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Moneycontrol.com >> Message Board >> View Messages >> Sesa Goa
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fair target is rs 8000+ (2)   23-Jul-08 06:41Tracked by (0)  
Posted by:   Guest on ( 23-Jul-08 06:41 )
Price : BSE: Rs 2878.35 ( 7.01 % ), NSE: Rs. 2884.20 ( 7.32 % )
hi investors.

sesa fy08 Q1 EPS was 33
now fy09 results are out and EPS for Q1 is 163

PAT has shown a growth of 450%.
yes!!!!!!!! 450% .....difficult to believe??

now new annualised EPS for the stock would be something like 550 taking only Q1 into consideration.

in fy08 Q1 eps was 33. but anualised eps after Q4 was 379. so u can se the difference.

so at the end of this fiscal year minimum sesa can do is someting like an EPS OF 750-800.

and sesa is now trading at a PE of 7.5

so that makes the current value of stock = 7.5 * 550 = 4125.
that is even if the stock doest gain a single rupee today onwards on account of declared split and bonus, its inherent value itself is 4125 rupees according to new eps and p.e

now a company like sesagoa can easily quote a p.e of minimum 12 (whihc is bare minimum)

at p.e of 12 ,

p.e 12 and eps 379 (till now) = 4548 rs
p.e 12 and eps 550 (Q1 res) = 6600 rs

at fair p.e of 12 and eps of 800 (ater Q2-Q3 .....) fair price = 9600 rs

even at 10 p.e and eps 800 = 8000 rs


xo guys at this price of 2800 , sesagoa is like buying an acre of land in delhi in 1980 for long term investment.


before august 8th , sesagoa should reach 5500.

in one year time target is rs 400-500 explit and bonus. that is 8000-10000 rs

dr. mukesh
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