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Market Outlook - Short Term
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
As far as I concerned....they who ever they are told us that us dollar was dead..... not true.....look its live n kicking ass...Opec is getting banged both ways oil is loosing ground and there cash reserves on euro have lost at least 25%..... + watch real estate to get hit hard in middle east..... they told me oil will hit 200 +.... not true...top Russian oil stock holders have lost billions... Russian stock market is halted attleast 10 times ....... they are telling me gold is safe haven that will also prove to b wrong ... just like oil gold sellers will not know how to exit......They have bring on a manufactured credit squeeze to force sell equity shares .... and that`s what I will buy only. .... folks its time to defend yourself and not give in to this nonsense......
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by :
BullSheetRules
Dear pkjattking,
For DOW, 7400 is the LONG TERM Support. So effectively, Dow in this range of 7400-8400 should result in DIRT Cheap prices for many stocks unless DOW would like to go for a TOSS! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :) 
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Guess who is managing that 700 Billion Bail Out package. Read below and spread the word.
Neel Kashkari was selected by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to oversee the bailout program:
1. Neel Kashkari - 35-year old Indian-American whiz
2. Neel Kashkari, an assistant secretary of international affairs and a former Goldman Sachs banker
3. Kashkari has been a close adviser to Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. on the credit crisis and helped draft the legislation for the massive rescue plan.
4. Kashkari is one of nearly half-dozen Indian-Americans, including Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, who have served in the Bush administration at Tier Two cabinet levels.
5. Kashkari was nominated as assistant secretary and confirmed by the Senate in July this year.
6. Kashkari has a bachelor`s degree in engineering from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
7. Kashkari earned his master`s degree in aerospace engineering.
8. Kaskari worked as the R&D Principal Investigator at the company TRW in Redondo Beach, California
9. He did his MBA at Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
10. He then joined Goldman Sachs in San Francisco.
11. Neel Kashkari`s parents hail from Jammu and Kashmir, India.
12. Neel was born in Akron, Ohio to Chaman and Sheila Kashkari, Indian immigrants.
13. His father Chaman Kashkari, who taught at the University of Akron, is now a retired professor of engineering
14. His mother Sheila Kashkari is a pathologist.
15. Neel’s wife Minal works for defense contractor Lockheed Martin.
...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Dear pkjattking,
For DOW, 7400 is the LONG TERM Support. So effectively, Dow in this range of 7400-8400 should result in DIRT Cheap prices for many stocks unless DOW would like to go for a TOSS! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
I was just watch Mr Udayan it seems like if he is having hard time breathing or his throat is dried up... will some one give him a glass of water plz..... on the other hand Mitali seems to b giggling a bit....lol...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Dear pkjattking,
For DOW, 7400 is the LONG TERM Support. So effectively, Dow in this range of 7400-8400 should result in DIRT Cheap prices for many stocks unless DOW would like to go for a TOSS! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
There is a global meltdown and it’s a terribly gloomy picture all across. Asian markets slumped on Wall Street cues. Crude has fallen below USD 86 pre barrel and is now trading at USD 82.15 per barrel on demand concerns. Gold prices plunged on demand concerns....
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Dear vam_ru,
Downside is limited to 3050 in current situation. however, Upside is capped at 3700 /4100
Technically, both DOW and Nifty deserves some upward RALLY, however, I expect Nifty to go below 3000 level over a longer time frame if those BS FIIs continue with that MAD SELLing.
So, PLAN your GAME accordingly.
Gud luk & happy investing! :)...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : vam_aru
Dear BSR,
Welcome back, i too expect the markets to stable around 2900 to 3000 levels , If there is any slight rallies in the coming week will be unfortunately will be sold off...
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Dear BSR,
Welcome back, i too expect the markets to stable around 2900 to 3000 levels , If there is any slight rallies in the coming week will be unfortunately will be sold off...
...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Dear lovemeall26,
In my BS opinion, You have explained different situations correctly.
Just for info: I am SHORT on Nifty! :)
Over a longer time frame, I expect Nifty continue to come down and stablise under 3000 level unless DOW make some kind of immediate UPTREND above 10000 level.
You may find a bit SCARY to know what kind of level I am looking for building those LT investment portfolio. :) Just to give an idea: IFCI about 12-15 level, Nagarjuna around 12-14 level, Renuka around 18-22 level.
If I do not see those counters coming to my price level target, then I will PLAY as per PLAYers PLAYing the GAME!
This is like I will invest in a new home in real estate only when a flat of 1 crore CRASH to a price of 20 lakhs first and then will see the new developments / situtations! :)
I hope that clears some BS points as far as building those LT investments are concerned!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
httX://3.bp.blogspot.coX/_iAG8XurigTA/SPDgJNeYNvI/AAAAAAAAAI4/B-_NIHqoIz8/s1600-h/Nifty+13-17+Oct.bmp
replace httx with http and cox with com charts shows weekly support which comes at 3200
now we shuld start recovery from Monday...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
:)
Your msg got truncated!
I was more interested to know this significance of \\`Matured\\`.. so far, ppl used to say bear and bull market... now come the interesting term matured!
just see dow now... is that a sign of matured bear market? :) :) Dow may surprise common ppl in October... just like those BS experts will say surprise results or better than expected results! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Just for info:
in US market, Much of the selling now is forced: Hedge fund managers may not want to let stocks go at these prices, but their clients want their money back. Ditto for mutual fund managers, who are facing a surge in redemptions. Selling begets more selling.
This implies that common investors will SELL their stocks and BIG PLAYers will start BUYing based on the assumption that DOW will survive over a longer time frame!
So prepare for that Big Discount Sale SHOPPING! :)
Gud luk & happy investing!...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Dear pkjattking,
For DOW, 7400 is the LONG TERM Support. So effectively, Dow in this range of 7400-8400 should result in DIRT Cheap prices for many stocks unless DOW would like to go for a TOSS! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
Yes..very true..Bull and Bear both parts of trading game...am taking as an opppurtunity for investing ...wht`s abt you?...
In reply to:
Has your confidence in equities been shattered?
Posted by :
iktikn
My portfolio is down 45%. Have I lost confidence in equities? No. The reason is simple. Equities provide the best returns if invested wisely. Panic selling is a result of fear as a result of which, the fear is turned into reality. But, this a good buying opportunity. The markets won`t be closed and the world will not come to an end. This means for the industry to function and for the economy to grow, equity markets are critical. So, the crisis has to be and will be resolved. If and when that happens, the markets will bounce back. But, we have to be intelligent enough to take advantage of this crisis to make profits. We obviously have to start buying and stagger our investments. In conclusion, equity markets will exist as long as the human race exists. If it ends, then we need not worry about the markets anymore. If it doesn`t, then we have nothing to worry. Either way we are at an advantage. :)
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Dear pkjattking,
For DOW, 7400 is the LONG TERM Support. So effectively, Dow in this range of 7400-8400 should result in DIRT Cheap prices for many stocks unless DOW would like to go for a TOSS! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :)...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : pkjattking
By looking at the history of Dow for lasts 40 years ...its the months Sept and October where the tide turns.... 8000 for Dow has been a support for 40 years.....if we go below and sustain tha level.....only god knows where it will stop.....
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Dear novice1000,
Thank you again for taking time out and providing those valuable inputs. :)
Let us see how GAME pan out going ahead!
Just for info: If Sensex goes below 8800 or Nifty goes below 2600, then ppl should forget about any recovery in Indian STOCK market for a few months until those BS Big PLAYers are over with their BUYing or over with their BS stories! :)
For DOW, 7400 is the equivalent long term support!
If we look at all those 3 indexes, then we are close to LONG Term support for them all.
That is why, I believe that within 3 months, many stocks should be available at very DIRT Cheap prices. Ppl should do their HOMEWORK before putting any FRESH investments into the market!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : novice1000
dear BSR,
Quote: Will those macro fundamentals stories look fine after a year as base effect will be less?
Unquote: I dont know about the stories.. i know only about my calculated analyses.
I have a very clear picture in mind how the macros affect the growth and how the impacted growth will affect the movement of indicies.
And during this kind of bearish phase,first the economy should stabilize( read as growth).During that phase, the bad sentiments and the liquidity crunch will make indicies move slower than the actual ecomomic growth before forming a base for next bull run.
Quote:However, this itself show how easily various GAME is PLAYed in different markets when every BS experts start claiming Oil going towards 200 USD!
Unquote:The projected target price of 200 USD per barrel was a speculated one(Not a fundamental one as the excessive demand than supply).
Whether such speculated targets will ever be met or not depends on
1) The ability of the speculators to take it there.
2) And the real intensions of speculators whether they really want to take it to that level or not.
Now the real question is not about crude price reaching that level. Instead how long the crude price was maintained at a level which is beyond the bearable level for our country. In fact for almost 6 months it was at higher levels which made all the fiscal plans awry.
Quote:Let us see if market moves up in hurry as no one knows and market is not in control of one group!! Once those BS FIIs start BUYing, everything will look better!
Unquote:At present markets are at fair levels.There is only one group that creates excesses in the markets...US based investment banks, hedge funds and other institutional investors.But they are handicapped right now.
DIIs, sovereign funds, Indian retail investors never create excesses in the over all markets( except stray incidents like some promoter groups and few HNIs playing with some small caps).If at all DIIS and sovereign funds create excesses, they bankrupt like their western counterparts.
Quote:As I told you before depending on the movement of Nifty, all kind of BS reasons can be given!
Unquote:I dont know about BS reasons, but i have been telling this since July 2008 when i was convinced about the disturbed macro fundamentals.
From purely fundamental perspective, i said( in July 2008) 15600-15800 will act as cap for the month of August 2008.
For me, the next cap for the month of Nov 2008 was 16100 which i had in mind before the Lehman`s filing for bankruptcy.So i was forced to relook at the upside cap after the Lehman`s incident.I was expecting those bankruptcy incidents to take place after Nov 2008.
And pls dont confused that the projected upside cap as the projected target.
regards
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
The markets resistance level is now become 3800 for NIFTY, I feel 3800 can not be breached in the near term......
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : sanjay38000
i think market to rally at least 2000 points from monday and i hope the sensex to run upto nearly at 12600 ( high made in may 2006). than again it will slide
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Dear sp.palo,
I follow combination of TA, FA and Sentiments and PLAY as per the PLAYers PLAYing the GAME! :)
For me, Stock market or for that matter, any market is a GAME of Real Money!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : sp.palo
Dear BSR,
do you follow TA or FA ?
regards
shakti
Tracked by: 110 Boarders
Dear lovemeall26,
In my BS opinion, You have explained different situations correctly.
Just for info: I am SHORT on Nifty! :)
Over a longer time frame, I expect Nifty continue to come down and stablise under 3000 level unless DOW make some kind of immediate UPTREND above 10000 level.
You may find a bit SCARY to know what kind of level I am looking for building those LT investment portfolio. :) Just to give an idea: IFCI about 12-15 level, Nagarjuna around 12-14 level, Renuka around 18-22 level.
If I do not see those counters coming to my price level target, then I will PLAY as per PLAYers PLAYing the GAME!
This is like I will invest in a new home in real estate only when a flat of 1 crore CRASH to a price of 20 lakhs first and then will see the new developments / situtations! :)
I hope that clears some BS points as far as building those LT investments are concerned!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : lovemeall26
Hello BSR,
Yes technically, we should have a nice bounceback as shortcovering comes to the fore,but that depends when the bears have had their fill and decide that enough is enough because the ball is now in their court and they are making the rules of the game. Yes this rally will be used by stuck up bulls to offload their long positions and when they withdraw their support to further go long, our markets may again sink to 3000 levels. There is increased uncertainty around the globe and the way the dow performed on friday, it was nothing short of a formula one race. I mean traders around the world including India are totally on roller coaster rides. But trading right now is also favouring the brave who do venture out into the killing fields.
take care
lovemeall26
Tracked by: 8 Boarders
Dear Kalidas jee
I seek your opinion on the following if at all you can afford time :
1. Is it OK to buy IFCI at present level (around 25) or to wait for
lower levels
2. United Spirits (previously MACDOWELL) has already come down
drastically to 747 level. Can one sell it now with a view to buying
back at reasonably lower levels ?
3. In your assesment where the SENSEX could bottom out ? Is it likely
to go below 9500 ?
Your assesment and guidance will be of immense help
Thanks and Regards
impatient
...
In reply to:
SENSEX to rally by 2400 pts in 7 days
Posted by :
mravi2008
Hi, It completed 2400 point correction as you predicted few days back, only thing it took more than 3 days! Great insight and prediction!
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