Lushka's Message History
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Addressed to lakshmibhakt, Kalidas, ashwinkashyap, sully, keerthi, SANJU786, het, kanakadhara, harerama, sai prashanth, herevani, hyphen-ated, sbalu, joetom, kadiyali, smallinvester, knair, lifaylon, lovemeall26, lovemoon, macspeed, madhu_sharma, man, mannish, MALAYALI, madhuchalla, MMB Moderator, MMB Messenger, morgullord, morningstar, spicy, salian, panayampala, pargat, parnasri, parvinderchawla, panni, polavarapuad, sayaba, ramjet, safaya, saavie, SageSurya, samirarora, sanju25, letsmakemoney, Madineedi, Lushka, sd3, shilpi gunale, shineabraham, shraddha_sri, singharmeet, sivarallabhandi, smehdiratta, sm_supreeth, sonalyari, soumithra, SOUMYASAHOO, souravkundu, sowmyamoni, sp.palo, ShriSiva, sreejuz, Sriman35, Barat, ssdinesh, MarketPundit, subramaniam_tce, sujitjha, suktara, suman.lata78, sundaram7, sureshkotha, Hi Mumbaiyatee, stake holder, Samirr, Udayan Mukherjee, valuepick, vam_aru, venku_raman, venugopalg, V K Patni
US market was looking weak at the opening.
Our market is very much range bound. I feel, if do not break 4921 on closing basis it may cross 5100-5200 range and this may provide lot of short ialution in last two three days of expiry.
Call Put ratio are concentrated highest around 5100-CE and 4900-PE second most building up seen at 5000-PE and 5200-CE
Which means battle is now concentrating in the range of 4900 and 5200.
Either side decisive break out may give huge volatility in December.....
Traders shall not down these levels along with CALL/PUT Ratios on daily basis if do not want to be trapped.
some Trading Ideas for Tomorrow : 19-11-2009
Do not surprise if initial opening may be flat with negative note in first 30 minutes. Traders can seach entry levels at S or R level-1 on close resistance to brek below that...
I do not see any further details to be given to smart traders.
Today`s top gainers were IDFC and TATA MOTORS. We were long in both but only after good break out in Tata Motors. However, we were dad confirmed about up move of IDFC..
Stock Close PVT Res Sup
--------------------------------------
SINTEX 240 237 245-250
IDFC 178 176 181-184
CAIRN 286 284 288-290
OBC 281 279 286-291
Tata Motr 646 640 656-665
I have not given support levels because Pivot is very near to close level. IDFC , CAIRN and TATA MOTORS may see next levels as under in case Nifty cross 5095 ( May or may not be possible )IDFC-188-190,CAIRN-298 SINTEX-257.....
I have not checked shorting opportunities in all aboce stocks. You may move with the trend....
Nifty : 5054
Slightlu bearish close.
Res- 5075-5095
Res- 5037-5021
Regards,
-SK-
KI-TRADE. ...
Addressed to Kalidas, Bhatt, het, Mangalorebull, haleelrehman, hyphen-ated, Sugna, kalakkuttan, smallinvester, karmic astro, knair, lifaylon, lovemeall26, lovemoon, harry the rider, madhu_sharma, Suresh27, mano, MALAYALI, madhuchalla, MMB Moderator, MMB Messenger, panakals, panayampala, panni, pcspune, pitquote, polavarapuad, poorfellow, poorna54, prabhu228, pradesh, marketman, pranky, periwinkle, librawalla, saavie, sagarmksingh, sanjay0465, satinder_sg, subasu, Lushka, shail99, shineabraham, shubhrasankar, sharecat, sonalkhemka, sonalyari, soumithra, sp.palo, spruha_it, sreejuz, Udayan Mukherjee, Leave it., valuepick, vam_aru, Varner, venku_raman, V K Patni
-2-
We were talking about Dow Jones and Nifty in context to short term Technical support and TECHNICAL PULL BACK RALLY. Through oversight, I posted half message. And continue further here in below.
As regards Nifty, it closed 4711.70 at the End of October-2009.
In case of Nifty, Technical major supports were place at 4844 and and 4627...... 4844 is broken in last two trading seccions. Now 4627 to be watched closely. If we believe that our markets are driven on Global cues, you shall watch How DOW performs on Monday.... and trade accordingly when Market opens on Tuesday.
In case market fail to crooss Short term top of 5181 and if Globl markets can not retain gains on probable technical pull back rallies and fail to survive above 50-100 SMA, in that case, you can presume that Nifty, at the most may bounce back from Long term support of 3927.
It is far remote possibilities, still when we talk about technical matters, we must touch all possibilities as to Short term med. term and long term..
Alternatively if technicall pull back rally get converted into Rally, you may get Nifty levels as Under :
(1) 5487
(2) 5677
(3) 5987 at outer skirt of this rally.
Provided Nifty once cross 5227........
KI-Trade
31-10-2009
@ 16.45..
From my article prepared for The Economic Revolution - Financial Weekly.
-- Gujarati Edition.....
Macmillan
Reply By vbr_kumar
Date: 30th Oct, 2009 - 22:30
BSE: Rs 57.30 ( 0.09 % ), NSE: Rs. 57.20 ( -0.69 % )
Hi Thanks for the advice. Yes even I had it for 4 years and took a very big loss of 89% down on my investment. I sold it today. This is classic case of a company fooling its investors even though they had great value....
Genus Power
Reply By man84
Date: 10th Sep, 2009 - 15:41
BSE: Rs 200.00 ( -4.17 % ), NSE: Rs. 200.30 ( -3.89 % )
Addressed to les, Dakshina murthy, bedboy, bzeebuzz, nadhi, fdhiyan, gaurigandhi, googol, guli, RevengeOfTheGod, ideascrack, kalyan.patil, madbull, ks_desh, mahipal888, mdcd007, Minoo, narentelang, phirozaban, pranky, Lushka, sd3, soldier7, neointown
I have compiled an Online Database of Quarterly and Annual Results of over 200 growing companies in an Excel Format which is easy to understand and analyse. Access to the Database is free and open to all. The Results Datasheets of each company allows you to study the different performance & growth parameters on a single screen in a very convenient manner.
The Online Database is available on the following site:
corporate-results.blogspot(dot)com
Do visit the site and benefit from the facility made available...
Micro Tech
Reply By preacher
Date: 30th Aug, 2009 - 12:32
BSE: Rs 149.95 ( -0.33 % ), NSE: Rs. 150.15 ( -0.30 % )
They have been paying 20% every year since last three years! Have award winning performance! Their web site is attractive and has so many informations including the stock price! Now they have reduced the prices of their products by 30% in order to achieve volume growth!If any thing fishy about the promotors, few years back they exercised the option of converting to shares at 25% of the market price, which triggered a massive fall in the stock price!Generally appear to be third rated misers!by the way where is the news about this 10% dividend?...
Addressed to MMB Moderator, MMB Messenger, mmchhatbar, Santa Claus, Poppee55, abhishek1234, agrawalabhay, agrawal, lakshmibhakt, Kalidas, ashishaca2003, valueinvestor12, athina, B C Roy, Be and Make, BearCartel, BEST_ADVISER, s.h.a.r.e.123, sully, keerthi, BAZEEGAR, stkstudent, het, Mangalorebull, HBsingh, kanakadhara, sai prashanth, hemalchheda, hembhat, herevani, hyphen-ated, seriouspro, secretsof td, sbalu, joetom, K.N.Pillai16968, kadiyali, Sugna, kalakkuttan, kano123, smallinvester, KARUNAS, kekanaje, kentmss, sanjeev333, knair, krupp, SHARE2009, KUD, kukku, kulsum, KaiZen., Leena.B, LEO THE LION, librankur, lifaylon, lifewords, lovemeall26, lovemoon, m.f.whosane, MADHOO, madhu_sharma, madan, Karthikn, man, Suresh27, MALAYALI, madhuchalla, lakshmanasamy, morgullord, morningstar, mukut, sachin14, spicy, assetmanager, salian, panasonic, panayampala, pargat, parnasri, parvinderchawla, panni, pcspune, shantii, pitquote, pkjattking, polavarapuad, POLO_27, poorna54, marketman, pranky, periwinkle, sayaba, here2stay, ramjet, safaya, S A A R T H I, saavie, Khan, safayaifci, sagarmksingh, SageSurya, Sagitarian, sambala, sameernics, samirarora, samirshahhetal, B.warren, sanju25, sanjay0465, sanjay38000, sankarcj, santoshkoshy, letsmakemoney, sasreddy, sathesan23, satinder_sg, sauravsachin, savera_patna, Lushka, sd3, selambannan, selvam, smitshah, PowerSHAH, shail99, shailka, shailu28, sharepredictor, shareware78, she4pa, shenoyjn, shijuadur, Shilp.V, shilpi gunale, shilpi_jain20, shineabraham, shipelango, Shirishmishi, shivani007, shraddha_sri, shreya_bca, shreya, shri3204, ShrihariMoCo, shubhrasankar, shweta6375, simpleinvestor, sharecat, singharmeet, skshare, smehdiratta, smitha.s627, sm_supreeth, sonal001, sonali.thakur, sonalkhemka, sonalyari, sonas, SONJOVI, soumithra, SOUMYASAHOO, souravkundu, sowmyamoni, sp.palo, ShriSiva, spruha_it, sree_237, Sriman35, ssdinesh, STUTI_NARIMAN, subramaniam_tce, suchuab, hi delhi, marketbear, sujitjha, suktara, suman.lata78, sumathidhivya, SunandSingh, sundaram7, sundararaja123, sunillad, superstar, RAVINDRA321, howcome, sureshkotha, Hi Mumbaiyatee, stake holder, Samirr, Udayan Mukherjee, aahoo, sonu11, Leave it., valuepick, vam_aru, Varner, venkatagopal, venku_raman, venugopalg, victor08, V K Patni
I just checked. MMB do not have thread for any of this sectors.Both secotors shall be added in the list....
Residential prices after witnessing a sharp downward trend
(down 25%-35% from peak) have now stopped falling and have shown signs of increase (~5%) over the past few weeks.
Our picks: Unitech and HDIL. Brigade (Mid-cap)
It would be interesting to have comparative valuations of Top 5 Reality Sector Stocks viz.,
DLF
UNITECH
IBREAL
HDIL
BRIGADE
---------------------
(1) MARKET CAP ( USD MM $ )
A- DLF : 13850
B- UNITESH : 4621
C- IBREAL : 2058
D- HDIL : 1970
E- BRIGADE : 208
(2)P/E FY 10 Est FY 11-EST
A- DLF : 36.7 : 22.1
B- UNITESH : 16.1 : 13.5
C- IBREAL : 58.3 : 41.5
D- HDIL : 18.6 : 08.5
E- BRIGADE : 13.3 : 08.5
PRICE/ BOOK VALUE FY 10/EST FY 11/EST
-------------------------------
A- DLF : 2.6 : 2.3
B- UNITESH : 2.0 : 1.7
C- IBREAL : 1.2 : 1.2
D- HDIL : 1.4 : 1.2
E- BRIGADE : 1.0 : 1.0
------------------------------
ROE For FY 10/ESTIMATE 11/EST %
A- DLF : 07 % : 11 %
B- UNITESH : 17 % : 14 %
C- IBREAL : 02 % : 03 %
D- HDIL : 09 % : 15 %
E- BRIGADE : 07 % : 10 %
-----------------------------------
Note : Last Three Months Price Performance : % UP
-----------------------------
DLF : 19
UNITECH : 37
IBREAL : 42
HDIL : 25
ANANT RAJ : 31
AKRUTI : 08
PARSHWANATH : 109
----------------------------------
we expect the demand to remain firm and further pick up strongly in 4QCY09 as we go into the festive season (Diwali is traditionally a home buying season in India)
and developers continue to offer projects at attractive price points.
Key mortgage lenders including SBI and HDFC reduced their mortgage rates further during the month of July.
SBI launched special home loan schemes offering lower fixed interest rates for the first 3 years. These schemes carry a fixed rate of 8% for the first year and 9-9.5% for the next two years.
Further, processing fee has also been
waived for both products till Sep-09.
HDFC too cut the lending rates for new customers by 25-50 basis points ( Old 9-9.5% To New 8.75 % )
___________________________
Some News Flows recently :
___________________________
Sobha raises Rs5.3bn via QIP (Jul , 2009)
SEZ developers get nod to raise funds overseas (July , 2009)
DLF sells Akruti City JV stake (July , 2009)
Emaar to try IPO route again (July , 2009)
Lodha Group in talks with PE players to mop up ~Rs8.5bn ( JULY,2009)
Orbit halves QIP target amount to INR2.5bn(July , 2009)
IREO to invest US$500mm in India (July , 2009)
-----IREO, a leading global investment fund dedicated to the Indian real estate sector, has announced its foray into real estate development with a portfolio of 13 projects located in prime locations around India, and plans to pump in US$500mm in various infrastructure projects over a period of seven years.------------
Godrej Properties gets SEBI approval for IPO (July , 2009)
Unitech plans to sell tower business for Rs7.5bn (Aug , 2009)
--------The finance ministry of India has proposed two additional sops to stimulate demand in the housing sector. These are an interest subsidy of 1% on home loans up to Rs-1 mm subject to house value being below Rs-2 mm and extension of tax benefits
under section 80IB(10) of the Income Tax Act to projects approved before Mar’08 and to be completed before Mar’12.
Earlier, the provision was limited to projects sanctioned before Mar’07 and to be completed before Mar’10.--------
Unitech Wireless to raise up to US$2bn for operations in one year (July , 2009)
Sobha to raise Rs14 bn by selling land (Jul , 2009)
All Such recent developments talk laot about future of Reality Sector ..!!!!!
Do any one need more Clear Signal ???
-------- Report Compiled by
-- SK --...
Addressed to kadiyali, MALAYALI, KotakInvestment, Santa Claus, leman, Kalidas, ashwinkashyap, bababull, bagram, kanakadhara, haresh257, hemalchheda, hemhckp, herevani, joetom, kalakkuttan, KARUNAS, kentmss, KFactor, knair, KUD, lalsha, latikav, Leena.B, m.f.whosane, madhu_sharma, man, mano, madhuchalla, MMB Moderator, MMB Messenger, morningstar, mukut, panayampala, pcspune, polavarapuad, poorna54, prabhu228, pradesh, pranky, periwinkle, ramjet, S A A R T H I, sagarmksingh, SageSurya, Sammy Dsilva, samirarora, santoshkoshy, satinder_sg, savera_patna, Lushka, sd3, selvam, smitshah, shakti27, shareware78, Shilp.V, shilpi gunale, shilpi_jain20, shineabraham, Shirishmishi, shubhrasankar, simpleinvestor, sivarallabhandi, smitha.s627, sonal001, soumithra, SOUMYASAHOO, sowmyamoni, srakeshkumar, MarketPundit, STUTI_NARIMAN, suchuab, suktara, suman.lata78, sundaram7, sundararaja123, sureshkotha, Hi Mumbaiyatee, Udayan Mukherjee, Leave it., valuepick, vam_aru, venkatagopal, venku_raman, airwarrior, victor08, V K Patni
Dear Friends,
After a long long run of up move, we had seen pressure on Nifty in surviving above 52 Week High. On first day of This week, Nifty managed closing above 4700, However, next four days, it could manage crossing this Psychological level but failed to survive above 4700.And finally Market extended losses after crossing 52 week tops.
Equity benchmarks fell steeply during last two days.Week to week, Nifty tanked 155 Points while Sensex shed 510 points. If we count last two days fell,Nifty lost 213 points while Sensex shed 744 points.This sharp fell made people to think whether correction set ?
We have only two triggers now to drive markets. One is monsoon while other important factor is Global cue.. If we look at the data of World Indices as to how world market performed during July, we can see from the table below that most of the world indices shown up move during July-09.
Last two days fall looks regular and routine profit booking untill Nifty stay above 4300. Even short term trend will continus till Nifty stay above 4000.
Friday markets were good except few like ours.
Dow - + 1.23 % up
Nasdaq - + 1.37 % up
Hangseng - (-) 2.51 % Down
Shanghai - (-) 2.85 % Down
Kospi/ Nikkiei were seen stable but facing pressure of selling.
CAC/DAX/FTSE - Europe gained 1 to 1.5 %
While other markets were seen in positive zone.
however, Most of the worls markets have seen up move during July this year. Let us check performance of world indices during July-2009 Shanghai....... up 15.30 %
jakarta Com.... up 14.60 %
Streits ....... up 14 ...%
Kospi ...... up 12 ..%
DAX ...... up 11 .. %
DOW JONES .... up 8.60 %
Hengseng .... up 12 %
FTSE .... up 8.45 %
Sensex .... up 8.10 %
Nifty .... up 8 %
Nasdaq .... up 8 %
RTS ..... up 4 %
S & P ..... up 7.40 %
Streight Times up 14 %
Now, People are seating on high profits will intend to take some profits, too. Un authorised data also suggest that FIIs have booked huge profits during last day of the week.
We will get exact details on Monday.
This kinda norma profit book is normal when too fast run up takes place in any market.
If we look at the weekly Nifty levels,
we can say that Nifty still has not condemned up move till it trades above 4400-4427 on weekly basis and 3975 on short term basis.
Way down Nifty having support around 4316-4213 and sensex around 14605-14262. If Indices bounce back from Monday, or from the given support levels we can see 4646-4749 Levels in Nifty and 15715-16058 levels in Sensex in comming weeks.
Asregards Stocks, I will watch
(1) NTPC (212) with SL-205 Target- 221-227
(2) Reliance (1997) buy above 2011 with Target 2111-2227.
Note : If reliance fail to survive above 1967, I will short with target 1897-1805.
(3)JPHYDRO (82) SL-80 Target - 88-97
(4)TATA POWER ( 1233) I will be bullish once cross 1270 with target - 1347-1387
(5) Axis bank ( 814) I will buy only above 827 with Target - 927-977 Once manage to stay above 857.
I am also ready to short if market fall further.
trend is your friend...!! ALWAYS REMEMBER..
- SK -
( Taken from my Gujarati article in The Economic Revolution to be published on Sunday )
...
Macmillan
Posted by : Lushka
Date :30th Oct, 2009 - 11:54
BSE: Rs 59.00 ( 3.06 % ), NSE: Rs. 58.90 ( 2.26 % )
Sooner you exit this counter the better.I have booked my losses.First they made us fools by demerger theory and now this cost plus theory.Don`t fight the management.If they have decided then they have decided.We are too little to carry this battle.There are other 7000 companies to choose from.Good luck.Happy investing.By the way I kept this share for 4 years and exiting at a grat loss....
Birla Corp
Posted by : Lushka
Date :10th Oct, 2009 - 11:33
BSE: Rs 297.30 ( 0.92 % ), NSE: Rs. 299.25 ( 1.18 % )
Expecting Bonus on their 50th anni....
Micro Tech
Posted by : Lushka
Date :7th Sep, 2009 - 09:36
BSE: Rs 137.90 ( 2.07 % ), NSE: Rs. 138.10 ( 2.37 % )
Instead of Microtech why don`t you concentrate on Relaxo Footwear.There is no company on the bourse better than this.It is highly quality conscious company and the share is going a begging for a song!!!...
Micro Tech
Posted by : Lushka
Date :2nd Sep, 2009 - 09:56
BSE: Rs 140.60 ( -5.10 % ), NSE: Rs. 141.20 ( 0.00 % )
Relaince and Microtech are in two different fields.Microtech may not remail for log term as it is a technology share and the technology gets outdated if you don`t invent new technologies.If Reliance had those reserves in the early days they would have certainly rewaded their share holders.This management is highly conservative.It will hurt the management like hell if they rewarded the shareholders like reliance did. One company in India. Please don`t make jugement for the remaining 7000 comanies and compare them with reliance.Good luck Mr. Fortune teller!!!...
Micro Tech
Posted by : Lushka
Date :30th Aug, 2009 - 10:59
BSE: Rs 149.95 ( -0.33 % ), NSE: Rs. 150.15 ( -0.30 % )
One thing Finance ministry can do is to make a minimum dividend payour compulsary for a certain criteria.Co. such as microtech are either on the verge of a scam in the making like NEPC Micon did one time where they showed hugh profits and one fine day got crackes and the share holders lost their shirt.Why cann`t this management pay a good Rs.10 dividend on their hugh earnings.Can someone close to SEBI please report a possible scam in the making!...
Genus Power
Posted by : Lushka
Date :4th Mar, 2009 - 18:04
BSE: Rs 71.25 ( 0.78 % ), NSE: Rs. 71.05 ( -26.37 % )
The reason this stock is going down is because the management is very very conservative in paying dividend.I see this share price go down to Rs.30 within 4 months.The dividend yield then will become attractive.Otherwise there is nothing in the company.Today they have orders next year they may not....
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