Precious, base metals, crude may trade range bound: Angel

Angel Commodities has come out with its report on international commodities. According to the research firm, precious metals, base metals and crude. oil prices are expected to trade range bound on account of expectations of cut in interest rates by the European policymakers along with decline in US unemployment claims.

• Spain auctioned 10 year bonds at 6.43 percent today.
• US crude oil inventories expected to decline 1.9 mn bbl Reuters.
• Spot Rupee depreciated by more than 1 percent today.

European equities are trading on a positive note today ahead of the expectations of cut in interest rates by the European Central Banks (ECB). Additionally, sale on bonds by Spain and France also supported upside in markets. Asian markets ended on a mixed note and US stock futures are trading on a flat note.

Spain auctioned its 10 year bonds at 6.43 percent from previous auction of 6.0.4 percent in June. Also the country sold around 3 billion Euros ($3.8 billion) of securities today. French government sold 10 year bonds at 2.5 percent rate from previous rate of 2.46 percent.

Spot gold prices gained around 0.3 percent today on the back of rise in risk appetite in the global markets. However, strength in the US Dollar Index (DX) capped further gains in gold prices. The yellow metal touched an intra-day high of $1620.60/oz and hovered around $1620.59/oz today till 4:30pm IST. On the MCX, Gold August contract gained by 0.7 percent on account of depreciation in the Indian Rupee and was trading around Rs.29,779/10 gms today.

Taking cues from rise in gold prices and mixed performance in base metals group, Spot silver prices increased 0.7 by percent today. However, a stronger DX restricted further upside in the silver prices.

The white metal touched an intra-day high of $28.32/oz and was trading at same levels today. In the Indian markets, prices increased by 0.9 percent on the back of depreciation in the Indian Rupee and hovered around Rs.53,011/kg after touching an intra-day high of Rs.53,099/kg till 4:30 pm IST today.

Copper, the leader of the base metals pack gained by 0.3 percent on account of decline in LME copper inventories by 0.3 percent and stood at 252,725 tonnes. On the domestic front, prices rose around 0.7 percent on account of depreciation in the Indian Rupee.

Nymex crude oil prices increased by 0.5 percent today on account of expectations of decline in US crude oil inventories coupled with Statoil, Norway’s largest oil producer halting the production after talks failed between workers and management. However, a stronger DX prevented sharp gains in crude oil prices.

The US Energy Department (EIA) is scheduled to release its weekly inventories report today at 8:00pm IST and US crude oil inventories is expected to decline by 1.9 million barrels for the week ending on 29th June 2012. Gasoline stocks are expected to rise by 0.6 million barrels whereas distillate inventories are also expected to gain by 0.6 million barrels for the same period.

Outlook
In today’s session, we expect precious metals, base metals and crude oil prices to trade range bound on account of expectations of cut in interest rates by the European policymakers along with decline in US unemployment claims. While on the other hand, US non-manufacturing PMI coupled with nonfarm employment changed is expected to come on a negative note which can add downside pressure on prices. In case crude oil, expectations of decline in US crude oil inventories will support prices of the commodity.

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