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Crude prices surged to a new all time high of USD 122/bbl on threats to supply in Nigeria and Iraq and growing Asian demand.
In after hours access trading, crude is at USD 121.75/bbl.
In India too every drop of oil is beginning to hurt. India's import cost of crude oil has touched an all time high of USD 112/bbl, widening the losses incurred by state-run petroleum marketing firms to 450 crore rupees a day.
67% of the respondents expect crude to peak above the USD150/bbl levels. 54% respondents feel that crude prices at USD150/bbl levels would slow down demand, while 33% respondents don't expect crude at USD 150/bbl to slow down demand.
13% expect crude prices at USD150/bbl to cause a slowdown with a lag effect.
What are experts saying?
Sanjeev Prasad of Kotak Securities said, ‘There are severe implications for the economy, we’ve done some calculations at 110/bbl, there we are looking at gross under recovery of Rs 175000 crore, One lakh more than under recovery of fiscal year 2008. I have no idea as to what the government' s plan would be. I assume they will give more oil bonds and recover from upstream companies but that is no solution as it will push up cost of borrowing from the market. There are hopes of the interest rates coming down but that won’t be the case if oil prices remain above USD 120/bbl.
John Kilduff, of MF Global said, “ Oil prices will continue to move higher and this market has everything going forward no matter where you look. It gets the supply outage when it needs it and it gets the demand numbers to hang in there. The market gets the economic data to hang in there to create these anxieties about the whole picture even to the point whether the monetary policy is too loose right now.
Carter Worth of Oppenheimer & Company said, “We get these important intermediate moves and the move from the February low is identical to the August and November move last yr and in each case it moved up by 30-35 dollars, we think that it stops here and if we have to place a bet here USD 130/bbl or USD 110/bbl, we think USD 110/bbl will come before.
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- Jul 25, 17:31
- Last Price
- Change
- Volume
- BSE
- 14274.94
-502.07 -3.40%- N.A.
- NSE
- 4311.85
-121.70 -2.74%- N.A.
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