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Moneycontrol.com >> Messageboard >> Stocks >> Shriram EPC >> Today`s fall should be good for picking
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Today`s fall should be good for picking (1)   20-Oct-09 09:27Track this thread   Tracked by (0)  
Posted by:   prjayachandran on ( 20-Oct-09 09:27 )
Price : BSE: Rs 218.00 ( 11.20 % ), NSE: Rs. 218.20 ( 11.90 % )
The share price is likely to fall today due to the fact that Galleon Hedge Fund, whose founder Raj Rajaratnam has been arrested for insider trading in USA, has 20 lakh shares of Shriram EPC through `Galleon Special Opportunities Master Fund Spc Ltd - Asian Crossover Segregated Portfolio` which constitutes 4.6% of Shriram EPC`s capital. Th fear is that investors in Galleon Hedge Fund may redeem their porfolios in panic and Galleon may be forced to do distress sale of shares of Shriram EPC in local markets.

This, in fact, should provide an opportunity to buy shares of Shiram EPC which is doing a make over from being primarily an EPC company to a company mostly into wind energy. It has a bright future ahead.

I am appending below my previous message on the company

QUOTE

Mr Bharatsinh Solanki, Union Minister of State for Power inaugurated Leitner Shriram’s wind turbine generator facility at Gummidipoondi near Chennai yesterday (on 25th September). Leitner Shriram is a joint venture with Leitner of Italy holding a 51 per cent stake and Shriram EPC holding a 49 per cent stake.

Leitner Shriram has a capacity to produce 150 1.5 MW gearless wind turbines annually including the entire turbine and critical components. The company has the capacity to increase production capacity to over 250 units annually in FY 2010-11. Apart from the domestic market, the facility would also export to Africa, Europe and West Asia. Although the company already sells 250 kw wind turbines at its existing plant in Puducherry , the 1.5-MW class units are the most popular.

At a cost of Rs 10 crore a machine, 1.5 MW wind turbine business would generate revenues of about Rs.800 crores in FY 2009-10 (as 80 machines are likely to be delivered this FY and nearly half its production would be exported to Europe)and over Rs 2500 crores at full capacity expected in FY 2010-11. Although Leitner Shriram has a four-month order book this is likely to fill up to about a year`s orders over the next four months.

Order for 12 machines is existing already from Orient Green Power Ltd, a subsidiary of Shriram EPC Ltd that will set up an 18 MW wind farm in Czech Republic. The company would install 12 machines of 1.5 MW capacity each that will be produced by Leitner Shriram in Chennai.OGPL, in which Shriram EPC has a 40 per cent stake (the rest of the equity is held by two private equity funds, Bessemer and Olympus), has a portfolio of 100 MW of wind power in India.

After the first phase of development in the Czech Republic is over, OGPL would look to expand its footprint in East Europe. OGPL will thus enable Shriram EPC to procure orders for its windmills in Europe. OGPL company intends to come out with an IPO towards the end of calendar 2010 which will create value for shareholders of Shriram EPC.

Shriram EPC Ltd had come out with an IPO at a rather steep price of Rs.330 a share on February 1, 2008. The high price was possible as February 2008 was just the starting of the last bear hammering.

On 25th September, Galleon Special Opportunities Master Fund SPC Ltd sold 2.3% stake in the company to Argonaut Ventures, which already had 3.19% share and now has 5.49% share in the company.

Last financial year, the company had reported a turnover of Rs.1010 crores and EPS of Rs.9.55. This year this is likely to be Rs.1800 crores and EPS may proportionately be Rs.17. In FY 2010-11, when the facility runs at full capacity, the turnover should be Rs.3500 crores and EPS 33. Even if a conservative PE of 15 is applied, a share price of Rs.495 is realisitc.

Technically, the share price has a solid support at Rs.190 and is not likely to violate that support in future.

UNQUOTE
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