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snvaish
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Dear Frends be cautious, Keep ready calculation of past 4 days moving average of Lows & Highs of nifty (e.g. 4 day moving average from 09.09.2008 to 12.09.2008 = for highs is 4422, for lows is 4319 ) hence this level should be treated for mondey, if on 15.09.2008 nifty remained trading bellow 4319 then avoid buying, buy only on that day when nifty comes above 4 day moving average of lows for the first time. similarly the day when nifty comes bellow the 4 day moving average of highs for the first time, sell without thinking any if and but . in this way keep calculatons ready for moving averages of high low for the next day as a kee factor.
Please do remain visiting following websites also ................
(1) http://www.icharts.in/charts.html...............
(2) http://truedataindia.com/index.php?sid=dinf5vrv19icmsrhgj85u6ur35&p=15...................
(3) http://niftylivechart.blogspot.com/2008/03/interactive-nifty-live-chart-yahoo.html..................
(4) http://niftyintraday.googlepages.com/nifty50...............
In the first website closely watch macd, divergence & slow,fast stockastics on EOD basis for deciding the day when to buy and when to sell. in the rest of websites closely watch intraday slow,fast stockastics for deciding exact time when to buy and when sell. Presetly I suggest not be in hurry in buying upto 25.09.2008. Please don't beleive on any paid tips advisers, astrologers all are silly and they want to cheat you only they can never be well wisher to you. Had they would have been so much intelegent in the market then instead of runing advisory serveice of just Rs 1000/- PM they would have themselves been earning a lot in this market. every body remains advising stop loss, think when you always remain incurring loss buy triggering stop loss then when you will earn. therefore try to become self independent. Never be gready, never try to save brokerage, sell immidately when ever you find sell signals. One more thing, this market will remain unstable for a quite a long time untill 50 day EMA does not comes above 200 day EMA. these EMAs you can also find in the first website suggested above by selecting periods in the lower left boxes. hence till then you have to trade carefully. I NEVER MENTION LEVELS OF NIFTY BECAUSE THERE ARE GREATER CHANCES THAT THOSE LEVELS MAY NOT COME AND YOU MAY REMAIN WAITING FOR BUYING OR SELLING, I DISCUSS ABOUT SIGNALS OF BUYING AND SELLING BECAUSE THESE ALWAYS COMES PERFECTLY. best of Luck. ( edited on 13.09.2008)
Please do remain visiting following websites also ................
(1) http://www.icharts.in/charts.html...............
(2) http://truedataindia.com/index.php?sid=dinf5vrv19icmsrhgj85u6ur35&p=15...................
(3) http://niftylivechart.blogspot.com/2008/03/interactive-nifty-live-chart-yahoo.html..................
(4) http://niftyintraday.googlepages.com/nifty50...............
In the first website closely watch macd, divergence & slow,fast stockastics on EOD basis for deciding the day when to buy and when to sell. in the rest of websites closely watch intraday slow,fast stockastics for deciding exact time when to buy and when sell. Presetly I suggest not be in hurry in buying upto 25.09.2008. Please don't beleive on any paid tips advisers, astrologers all are silly and they want to cheat you only they can never be well wisher to you. Had they would have been so much intelegent in the market then instead of runing advisory serveice of just Rs 1000/- PM they would have themselves been earning a lot in this market. every body remains advising stop loss, think when you always remain incurring loss buy triggering stop loss then when you will earn. therefore try to become self independent. Never be gready, never try to save brokerage, sell immidately when ever you find sell signals. One more thing, this market will remain unstable for a quite a long time untill 50 day EMA does not comes above 200 day EMA. these EMAs you can also find in the first website suggested above by selecting periods in the lower left boxes. hence till then you have to trade carefully. I NEVER MENTION LEVELS OF NIFTY BECAUSE THERE ARE GREATER CHANCES THAT THOSE LEVELS MAY NOT COME AND YOU MAY REMAIN WAITING FOR BUYING OR SELLING, I DISCUSS ABOUT SIGNALS OF BUYING AND SELLING BECAUSE THESE ALWAYS COMES PERFECTLY. best of Luck. ( edited on 13.09.2008)
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12 Oct 2008 20:27
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Now one thing keep in mind before considering double or triple bottom. the economic conditions in June 06 were diffrent and now those conditions are diffrent.(1) then subprime crices was not there, that time fall was only due to profit booking, now sub prime crices is there.(2) then sensex was above 200 day moving average and now it is bellow 200 day moving average. (3) then fall was in bull market now fall is in bear market.
hence keeping expectation of revival of market in that style ( 2006) will be only day dreaming. this time fall is destroying economy of many contries, many bulls ( FIis ) are becoming bancrupt.
Hence Unless sensex is not start trading above 200 day moving average, shorting at each bounce will be the only best style of trading. for comming above the sensex above 200 day moving average it may take still atleast one year.
...
hence keeping expectation of revival of market in that style ( 2006) will be only day dreaming. this time fall is destroying economy of many contries, many bulls ( FIis ) are becoming bancrupt.
Hence Unless sensex is not start trading above 200 day moving average, shorting at each bounce will be the only best style of trading. for comming above the sensex above 200 day moving average it may take still atleast one year.
...
12 Oct 2008 14:34
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Dear DK, your datas are very interesting, and your views is also based on reality, it is not based on dreams. I also do not expect any good upward rally. Market may remain sidways during 2009 also.
the reasons are, many US & Europian Banks are in crices. many bulls have finished then who will lift the market up. still there is no any signals that FIIs are going to stop net sales. if they are not investing but if they stop selling even then market can gain whereas now FIIs and domestic mutual funds both are net sellers. ...
the reasons are, many US & Europian Banks are in crices. many bulls have finished then who will lift the market up. still there is no any signals that FIIs are going to stop net sales. if they are not investing but if they stop selling even then market can gain whereas now FIIs and domestic mutual funds both are net sellers. ...
12 Oct 2008 10:33
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I expect that Sensex will surely touch 9000 till 16.10.2008 and then will start recovery. initially there may be sharp bounce and will retest this level of 9000 , there after may start establizing. Upmove not expected during 2008, however consolidation is expected in Nov & Dec in the range of 9000 -10000. the sentiments has so badly shaken that smart money will not return in the market so early.
Let us see what happens ...
Let us see what happens ...
11 Oct 2008 06:58
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Dear Frends,
Still the possibility of becoming situation more & more worse in the market can not be rouled out. The total investment by FIIs at the end of Dec 07 was Rs 3,22,330.70 Crores. and till 08.10.2008 out of that they sold only Rs 1,16,833.50 and sensex has came down from 21132.97 to 10527.85 means by sale of only 36.25% the sensex has fallen 50.18% but now FIIs and Domestic Mutual Funds both are net sellers.
Major FII investors are going on to become bancrupt. then who will invest at this stage. whatever Domestic Mutual Funds & Indian Investors will bring money in the market, the FIIs will eat away.
Technically the 20 day moving average of sensex is bellow by 814.21 points from 40 day moving average. If we presume that rates will remain unchaged even then this gap will make max diffrence 1509.37 points on 31.10.2008 and then this diffrence will start reducing. Hence during Oct 08 there is no scope of any rise in the market. looking the bad financial conditions of FIIs it can not be said that 20 day average will come over the 40 day average during Nov 08
Therefore I don`t see any upmove just in near future even after Nov 08. however speed of fall may halt in Nov 08. Later on what will be the situation will be discussed during Nov 08 till then I suggest to stay away from the market. ...
Still the possibility of becoming situation more & more worse in the market can not be rouled out. The total investment by FIIs at the end of Dec 07 was Rs 3,22,330.70 Crores. and till 08.10.2008 out of that they sold only Rs 1,16,833.50 and sensex has came down from 21132.97 to 10527.85 means by sale of only 36.25% the sensex has fallen 50.18% but now FIIs and Domestic Mutual Funds both are net sellers.
Major FII investors are going on to become bancrupt. then who will invest at this stage. whatever Domestic Mutual Funds & Indian Investors will bring money in the market, the FIIs will eat away.
Technically the 20 day moving average of sensex is bellow by 814.21 points from 40 day moving average. If we presume that rates will remain unchaged even then this gap will make max diffrence 1509.37 points on 31.10.2008 and then this diffrence will start reducing. Hence during Oct 08 there is no scope of any rise in the market. looking the bad financial conditions of FIIs it can not be said that 20 day average will come over the 40 day average during Nov 08
Therefore I don`t see any upmove just in near future even after Nov 08. however speed of fall may halt in Nov 08. Later on what will be the situation will be discussed during Nov 08 till then I suggest to stay away from the market. ...
10 Oct 2008 19:54
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As I had already expressed the possibility of fall upto 20.10.2008 but it does not mean that rise will start after this date. Now after this date consolidation will start and speed of fall will be slowed down. Hence do not be hurry in buying aggrecively. The market is presently in exteem bear phase not only in India but all over the world, the process of consolidation will take very much time, it may take 4 to 6 months also. Hence better to keep your money in Bank`s Fixed Deposit for 6 to 12 months. If you are some calculative then understand, unless sensex/nifty will not come above 200 day moving average, bullish phase will not start. this final verdit. ...
07 Oct 2008 11:59
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07 Oct 2008 05:10
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Market Analysis - Technical View : Nifty Future Touches Intraday day High of 5792, ...
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26th-Nov-2007 by
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Market Analysis - Technical View : Market has given a confusing signal today.
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