Fertiliser sector results preview for Q3FY12: PINC Research

Published on Mon, Jan 09, 2012 at 13:53 |  Source : Moneycontrol.com

Updated at Tue, Jan 10, 2012 at 11:01  

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Fertiliser sector results preview for Q3FY12: PINC Research

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PINC Research has come with its December quarterly earning estimates for fertiliser sector. The research firm expects strong year-on-year growth in revenues driven by higher realisations, however, margins to remain under pressure due to increased raw material prices.

PINC Research earning estimates:

  • We expect strong YoY growth in revenues driven by higher realisations, however, margins to remain under pressure due to increased raw material prices.
  • Trading volumes across the sector should increase sequentially as volumes were bleak in H1FY12 due to higher international fertiliser's prices and delay in MOP contracts
  • Earnings expected to grow YoY for Deepak Fertilisers (due to higher Chemical's volume)
  • We expect new investment policy for Urea coming soon, however decision on decontrol for Urea is unlikely before March'12
  • Recent correction in international prices of fertilisers augur well for our industry as players have taken price hike of ~100% at farm-gate level for complex fertilisers in last 18months and further price hike
    looks difficult in near future.

Company Revenue PAT Reco
Rs mn QoQ% YoY% Rs mn QoQ% YoY%
Coromandel Intern 28,577 5.4 39.9 1,949 -30.1 29.6 BUY
Chambal Fertiliser 14,950 -8.7 10.5 902 -1.6 -16.1 SELL
Deepak Fertiliser 5,800 1 56.6 541 0.4 34.5 BUY
RCF 16,200 11.2 5.6 656 -15.7 -4.1 BUY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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