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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Stocks >> Infrastructure Development Finance Company
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Stocks   Infrastructure Development Finance Company

Infrastructure Development Finance Company

Belongs to: Finance - Term Lending Institutions
Buy, Sell or Hold? 299 comments
1 positive opinions
18 boarder queries
176 boarder tracking
Peer stocks in Finance - Term Lending Institutions sector
BSE: 532659
NSE: IDFC
59.00  9.1 (18.24)
Volume: 3500117
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13 Oct 2008 11:34

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : mukut
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 55.55 ( 11.32 % ), NSE: Rs. 56.50 ( 13.23 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Ioday IDFC has recovered almost 13%, I am expecting triggering short covering above 60 and that will take this stock to 80+. I have taken long position 10 lot @ 48 for the target 70+ and stop loss 40....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : pkk07

Ultimately Nifty will bottom out in the range of 2400 - 2800. On Fridays close, NIFTY PE was still 14. Not really cheap given the weak fundamentals.

13 Oct 2008 10:40

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : pkk07
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 54.55 ( 9.32 % ), NSE: Rs. 55.05 ( 10.32 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Ultimately Nifty will bottom out in the range of 2400 - 2800. On Fridays close, NIFTY PE was still 14. Not really cheap given the weak fundamentals....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru

Dear Mukut,

Even though the street signs looking bullish on the Markets now, we will see a selling pressure come to every level, as more persons took the stocks at dirt cheap rates, and when they see a 25 % or 30 % rise they can not resist but to sell, This will bring down the market again and again. I see a strong resistance at 3800 levels for nifty.

13 Oct 2008 08:22

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Dear Investor11,

IDFC has been underperforming after the management told in the open that they see a credit slowness, Now IDFC will not run away with any rallies, It has to build up significantly, and then it can move up, because it`s lending to Infrastructure, since infrastructure companies are not seeing growth in the coming months, it is very difficult for IDFC to move up even though you may see a bounce in NIFTY levels.
...

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : investor11

Thanks for ur opinion but i feel Nifty 3800 means IDFC should be around 75+ i am sure by looking at the fundamentals it should outperform.
regards

12 Oct 2008 23:43

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : investor11
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Thanks for ur opinion but i feel Nifty 3800 means IDFC should be around 75+ i am sure by looking at the fundamentals it should outperform.
regards...

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru

Dear Investor11,

I`m going watch to watch the level of 3800 on nifty closely, on the slightest signs of weakness also I will book profits on my SOLD PUTs and Buy PUTS...

Play with caution, market is not going to anywhere in a hurry.. so we have plenty of time to plan and PLAY...

12 Oct 2008 20:56

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Dear Investor11,

I`m going watch to watch the level of 3800 on nifty closely, on the slightest signs of weakness also I will book profits on my SOLD PUTs and Buy PUTS...

Play with caution, market is not going to anywhere in a hurry.. so we have plenty of time to plan and PLAY......

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : investor11

Thjere would be recovery monady on but not subtle it would be gradual which is healthy for the market.I see Nifty to close below 3600 by this expiry.Novemeber may see further higher no due to amprovement in global economic scenario.

12 Oct 2008 15:16

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : mukut
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Angel broking Rajen shah adviced their clients to buy Indian Bank for short and long term at 90 level. And indian bank comes out to be one of strong stock in falling market. If Rajen shah is advicing to enter in IDFC then his team might have study this scrip well. He is also asking to ignore ICICI bank at current level inspite at cheap level. But there is some rumours on liquidity problem. If everybody moves their money from ICICI Bank to some other than it could be liqidate by RBI also....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : investor11

Thjere would be recovery monady on but not subtle it would be gradual which is healthy for the market.I see Nifty to close below 3600 by this expiry.Novemeber may see further higher no due to amprovement in global economic scenario.

12 Oct 2008 14:23

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : investor11
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Thjere would be recovery monady on but not subtle it would be gradual which is healthy for the market.I see Nifty to close below 3600 by this expiry.Novemeber may see further higher no due to amprovement in global economic scenario....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru

Dear Mukut,

Even though the street signs looking bullish on the Markets now, we will see a selling pressure come to every level, as more persons took the stocks at dirt cheap rates, and when they see a 25 % or 30 % rise they can not resist but to sell, This will bring down the market again and again. I see a strong resistance at 3800 levels for nifty.

12 Oct 2008 13:50

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vikadi
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

It looks loke it is going to get dragged further. We must be very careful while avaraging....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru

Dear Mukut,

Even though the street signs looking bullish on the Markets now, we will see a selling pressure come to every level, as more persons took the stocks at dirt cheap rates, and when they see a 25 % or 30 % rise they can not resist but to sell, This will bring down the market again and again. I see a strong resistance at 3800 levels for nifty.

12 Oct 2008 11:18

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : Guest
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

This is not a darling of investors. In fact this carries most risk as it funds infrastructure projects. Liquidity will hit is performance. Q3 and Q4 will be poor and therefore its chances of hitting 32 is very very high. So hold back fresh investments....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : mukut

I am expecting bounce back on monday. Nasdaq closed in green, N-Deal signed, Inflation down, CRR down and RBI and Sebi assured good health for bancking and financial system. Now Monday bounce back lead by short covering will take it to 65.

11 Oct 2008 23:59

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : vam_aru
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Dear Mukut,

Even though the street signs looking bullish on the Markets now, we will see a selling pressure come to every level, as more persons took the stocks at dirt cheap rates, and when they see a 25 % or 30 % rise they can not resist but to sell, This will bring down the market again and again. I see a strong resistance at 3800 levels for nifty.
...

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : mukut

I am expecting bounce back on monday. Nasdaq closed in green, N-Deal signed, Inflation down, CRR down and RBI and Sebi assured good health for bancking and financial system. Now Monday bounce back lead by short covering will take it to 65.

11 Oct 2008 23:49

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : mukut
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

I am expecting bounce back on monday. Nasdaq closed in green, N-Deal signed, Inflation down, CRR down and RBI and Sebi assured good health for bancking and financial system. Now Monday bounce back lead by short covering will take it to 65....

In reply to:

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : Bullalways

IDFC has seen some spectacular appreciation in the last one year. Now all those gains have been given up and it is back to the point from where it started all.
From a macro perspective, I believe IDFC will have difficulty in raising credit to fund indian infrstructure growth and this is primarily telling on the stock. The other aspects are low returns from the PE business, brokerage business and AMC business due to bad market performance.
The only silver lining for IDFC will be advisory services in this gloom environment.
Moreover one has to factor in the high risk of NPAs cropping up at this stage.

Considering this I believe IDFC is fairly valued and at most can go back to 80 levels.

11 Oct 2008 23:04

Difficult times for IDFC

Posted by : Bullalways
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (12 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

IDFC has seen some spectacular appreciation in the last one year. Now all those gains have been given up and it is back to the point from where it started all.
From a macro perspective, I believe IDFC will have difficulty in raising credit to fund indian infrstructure growth and this is primarily telling on the stock. The other aspects are low returns from the PE business, brokerage business and AMC business due to bad market performance.
The only silver lining for IDFC will be advisory services in this gloom environment.
Moreover one has to factor in the high risk of NPAs cropping up at this stage.

Considering this I believe IDFC is fairly valued and at most can go back to 80 levels.
...

11 Oct 2008 20:14

will it come back??

Posted by : vgs
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (10 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Thing is which stock goes up fast. If IDFC is not in that list then come out of it irrespective of what price you have entered and get into some other stock. Finance sector is badly affected and stocks from this sector will take long time to go up.

Thanks
vg...

In reply to:

will it come back??

Posted by : pkk07

Those who are holding from 200 and did not sell at 150 or 100 have no point selling now at 50.

For buyers however, they must remember that Nifty closed below PE 15 for the first time this year on Friday. We are going to spend 12-18 months below PE 15. There may be rallies in between like we had in August but we will stay below PE 15 for a long time. So buyers should start buying in small quantities now. Also remember, there is never a need to chase prices in a bear market. The stock will always be available cheaper the next day / week / month.

11 Oct 2008 18:30

will it come back??

Posted by : pkk07
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (10 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Those who are holding from 200 and did not sell at 150 or 100 have no point selling now at 50.

For buyers however, they must remember that Nifty closed below PE 15 for the first time this year on Friday. We are going to spend 12-18 months below PE 15. There may be rallies in between like we had in August but we will stay below PE 15 for a long time. So buyers should start buying in small quantities now. Also remember, there is never a need to chase prices in a bear market. The stock will always be available cheaper the next day / week / month....

In reply to:

will it come back??

Posted by : mukut

Do u want people to exit at this level who are holding this scrip from 200 level and buy at 31-32? :) It may dip or not nobody knows but now market can start can take any direction from this level. So I would advice people to hold or start accummulate if u want to enter into IDFC.

11 Oct 2008 17:29

will it come back??

Posted by : mukut
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 49.90 ( -13.67 % ), NSE: Rs. 49.90 ( -13.74 % )
View full thread (10 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Do u want people to exit at this level who are holding this scrip from 200 level and buy at 31-32? :) It may dip or not nobody knows but now market can start can take any direction from this level. So I would advice people to hold or start accummulate if u want to enter into IDFC....

In reply to:

will it come back??

Posted by : avrochan

IDFC, BU AT 31-32/- ONLY. The Infra/Realty sector is going to be badly butchered in coming days and I am surprised to see some analysts giving buy recommendation. If you look at analysts recommendations like a most senior Ashwini Gujral, we could see prices falling to 1/4 in couple of weeks. Be careful any accummulation at this point, IIP is worst, generally there is mass slow down. Wait for a bottom which we can see when prices hit back. In the case of IDFC, it is an overrun script with multibagger recommendation and the price may fall to Rs.31-32 levels. So wait for an accummulation at that level.


10-10 Buy now to reap rewards 24-30 months later: Angel Broking

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 positive outlook

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