IFCI

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : treasureddhan

The fall like dow today, In India we would have heard many brokers attempting to commit suicide. Imagine what the brokers in US would be planning now

TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR

Posted by : bubbu64

Dear Boarders

My stock index tgts are finally reaching to the levels I had said long ago in June and July. Lat week I had raised a unwarranted panic signal which didnt happen the next day but eventually happened over the last 7 days. I apologise for that once again.

NIFTY should touch 3400-3500. The strongest support for the NIFTY over the 5 year period as I see it is at 3250. This is the last of all supports over a 5 year period. If this is broken then It will take a min of 5 -7 years to reach even 3800-4000. Hence this support of 3250 is extremely crucial. Sensex should hold at 10200-10500 levels. Next crucial support is somewhere close to 9500-9600. This level is as crucial as the one for the NIFTY mentioned above.

Hence I think mkt bottom should be around 3450-3500 and for the SENSEX somewhere around 10200-10500. The crucial levels will be used only when should NIFTY fall somewhere in the below 3500 range and for the SENSEX below the 10200 range. This is my viewpoint. Boarders should take their own decision and make their moves. As for me I am totally out of the mkt. I would touch the mkt at all over the next 3-4 weeks.

DOW JONES should bottom out at 8000-8500 levels. This may happen by December 2008. Hence globally mkts should pick up by 3rd or 4th week of January 2009 after the new US president takes office. If OBAMA wins my take is DOW will recover rapidly back to 10500 levels. The US mkt will stay range bound between 9000-10500 say till May 2009 which my tgt time point for the next bull mkt run to start worldwide. This should happen since I feel by May 2009 the US subprime crisis will turn around positive and real estate mkts will pick up faster. Till then I see a good fall in the real estate prices in India especially in areas which had astronomical levels of price appreciation. This could be areas like Bangalore, Hyderabad, New Delhi, Chennai and Mumbai in that desending order.

My stock picks in the next few weeks broadly will range from INFRASTRUCTURE (roads, bridges, new cities, railways) HEALTHCARE (genetics, gene mapping, nano medicine technology, R&D in areas like down`s syndrome, autism, alzheimer`s, HIV, medical technology), POWER GENERATION AND NUCLEAR POWER, ALTERNATE ENERGY (solar, wind ocean), GAS (power, household, auto, power), SUGAR (for ethanol in petrol mixes), FINANCIALS in infrasturcture like (IFCI, IDBI etc), AUTO (hybrid cars, fuel cars, gas charged, solar). Capital goods consumption will come down over the years despite the rise in earnings capacity. One area in which I see real good growth will be in computer hardware like laptops, wifi, networking security, wimax broadband, and also in nano technology.

Boarders , your views will be highly valued and appreciated

Regards

bubbu64

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : treasureddhan

think of all those holding IFCI at rate above 100+

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : treasureddhan

the fall in Dow will make Indian market players to wake up with a night mare

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : lifaylon

Well Goldman made money already both ways by buying at 42 and selling at 48 and if they short immediately which surely they would have done bcos they were more aware of the impending fall of Lehman / Merriyll / Wacovia then YES they would have shorted for sure and by now would have partly booked profits to exit at levels 28 and 25 if that comes to get more i dont think they will wait

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : BullSheetRules

Dear lifaylon,

Be careful and cautious!

As per a market rumour, Goldman Sachs had taken SHORT positions on IFCI ever since GS sold IFCI around 48...

That could be just a BS rumour!

Gud luk & happy investing! :)

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : harishkrsharma

Dow and Nasdaq may hit circuit filter tonight..........

First Step by SEBI to improve the sentiments of the Market.

Posted by : harishkrsharma

Unless the baby cries the mother does not feed in India is the same scenario with our Govt. too.

Today even the strongest of investors might have got the jerks in his philosophy to invest or not in this market.

Rescue or Damage control excercises are always delayed by our GOI in crucial hours as usual.

harish sharma

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : lifaylon

IFCI will swing on anydownside below 11000 and levels 25 is for sure at that point the moment market moves up it will move at least by 12 to 15 Rs aswell PLAY only in this stock as its safe bcos FII have mostly exited already from this stock and downside will be less

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : harishkrsharma

Dow and Nasdaq may hit circuit filter tonight..........

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : harishkrsharma

My technical knowledge does not say so as the IFCI has still not breached the earlier low of 29 and is quite resilient AND if tomorrow the market and the financial holds or improve the situation may be different for IFCI.

Moreover if IFCI post strong results then the stock would get strength too in this critical scenario. IFCI has good support at 24-25 that is difficult to break.

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : sanjay38000

to hide the crises and to overcome this, Mr.bush had sent its financial institutions throught the world to make money since 2004. but everything failed.

First Step by SEBI to improve the sentiments of the Market.

Posted by : lifaylon

Dear CHCHCH we have 9 trading days b4 the CRR comes into effect and 20000cr is available to give life to markets by then market will bottom-out to levels one cannot Guess though i thaught 11000 shud be fine 10500 seems to be in card with niffty at 3300 atleast from there we shud find a leverage of stability

RIL shud touch 1500levels within next 9 trading days thats for sure

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : treasureddhan

Dow breached 9600 , 734 down as of now

Decoupling days are coming ahead.........

Posted by : treasureddhan

Dow already down by 715 pts it is set to breach below 9600