a few European markets. It will be a little while before we bring it to India.

 

Q: Is India going to develop like the rest of the markets, carbonated soft drinks first or do you see a shift happening faster to non-carbonated?

 

A: I think it is both together. The growth comes together. I think we have to do both. This is not a question of choices between one and the other. We do not have the choice. The markets are both developing. We therefore have to be able to develop them at the same rate, and that is what you see us doing.

 

Q: There is a campaign now against bottled water in some cities of the US because some would say that bottled water is not the most environmentally efficient way of delivering drinking water. Do you see this campaign gathering momentum as in the case of junk foods or snack foods, trans-fats?

 

A: I am on camera; so I may be proven very wrong, but my personal view is that this is not going to be a major campaign. Why? First of all, tap water has always existed and does exist. Some people migrate back to tap water. It is again back to consumer choice. But the bottles are all about portability and it is very difficult to carry an open cup of water around from place to place.

 

Now there are two elements to it. One is water and water usage, and frankly that is a very minimal area of water usage. The other then is the containers. We have actually declared we are going to go for 100% recyclability of our plastic bottles in the US. That is our goal. On top of that, we actually have technology that we have developed, we have announced a very major USD 60 million investment in South Carolina for unique technology where we are able to take old bottles and actually convert that resin back into new bottles and that is very difficult because this is food contact material, we get FDA approval at a 50% level.

 

So, you have almost got this virtual closed loop. As these technological solutions come along, we can manage a major part of the criticism.

 

Q: So, you are big on sustainability, zero water balance?

 

A: Yes.

 

Q: Are you going the same way in plastics as well?

 

A: Absolutely. I think that we have to look after our planet. There is absolutely no question about it. There are still some people who say, global warming is not real. I have to think it is. That really doesn’t matter. We need to look after our planet. Therefore the degree to which we can minimise the use of resources and then reuse the resources is beneficial to us and the society.

 

I think that is all part of the responsibility of a 21st century company. The reputation side is very important. Therefore unless you are seeing bio-consumers as being a responsible member of society, both in perception and reality, I think you will not flourish in the 21st century.

 

Q: So, corporate social responsibility is not just plain PR?

 

A: No.

 

Q: Is it very integral to your brand?

 

A: Yes absolutely, and particularly for us. If you think of it, the name on the bottle is the name on the building. So, for us the linkage is very strong. There are other manufacturers and another broader name that cover all their brands. But for us it is absolutely integral. It is very important to today’s consumers. It is very important to our own employees. We know that from our own research. Our morale scores have gone up as a result of that. They are prouder to be working for the company. We also know from research that we are able to attract people into our business who would not have considered joining us before, because we are seeing now as being a responsible employer.

 

Q: Coming back to your innings at Coca-Cola, you were brought back in 2004 and at that time the company was in a decline. You had reportedly said at that time that the company had lost belief in its ability to win. Is it time to declare victory?

 

A: You never declare victory, because the moment you declare victory you have sown the first seeds of your impending defeat. Victory is something that is always out there because you have got to strive to be better and better.

 

However, I will say that when it comes to winning, the winning culture is back at The Coca-Cola Company. But the one thing that we don’t want to reoccur is a sense of complacency and even a level of arrogance. That is what we don’t want. So, we are challenging ourselves all the time.

 

Q: The Company’s stock is not at the USD 88 level. It has travelled from USD 39 to USD 59, but it is not at the USD 88 levels?

 

A: Well the USD 88 number was a P/E of 54 on a huge business. That was part of the bubble of 1998. I don’t believe that 54 P/E is really sustainable for a company of the size of The Coca-Cola Company and I think what you have got to do is normalise that. Whatever number you want to take is fine. But we have had very good growth in the last couple of years, total return to shareholders last year of 30%. So, we are ahead of the right direction again.

 

Q: Talking about earnings, I know that Coca-Cola as a company is immune to recession. But when costs are rising, commodity prices, sugar prices and aluminium price rise, is there going to be cost pressure? What I understand is that a company like Coca-Cola cannot raise its prices like the way other companies do because Coca-Cola has become almost generic?

 

A: We are still able to increase our prices. But the cost pressures are not as great as you would imagine. Sugar is one that has started moving again in the last couple of weeks. But it was flat through most of last year. But if you take aluminium has flattened to a degree and also in the US where we have high fructose corn syrup those prices have flattened.

 

So, unless something major starts happening in the tailend of this year, we don’t see the cost pressures being as bad as they were last year and we have been able to work our way through that very successfully. So, it is something we believe we can manage. We are able to take price increases. Now we are affordable in luxury but we are careful to the degree to which we do that.

 

But we can move our price as well because again it is relative. If other commodities are increasing at a faster rate, in terms of the trade-off we are better positioned.

 

Q: When you were recalled in 2004 you were not the first choice, as in the Board had the former boss of Gillette in mind, the former boss of Kellogg’s in mind as well. You had passed over, which is why you took early retirement. Are you now having the last laugh?

 

A: I am going to disagree with some of your facts. First of all, I don’t know what went on in the Boardroom. But certainly when I had retired the first time I had said, I am retiring. As to who the other choices were, the decision was made when they got around the table. That is the one that counts.

 

I wouldn’t say last laugh. I have been given a wonderful opportunity to head the company that I love very dearly; it has been my life - 42 years in the business. I have that in my hands to remould it, and to put it partly on the way to becoming great again, because we are not there yet. But with my successor in place, that can happen. He puts it beautifully. The car is back on the road, now we have to make it go faster. As I hand the keys of the car over to him, I am confident he can make it go faster. So, yes I get satisfaction out of that. But the satisfaction I really need is the spirit of the people.

 

Q: That is because you did not indulge in slash and burn?

 

A: Well I don’t believe you can save your way to prosperity. You have got to grow the topline. It’s a people business. You have got to motivate your people. People have to feel good by coming to work everyday, to feel good about what they represent. You mentioned corporate social responsibility, we in a way had a disconnect between what people do in their outside lives. But they are all involved in community activities and where the company was. So, if you connect those, you give more meaning to people’s lives. They are happier coming in the door. I am originally a social worker. So, to me, it is that human dimension, which gives me the most pleasure.

 

Q: Reviving loss-making companies and reviving a company like Coca-Cola, with an iconic brand must be pretty tough job, because you don’t have that much room for maneuverability, and not much flexibility, isn’t it?

 

A: You could argue that side of an equation, which is somewhat true. However, when you have the world’s greatest brands in your hands, even though not in the best of shape; but still the world’s greatest brand and you have a company that has free cash flow of USD 5.5 billion – it’s now about USD 2 billion more than that; then you have all that you need, to be able to move it forward again. I wouldn’t say it’s easy, but it’s been far.

 

Q: But those who say that you are not been quick with acquisitions and even job cuts?

 

A: We made some bolt on acquisitions. But frankly, the industry that we are in, fast moving consumer goods, is the fastest growing, ready to drink. It is actually the fastest growing FMCG product, the company that it groups. So why would you focus on your own industry and I believe in focus. You need to know and understand the business you are in and you see so many companies that diversify they stumble, there is something about the DNA of the company, that we need to understand, and people don’t always look at that, as they negotiate a price, about how are they going to understand the company. So if you focus at the company then you need competences, which is more people in our company had. I think, that’s the best way to spend your share holder’s money.

 

Q: Is that the reason why it didn’t diversify, into snack foods as another line of hedge?

 

A: Yes absolutely, I did with some people that advocated. We had a part of a program. All the employees were put together to tell us what was wrong because the employees understand better than me than anyone else or any consultants. When they told us what was wrong, some of the prescriptions were not doing very well with our own business, we need to go and acquire another business, and yes one of the suggestion was snack-food business, and I said, help me understand this - we are running our own business badly; now we need to go and buy another business that we don’t understand; are we going to run it better than people are there, unless we need the management from other company to run offices better. So that was the end of the debate.

 

 

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