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Speculation about gen elections misplaced: Vinod Sharma

Published on Mon, Dec 24, 2007 at 13:23 , Updated at Mon, Dec 24, 2007 at 15:53
Source : CNBC-TV18

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Vinod Sharma, Political Editor at Hindustan Times told CNBC-TV18 that the entire speculation about general elections was misplaced. He added that even if the Congress had won the Gujarat elections, it could not have forced general elections on the country because for that the Congress requires a cabinet resolution which would obviously need the support of the DMK and the RJD- the two UPA constituents which are not very favourably inclined towards early elections.

 

Excerpts from the exclusive interview with Vinod Sharma:

 

Q: How does this change the expectations of a general election from Delhi? Will this postpone? Will this advance the expectations of a general election?

 

A: From the very outset, the entire speculation about general elections was misplaced. Even if the Congress had won the Gujarat elections, it could not have gone and forced general elections on the country because for that the Congress requires a cabinet resolution which would obviously need the support of the DMK and the RJD- the two UPA constituents which are not very favourably inclined towards early elections.

 

Since that hasn’t happened and Congress has got defeated in Gujarat, there is all the more reason for the Left and the UPA to join forces in order to meet this challenge from the 'Saffron Party'. Left has always identified two major elements as its adversaries. One is the US imperialism and second is the BJP communalism.    

 

Q: A lot of commentary that done the rounds since yesterday is the emergence of Narendra Modi as an independent self within the BJP and that may pose some sort of threat to the party itself internally, given the fact that they have already nominated LK Advani as the next elect in terms of a Prime Ministerial candidate. What short of role do you think that Modi’s brand of politics can actually bring to the BJP in 2008 because the momentum in the last 3 or 4 state elections clearly seems to be with the BJP?  

 

A: With due regards to Advani, his nomination as the BJP’s Prime Ministerial candidate was a trifle premature. That occasion hasn’t risen since that will come in 2009 but a year plus is too long a period in politics and one doesn’t know what is going to happen in the interregnum. In politics, what's important is de facto status and I think Modi today has acquired that de facto status of the party’s number one leader. Now what is in question is his acceptability in the era of coalition. He will have to make himself more acceptable and perhaps has ti dilute the ‘Hindutva’ element in his electoral planks and his entire policy planning in order to be able to be more acceptable at the national level.    

 

Q: What about reforms specifically because that’s been an area on which he fought a lot of the elections, at least the initial part of it. Do you think that is something that he could campaign on going ahead and will this brand of politics that emerged with the BJP in Gujarat be replicated in other states like Rajasthan or even in South India like a Karnataka or this is something just specific to Gujarat?

 

A: Conditions vary from state-to-state. Gujarat is a very urbanized state and has high level of literacy even amongst the minorities and Gujaratis are known for their business enterprise. So the conditions may not be available to the BJP in MP, which predominately has got the highest population of tribes. Similarly, Rajasthan has got many districts, which are very backward, and I don’t think these comparisons are going to be very genuine and very realistic but BJP can try and Modi himself has to make this model of economic development more acceptable and inclusive in Gujarat. The fact remains that a lot needs to be done in Gujarat as well by way of greater acceptability of the BJP especially in central Gujarat, which is a huge area.                       

 

Q: Do you think there will be more in terms of the nuclear agreement by the left in the form of perhaps and economic agenda or CPM? How will the dynamics between those two entities change?

 

A: My sense is that this nuclear agreement has gotten into the buying time mode. I don’t think that in this present term of the UPA, one would see any major forward movement on this deal given the Left’s very inflexible position regardless of the formation of a committee to discuss the issue. Remember in the parliament debate, the Left parties urged the government not to push the deal any further and I thought that ran counter to the words of reference or to the charter of the committee which has been setup. So it is time buying exercise.         

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