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Moneycontrol India :: News :: Mkts in the midst of a nice little global upmove :: :: Udayan's comments :: US Fed ,Dow,Earning season ,Asian Indices,Nikkei,Taiwan ,Hang Seng ,global cues
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Mkts in the midst of a nice little global upmove
2008-05-02 11:22:54 Source : Bazaar/CNBC-TV18
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We have come back after a day’s break and things are looking green out here. The US Fed has spoken; US markets have not done too badly. In fact the Dow is above 13,000 mark. So no surprises or no negative surprises there at any rate.

 

The global party continues or the upmove continues and we find ourselves in the midst of a nice little global situation this morning as we enter the last trading day of the week.

 

Earning season is almost done but the market does not look like it is done with upmove it started a few weeks back.

 

The economic data is bad but not as bad as people thought it would be. So we have been in the middle of a nice little global upmove and all that has come in over the last forty-eight hours; it will probably extend that upmove and no reason why we should not participate as well.

 

So things look okay for the near-term; three months down the line, we do not know what will happen. While the sun is shining why not make the most of it and I think traders will still be trading long. The journey which started a few weeks back seems like it has got a little bit more on the way north before it fizzles out, if it has to fizzle out.

 

Asian Indices:

 

Asia is good this morning as you would expect because the Dow has had a nice little run overnight, so the Nikkei is up nearly 2%, Hang Seng is up 500 points, Korea is up 1%, Taiwan is up a 0.3% good going across Asia, a couple of those markets are quite strong today.

 

On global cues and take-away from the Fed:

 

Pretty good, I can see there is a dollar rally happening there, people are a little confused about whether there will be more cuts or not but the moment its okay 25 basis points another cut has come. The Fed’s sounding a little bit more optimistic the economic data is bad but it’s a bit better than what people were expecting. That GDP number of 0.6%, the negative tick or a green tick, it psychologically makes a difference.

 

One of these quarters now, we will get a red tick I am sure and that my psychologically de stabilize people a little bit but it has not come in this quarter which has gone down positively and which is probably why you have seen that rally yesterday. If you look at the other economic data, ISM still sub-50, jobless claims at 3.8 lakh higher than expected, construction going down, housing going down, so it looks like at some point there will be another leg down but when that happens and if that happens we don’t know, for the moment the market’s strong.

 

If one looks at how the various indices are moving, the Dow above 13,000, S&P above 1400, looks like there is still little bit of juice out in this rally. That’s what the screen is telling you so I won’t be surprised if there is a 4%-6% more in this global market up move just in the near-term, entirely possible.

 

contd on pg 2..

 

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