May 25, 2012, 05.34 PM IST

Planning to invest in banks? MOST recommends 8 stks

Motilal Oswal has come out with its report on financial space. Over the last 12 months, the regulators RBI and NHB have tightened their grip on the Indian financial sector through a spate of regulations.

Source: Moneycontrol.com
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Motilal Oswal has come out with its report on financial space. Over the last 12 months, the regulators RBI and NHB have tightened their grip on the Indian financial sector through a spate of regulations.


Over the last 12 months, the regulators (RBI and NHB) have tightened their grip on the Indian financial sector through a spate of regulations. We enumerate some of the key game changing regulations proposed/issued by the RBI/NHB:


  • Final guidelines on Basel III norms
  • Discussion paper on dynamic provisioning framework
  • De-regulation of savings deposit rate
  • Final guidelines on securitization
  • Multiple regulations for gold financiers
  • Removal of prepayment penalty and uniform rates for old and new customers for housing loans, and
  • Separate regulatory framework for microfinance institutions (MFIs).
Major impact on key segments:


  • Banks: Earnings volatility to reduce but near-term return ratios may be impacted. Profitability of mid-cap PSU banks is at higher risk; private banks would be better placed due to higher capital buffer and strong risk management practices.
  • Housing finance companies likely to remain largely unscathed due to their niche focus, robust risk management practices, and cash flow based lending.
  • Gold financiers may have to reinvent business models; growth and return ratios to decline
  • Micro finance Institutions will continue to grow at a slower pace as they transit into the new regulatory environment.
Sector view and strategy: Expect medium-term RoEs to come under pressure due to (a) higher capital requirement, and (b) stringent provisioning and asset recognition norms. Prefer market leaders with strong management and liability franchise, and superior technology. Top picks: SBIN , PNB , ICICI (large cap banks), YES, OBC (mid cap banks), and HDFC, IDFC (NBFCs).


FIIs holding more than 30% in Indian cos


Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



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