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CNBC TV18 Matrix SENSEX NIFTY

Nifty range getting narrower: Ashwani Gujral

Published on Tue, Apr 15 at 10:27 , Updated at Tue, Apr 15 at 16:49
Source : CNBC-TV18

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Technical analyst Ashwani Gujral says IT is one of the strongest charts along with oil and gas. He further adds that the Nifty range keeps getting narrower and now it’s between 4,625 to about 4,820, so this 200-point range is likely to break out or break down quite soon.

 

Excerpts from CNBC-TV18's exclusive interview with Ashwani Gujral:

 

Q: How are the Infosys chart looking and the technology sector at large?

 

A: Broadly IT is one of the strongest sectors along with oil and gas and FMCG. Infosys as a chart, it is range bound between Rs 1,300 to Rs 1,550, I doubt whether this sort of news will take it beyond Rs 1,550, but if it does, then the stock could start further out performance probably towards Rs 1,700 or Rs 1,750, which was a key support when it was falling down and the intermediate downtrend will end once Infosys can get back above Rs 1,750. But the strongest group right now is oil and gas.

 

Q: What is the call on the Nifty from here, how do you see it moving and how would you trade it

 

A: The range just keeps getting narrower now it’s between 4,625 to about 4,820, so this 200-point range is likely to break out or break down quite soon. What is disconcerting is that each time Nifty is sort of failing at lower levels, earlier it used to be above 5,000 then above 4,900, this time on Friday it failed above 4,800 and so there are good chances that 4,620 may breakdown and we may go lower to test 4,500. Basically once we get an opening range, if it starts breaking down that would be the way to go.

 

Q: Just 4,720, would you open up a long trade here on the Nifty or is that risky trade?


A: The range is becoming so narrow that you are probably now trading for 40-50 points, that’s not worth it and we are quite close to a break out or a break down. I would wait for one of these boundaries, 4625 or 4820, to break out and to take the decisive trade because now its getting quite risky because today in the morning if you bought, you hardly have 40-50 points on the upside, and the market seems to be getting in a choppy mode back again and it wasn’t able to break down, so chances are that it became a non-event and we should still be in this range.

 

Q: Infosys was pretty active on the F&O side on Friday, saw quite a bit of open interest addition, what kind of trades you think might be happening on the F&O side of it today?

 

A: There should be a sigh of relief and people who buy right now probably would get something in the next few days because a lot of people may have been short on Infosys and definitely the kind of ranging patterns the stock is showing and the strength the sector is showing, I think a long trade is justified say for about Rs 1550.

 

Q: It is Rs 1,470 on Infosys, if you did open up a long in the first few minutes of trade at what point would you book out on an Infosys?

A: I think today could be a reasonable day because the market also seems to be coming back and probably if the Nifty can get past 4,800 maybe today or tomorrow that would be a good area to book out because one has play the range on the Nifty, it is unlikely that Infosys starts breaking out of its range and nifty stays range bound. So one has got used to playing this Rs 100-150 kind of moves.

 

 

 

 

 

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