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06Jan 2010: Bear market rally is topped in next few days
Posted by :
sam_pd
Boarder Since : 23rd Apr 05
Posted 3604 messages to date
well few charts doesn`t suggest that rugged will be pulled out. but i am playing for `pull the rug`.
on weekly chart, RSI has broken out of trendline. earlier this trendline was giving good signal for going short.
weekly close is highest both for nifty and sensex, so a HSH pattern is avoided on weekly chart.
weekly crossover remains in +ve territory.
On daily chart, nifty needs to close above 5260 which it will do on Monday.
No negative divergence on oscillators on daily chart.
So most of the chart points to bullishness.
Only chart suggest bearishness is my EWT analysis and due to that i am positional short on market. This zigzag wave bear market rally is very tricky , neither its running to its full strength nor breaking down. So no choice but to play this cock and bull story.
Fruit is ripe and its becoming bigger and heavier day by day but when it will fall is becoming now mystery for Grey cells.
Cheers
Budget 2010: Stimulus withdrawal will be mistake at this time
Posted by : dipakgod
Boarder Since : 9th Nov 08
Posted 6802 messages to date
(3.67)
Mid-caps are a minefield where investors have burnt their fingers, but they’re also a club where one can spot tomorrow’s winners. Suddenly automobile, mid-sized banks, and construction & engineering companies have become the new flavours. ETIG brings you a list of 42 such mid-caps.
ET has picked stocks with a market capitalisation between Rs 2,000 crore and Rs 10,000 crore, based on the average market cap for January 10. The final 42 have been selected keeping in mind the sectoral representation, and parameters like daily exchange turnover, price earning ratio, dividend yield and beta (which reflects a stock’s volatility).
What is your budget wishlist?
Posted by : dipakgod
Boarder Since : 9th Nov 08
Posted 6802 messages to date
(3.60)
बजट में जादू है! :
बगैर तली वाले बर्तन में पानी भरने का अपना ही रोमाच है.जादू जैसा? बर्तन में पानी जाता हुआ तो दिखता है मगर अचानक गायब। वित्त मंत्री हर बजट में यह जादू करते हैं। हर बजट में खर्च के कुछ बड़े आकड़े वित्त मंत्रियों के मुंह से झरते हैं और फिर मेजों की थपथपाहट के बीच लोकसभा की वर्तुलाकार दीवारों में खो जाते हैं।
पलट कर कौन पूछता है कि आखिर खर्च की इन चलनियों में कब कितना दूध भरा गया, वह दूध कहा गया और उसे लगातार भरते रहने का क्या तुक था? वित्त मंत्री ने पिछले साल दस लाख करोड़ रुपये का जादू दिखाया था और खर्च के तमाम अंध कूपों में अरबों रुपये डाल दिए थे। इस साल उनका जादू बारह लाख करोड़ रुपये का हो सकता है या शायद और ज्यादा का?
तिलिस्मी सुरंग में अंधे कुएं
खर्च बजट की तिलिस्मी सुरंग है। कोई वित्त मंत्री इसमें आगे नहीं जाता। खो जाने का पूरा खतरा है। खर्च का खेल सिर्फ बड़े आकड़ों को कायदे से कहने का खेल है। पिछले दस साल में सरकार का खर्च पाच गुना बढ़ा है। 1999-2000 में यह 2 लाख 68 हजार करोड़ रुपये पर था मगर बीते बजट में यह दस लाख करोड़ रुपये हो गया। कभी आपको यह पता चला कि आखिर सरकार ने इतना खर्च कहा किया? बताते तो यह हैं कि पिछले एक दशक के दौरान सरकार अपनी कई बड़ी जिम्मेदारिया निजी क्षेत्र को सौंप कर उदारीकरण के कुंभ में नहा रही है। दरअसल खर्च में पाच गुना वृद्घि को जायज ठहराने के लिए सरकार के पास बहुत तर्क नहीं हैं। यह खर्च कुछ ऐसे अंधे कुओं में जा रहा है, जो गलतियों के कारण खोद दिए गए मगर अब उनमें यह दान डालना अनिवार्य हो गया है। दस साल पहले केंद्र सरकार 88 हजार करोड़ रुपये का ब्याज दे रही थी मगर आज ब्याज भुगतान 2 लाख 25 हजार करोड़ रुपये का है।
Market likely to move sideways advance tax numbers awaited:
Dalal Street is likely to witness a lacklustre session this week tracking global markets, which are also expected to trade in a limited range.
Trading will be sideways this week in the downside. if nifty break 5K Mark than will see 4800 again. The market will see a gradual crawling movement with a nagative biaa.
the March quarter advance tax payment numbers, which are expected on Monday, if good, will give a push to the market But the market rallied quite a lot after the Union Budget. It is now consolidating. Advance tax numbers will act as a domestic trigger for short term.
The US Federal Open Market Committee meeting on March 16 to discuss the monetary-policy strategy and to give a description of the economy is also keenly awaited.
"The FOMC meet will give an idea as to where the interest rate is heading in the US. This will act as a big trigger for the US market, which have been rangebound for quite sometime, and in turn will impact Indian stocks.
The BSE Sensex rose for the fifth straight week, its biggest stretch of weekly gains since June 2009. The key index gained one per cent to close at 17,166.62 points over the week even as traders booked profit on select stocks.
Religious Fanatism and Riots-Who did it?
Posted by :
supuni
Boarder Since : 2nd Jan 09
Posted 218 messages to date
Dear Supreet
here is an article by CHO S. RAMASWAMY is a well-known political analyst, actor, dramatist and editor of Tamil magazine Tughlak - (one of my favourite writers)
on the same MF Husain topic
NOW THAT M.F. Husain has settled in Qatar where there is total freedom, he is free of the shackles imposed by the Indian system on freedom of expression. All those who appreciate his art would now eagerly await his imaginative paintings of the leaders of Qatari society, hopefully not artistically clothed.
His fans would not expect him to confine nudity to Hindu deities alone; it would extend to all the religions. Having already painted his mother, daughter and Muslim kings fully robed, Mr Husain, being the freed citizen that he is now in Qatar, should be prepared to remove those clothes.
How can the artist in him be satisfied with seeing Saraswati and Parvati alone in the nude? Fortunately for art in the nude, the courts here cannot do anything to Mr Husain now that he has run away from the Indian judicial system. All the cases could be now buried amidst the pictures drawn by him. Both would mercifully go to the dustbin. I am very anxious not to get branded as communal in my thinking. I want to be hailed as a secularist and so I would say with all the force I can command that Mr Husain has the inalienable right to depict the Hindu deities in the most obscene manner while taking care to paint even non-religious Muslims fully clothed. He can claim that because he hates Hitler he painted him in the nude so he could humiliate him and in the same breath justify his nude pictures of Hindu goddesses as depiction of purity.
And because I am secular, I would also assert that his not returning to India is only to gain freedom from the Indian fascism and not to avoid being apprehended by the law enforcers in this country. Being a liberal-minded artist, he naturally is not able to put up with the protests which do not harm him in any way. Shunning the Indian system and preferring the Qatar environment is not an act of hypocrisy but one of liberal, secular and free thought. And now that Mr Husain has established himself as such a stout campaigner for free expression, I must believe firmly that he will forcefully plead with his new protectors in Qatar to roll out of a bit of that red carpet to Taslima Nasreen, another hounded victim from the literary world.
A wealthy man and his son loved to collect rare works of art. They had everything in their collection, from Picasso to Raphael. They would often sit together and admire the great works of art..
When the Vietnam conflict broke out, the son went to war. He was very courageous and died in battle while rescuing another soldier. The father was notified and grieved deeply for his only son.
About a month later, just before Christmas,
There was a knock at the door. A young man stood at the door with a large package in his hands..
He said, `Sir, you don`t know me, but I am the soldier for whom your son gave his life. He saved many lives that day, and he was carrying me to safety when a bullet struck him in the heart and he died instantly... He often talked about you, and your love for art.` The young man held out this package. `I know this isn`t much. I`m not really a great artist, but I think your son would have wanted you to have this.`
The father
Opened the package. It was a portrait of his son, painted by the young man. He stared in awe at the way the soldier had captured the personality of his son in the painting. The father was so drawn to the eyes that his own eyes welled up with tears. He thanked the young man and offered to pay him for the picture.. `Oh, no sir, I could never repay what your son did for me. It`s a gift.`
The father hung the portrait over his mantle. Every time visitors came to his home he took them to see the portrait of his son before he showed them any of the other great works he had collected.
The man died a few months later.. There was to be a great auction of his paintings. Many influential people gathered, excited over seeing the great paintings and having an opportunity to purchase one for their collection.
On the platform sat the painting of the son. The auctioneer pounded his gavel. `We will start the bidding with this picture of the son. Who will bid for this picture?`
There was silence..
Then a voice in the back of the room shouted, `We want to see the famous paintings. Skip this one.`
But the auctioneer persisted. `Will somebody bid for this painting? Who will start the bidding? $100, $200?`
Another voice angrily. `We didn`t come to see this painting. We came to see the Van Gogh`s, the Rembrandts.. Get on with the
Real bids!`
But still the auctioneer continued. `The son! The son! Who`ll take the son?`
Finally, a voice came from the very back of the room. It was the longtime gardener of the man and his son. `I`ll give $10 for the painting...` Being a poor man, it was all he could afford.
`We have $10, who will bid $20?`
`Give it to him for $10. Let`s see the masters.`
The crowd was becoming angry. They didn`t want the picture of the son.
They wanted the more worthy investments for their collections.
The auctioneer pounded the gavel. `Going once, twice, SOLD for $10!`
A man sitting on the second row shouted, `Now let`s get on with the collection!`
The auctioneer laid down his gavel. `I`m sorry, the auction is over.`
`What about the paintings?`
`I am sorry. When I was called to conduct this auction, I was told of a secret stipulation in the will. I was not allowed to reveal that stipulation until this time. Only the painting of the son would be auctioned. Whoever bought that painting would inherit the entire estate, including the paintings.
The man who took the son gets everything!`
Mr. Bagram Ji, I remember as you given comment for Nakoda for 25 Rs
Posted by : bagram
Boarder Since : 30th Aug 08
Posted 1395 messages to date
dear old gold
this share in last october was trading at 58.36 because i purchased at this rate in oct only 300 shares after wards started studying on this share but i sold this 300 at79 in nov last week
then they announced split and bonus
then again i started purchasing in each dip from dec and i collected 10k
now it has become 40 k and average is 17rs
before bonus book value was 53 now it is 14.50
after getting split and bonus all week hands started selling portion of their holding other wise there is no other reason for a fall like this
if we persume that promotor holding is still 50 percent
floating stock will be 3crores 32 lacks share
but now volume has come dwon on an average ilack 20 thousands total stock is 6 crores.64 lacks and delivery volume is around 70 percent
this indicates that somebody is accumulating because small investors alone can not take 70 percent delivery
what i expect is their coming first quarter sales will touch 300 crores minimum and a minimum profit of 15 crores so e.p.s will cometo 2.26 industrial average is above 5 so if you annulise this eps it will clock an eps of 9 so the price will be 45rs minimum
this is my minimum calculation
but as per c.eo he is expecting more than my calculation which he was claiming durig an interview to rediff money before few days
another thing i noticed is this share will be subdued till nov and after their 6 months result is out it will start going up
last year also it happened
since they are having clean energy section they will get incencitive also from goi
there is 200 crore allocation to tirupur textile unit in budget textile industry will grow
this company has started functioning the sez in surat and they have tied up all of their finished goods with 26 enterpenure so all will be sold in surat its self
so i decided to for long term because promotors are having agressive mood to diversify and further expansion in wind energy and textile industry (which they are having all ready)
my feeling is this is one small capital share to accumulate and keep for long term
after all it is up to the investors to decide
disclaimer i am holding this share and this is not a buy call
1947 : JK : Nehru ::2010: Arunachal : Krishna ; Wake up Indians ; Do whistle blowing on the serious issue
Posted by : xyz_indian
Boarder Since : 19th Mar 09
Posted 1044 messages to date
1947 : JK : Nehru
Patel asked Nehru for 48 hours to solve JK territory issue with pak. (please be in knowledge that patel solved Hyderabad, junagarh with his decision making & problem solving vision when Nehru was on foreign visit.)
But our respected chacha Nehru referred the matter to UN for solution.
Implication of referring JK to third party which is international council.
It simply means that JK is disputed territory between us two India and pak and UN as a mediator is requested to solve this.
And we are seeing how it is being solved in last 60 years and how poor Indian are being suffered in territory.
2010: Arunachal : Krishna
Now china is doing everything to project Arunachal as a disputed territory.
World Bank (WB) grant/fund can not be used in a disputed territory between any two country.
Due to pressure of one Chinese office in WB, India govt(Krishna) is giving in written that India will not use WN fund for Arunachal.
(for detail visit google News India and type : India + china + Arunachal + World Bank )
What is implication of this ?????????
After 5-10 years, china will be more aggressive regarding arunachal and will try to seek reasons to attack India.
China will show to international community the WB document where India admitted that no WB fund will be used for arunachal.
And chima will argue that why India mentioned one state name arunachal out of 28 states in WB document after Chinese objection because India also agree that arunachal is disputed territory.
All this will give china base/reason to attack India.
Wake up Indian and decide urself with ur own mind/conciousness !!!
Which one is important ?
World Bank Grant/Fund ???
Or
Sovereignty and territorial integrity of India ???
Indian govt should not get the WB fund byr compromising with sovereignty and territorial integrity of India.
After 5 or 10 years if anything happen with arunachal alike JK than we will not get chance to CTRL+Z ( to undo) this decision.
Media is silent on this serious issue. Lets all indians who understand the matter do whistle blowing on the serious issue.
PS : these are my personal views as a Indian and every one have democratic right to differ me. I welcome.
Are YOU missing something in your LIFE?????
Posted by : aamaadmi
Boarder Since : 23rd Feb 09
Posted 1602 messages to date
A woman came home from work late, tired and irritated, to find her 5-year old son waiting for her at the door.
SON: `Mummy, may I ask you a question?`
MUM: `Yeah sure, what it is?` replied the woman.
SON: `Mummy, how much do you make an hour?`
MUM: `That`s none of your business. Why do you ask such a thing?` the woman said angrily.
SON: `I just want to know. Please tell me, how much do you make an hour?`
MUM: `If you must know, I make R 50 an hour.`
SON: `Oh,` the little boy replied, with his head down.
SON: `Mummy, may I please borrow R25?`
The mother was furious, `If the only reason you asked that is so you can borrow some money to buy a silly toy or some other nonsense, then you march yourself straight to your room and go to bed. Think about why you are being so selfish. I don`t work hard everyday for such childish frivolities.`
The little boy quietly went to his room and shut the door..
The woman sat down and started to get even angrier about the little boy`s questions. How dare he ask such questions only to get some money?
After about an hour or so, the woman had calmed down , and started to think:
Maybe there was something he really needed to buy with that R25.00 and she really didn`t ask for money very often.The woman went to the door of the little boy`s room and opened the door.
`Are you asleep, son?` She asked.
`No Mummy, I`m awake,` replied the boy.
`I`ve been thinking, maybe I was too hard on you earlier` said the woman. `It`s been a long day and I took out my aggravation on you. Here`s the R25 you asked for.`
The little boy sat straight up, smiling. `Oh, thank you Mummy!` he yelled. Then, reaching under his pillow he pulled out some crumpled up bills.
The woman saw that the boy already had money, started to get angry again.
The little boy slowly counted out his money, and then looked up at his mother.
`Why do you want more money if you already have some?` the mother grumbled.
`Because I didn`t have enough, but now I do,` the little boy replied.
`Mummy, I have R50 now. Can I buy an hour of your time? Please come home early tomorrow. I would like to have dinner with you.`
The mother was crushed. She put his arms around her little son, and she begged for his forgiveness.
It`s just a short reminder to all of you working so hard in life. We should not let time slip through our fingers without having spent some time with those who really matter to us, those close to our hearts. Do remember to share that R50 worth of your time with someone you love.
If we die tomorrow, the company that we are working for could easily replace us in a matter of hours. But the family & friends we leave behind will feel the loss for the rest of their lives.
Long Time Friend
A while ago, my Dad met a stranger who was new to our small town. From the beginning, Dad was fascinated with
this enchanting newcomer and soon invited him to live with our family. The stranger was quickly accepted and was around from then on.
As I grew up, I never questioned his place in my family. In my young mind, he had a special niche. My parents were complementary instructors: Mom taught me
good from evil, and Dad taught me to obey. But the stranger...he was our storyteller.He would keep us spellbound for hours on end with adventures, mysteries and comedies.
If I wanted to know anything about politics, history or science, he always knew the answers about the past,understood the present and even seemed able to predict the future! He took my family to the first major league
ball game. He made me laugh, and he made me cry.
The stranger never stopped talking, but Dad didn`t seem to mind.Sometimes, Mom would get up quietly while the rest of us were shushing each other to listen to what he had to say,and she would go to the kitchen for peace and quiet (I
wonder now if she ever prayed for the stranger to leave)
Dad ruled our household with certain moral convictions, but the stranger never felt obligated to honour them.
Profanity, for example, was not allowed in our home...Not from us, our friends or any visitors. Our long-time visitor, however, got away with four-letter words
that burned my ears and made my dad squirm and my mother blush.
My Dad didn`t permit the liberal use of alcohol.But the stranger encouraged us to try it on a regular basis. He made cigarettes look cool, cigars manly and
pipes distinguished.
He talked freely (much too freely!) about sex. His comments were sometimes blatant, sometimes suggestive,and
generally embarrassing.
I now know that my early concepts about relationships were influenced strongly by the stranger.Time after time, he opposed the values of my parents,yet he was seldom rebuked... And NEVER asked to leave.
More than fifty years have passed since the stranger moved in with our family. He has blended right in and is not
nearly as fascinating as he was at first. Still, ifyou could walk into my parents` den today, you would still find him sitting over in his corner, waiting for someone to listen to him talk and watch him draw his pictures.
His name?....
We just call him `TV.`
(Note: This should be required reading for every household!)
He has a wife now....We call her
`Computer.`
Their first child`s name
`Cell Phone`.
and Second child is called
`I Pod`
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