| Post a Message | Explore Forums | Browse Stock Messages | Hot Discussions | Top rated Messages | Top Boarders | |
|
|
|

Amol77
Last visited by:
pleasant, me_too, jainskj, hemantshah23, mohan.share, syam, GBHUF, jayashu, WhatsUP, Guest, BKT, ry771, dlalwala, dvksingh, b_sar1,
I am Amol from India. All my picks should be treated as long term bets. I hardly give any short term pick, even if I do so, will mention it clearly. It would be very wise on your part to do study of the recommendation and invest in it only if you believe in story. I only have fundamental analysis done. Entry levels and targets are not discussed by me. Rather I believe in strategy. One such strategy is to sell half or some portion of the stock when it grow significantly in short duration and get your investment out and keep the rest for long term benefit. My advice to others: - Patience is always tested by the markets before it rewards. - Long term investor can make decent profits. - Consult a few people. Lots of idea and people can confuse you. - Best thing in market, invest if you believe in the story/business. I follow advice given by some respected boarders like KFactor,KJP, lkr, Ramge, Kukku and others. I read messages posted by Zeenut, epiphany, ChartGuru Here is my recommendation list: Carbon Credits Navin Flourine Updated on: 20th May 2008 Navin's Clean development project got approval from United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (unfccc) for 2.8 millions carbon credits for next 10 years. As a part of it it started receiving carbon credits from Fed 2008. Look at this page for the carbon credits issued to Navin. You can find the carbon credits issued by search the project number of Navin which is 0838. Navin will generate close to 7 lakhs carbon credits per quarter i.e. 28 lakhs per year. Each lot of carbon credits will be issued to Navin once it present their result and report to the agency. Now here is a calculations: 28 lakhs per year Carbon credits CMP of Carbon credits on NCDEX = 1054 (16th May 2008) Find latest price here No of share of Navin = 10099889. Earning calculations: 2800000 (Carbon credits per year) X 1054 (CMP of carbon credits) = 2951200000 (295 crores). Less tax and other duties and payment to agencies (I assume that should not be more than 40%). After reducing the tax amount remaining = 2951200000 X 0.6 = 1770720000 (177 crores). EPS (yearly) = 1770720000 / 10099889 (No. of shares) = 175.32. Give moderate PE of 31 (which happens to be Current PE) then the price should be = EPS X PE = 175.32 X 31 = 5434.92. Will write more about the following stock as and when I get time Gujarat Flourochemicals SRF Torrent Power Real Estate Shree Ram Urban Infra Ruby mills Swan Mills SSI Shree Precoated Nuchem Good business + Real Estate KCP Indian Hume Pipes Updated on: 20th May 2008 According to the director's report it has 30 plants closed across the country. Look at the recent announcement of the company. Patel Engg. Hindustan Construction Rajesh Export Walchandnagar Godrej Industries |
Also see Amol77’s rated messages
01 Oct 2008 12:50
View full thread (10 messages)
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
25 Sep 2008 13:55
View full thread (4 messages)
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
I cant make it out from the quarterly results...
I know they are going to make tons of profit .... But that does not answer my query .... I want somebody knowledgeable to put some figure (of course with facts) ...
Here is my calculation, but i may be completely wrong ...
8 lakh square fts of residential and commerical area built ... If I search on internet the rates are around 4500 to 9000 ... lets take the lowest rates of 4500. The money they make is:
800000 X 4500 = 360 crores.
Deducting the tax and construction cost which should be 40%. What remains in profit is: 216 crores. Assuming this will not come together and will be spanned across 2 years ... so half will come in first year and half in another year ... 108 crores profit...
EPS = 108 crores /4022425 = 268. (of course the EPS will be less if split into 10 shares). Give a nominal PE of 10, price should be 2680.
But I may be completely wrong estimating it on higher or lower side...
Can anybody wants to apply their logic over here ???...
I know they are going to make tons of profit .... But that does not answer my query .... I want somebody knowledgeable to put some figure (of course with facts) ...
Here is my calculation, but i may be completely wrong ...
8 lakh square fts of residential and commerical area built ... If I search on internet the rates are around 4500 to 9000 ... lets take the lowest rates of 4500. The money they make is:
800000 X 4500 = 360 crores.
Deducting the tax and construction cost which should be 40%. What remains in profit is: 216 crores. Assuming this will not come together and will be spanned across 2 years ... so half will come in first year and half in another year ... 108 crores profit...
EPS = 108 crores /4022425 = 268. (of course the EPS will be less if split into 10 shares). Give a nominal PE of 10, price should be 2680.
But I may be completely wrong estimating it on higher or lower side...
Can anybody wants to apply their logic over here ???...
24 Sep 2008 16:19
View full thread (4 messages)
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
24 Sep 2008 16:16
View full thread (4 messages)
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
I yesterday received the annual report. After going thru the report found that the company along with a partner company KCBL is developing building no. 4 which is approximately 74000 sq feets. But when you see their website it talk about 8 lakh sq feets development. A little bit confused on this front.
Secondly I found a layout of the site and it states that almost 40% of site is ready for possession. Then why are the profits not coming from sale of those? Does anybody have complete details about whos is building it and how much more time its gonna take?
Thanks
Amol...
Secondly I found a layout of the site and it states that almost 40% of site is ready for possession. Then why are the profits not coming from sale of those? Does anybody have complete details about whos is building it and how much more time its gonna take?
Thanks
Amol...
Amol77’s Network
Amol77’s Interest Area




Offline
Platinum

