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karshin  [ Belongs to: Platinum Circle ]

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about karshin  
Joined on: 15th Sep 2005
Posted 2566 messages to date
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Odd One OutP and GCals Refineries 

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Heading

Indian Hotels

Posted by : karshin

Date :25th Nov, 2009 - 20:41

BSE: Rs 86.05 ( 0.76 % ), NSE: Rs. 86.05 ( 0.82 % )
journey has already started my dear book your reservation otherwise "karvan gujar gaya gubar dekhte rahe"
karshin...

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P and G

P and G

Posted by : karshin

Date :25th Nov, 2009 - 19:50

BSE: Rs 1739.90 ( -2.01 % ), NSE: Rs. 1747.15 ( -1.29 % )
toncare

if you are talking about the link to my articles, please go to "explore forums" and click it you will see `ideas from you` under the head "my space" . you will find articles there.
karshin...

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SLEEPING GIANT- NHPC

NHPC

Posted by : karshin

Date :25th Nov, 2009 - 19:42

BSE: Rs 31.00 ( -1.74 % ), NSE: Rs. 31.00 ( -1.74 % )
investor11
The P/E of PSU`s is low because of the caretaker management. They are not innovative management because of many rules , regulations and other restriction put on the management which act as killing of innovative spirit of the management team.
karshin...

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Time Analysis

Ideas From You

Posted by : karshin

Date :25th Nov, 2009 - 19:37

I am in favour of 9 to 3.30. Brokers and employees have at least 2 hrs work after closure of SM. and they are required at their office at least 1/2 hr before opening of SM
karshin...

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KNOW YOUR STOCK MARKET (5)

Ideas From You

Posted by : karshin

Date :25th Nov, 2009 - 16:49


I have started this series, under the head ideas from you, with the intention to educate new entrants by our common knowledge. There are many senior and experienced Boarders, Analyst and other experience persons of eminence who can contribute for the benefit of new entrants. I will request all of them to contribute their practical experience or any other incidence worth narrating that will help investors.
METHOD OF PICKING STOCKS FOR BUY CONTD…


FUNDAMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS
Just about every stock that is trending upward has improving earnings. However not every stock trend has staying power. While the stock’s trend is as trustworthy as anything we can find to indicate and improvement in the company’s outlook, what we need is a simple way to increase our odd/chances of picking companies where the trend is likely to continue. Therefore investor should study following two ratios.

PRICE/EARNING (P/E) RATIO ;- Ratio is calculated by dividing current market price by last years earning per share. The only thing a low P/E ratio tells us is that the stock is selling for a low price relative to the previous year’s earnings. It does not tell us whether that years’ earnings were unusually high or low, whether the company is growing or will grow in the future.etc. Using P/E ratios to determine the attractiveness of an investment is based on a naive , static view of the world. It is like using last month’s weather forecast to schedule this month’s picnic. It is not so much that the information is inaccurate; it is just too dated and limited to be of much use.

Beginners believe that a stock this selling a low p/E ratio must increase in value. This approach to selecting stocks is wrong because it assumes all companies have roughly the same prospects for future earnings growth. But the reality is that companies have vastly different out looks for growing earning and that is why the market rightly assigns a low P/E ratio to some stocks and high one to others. Mover this ratio is mainly based on earnings that are easily manipulated. If you know little about accounting you know that the vary concept of earning is highly theoretical. Earning can be easily increased by change in stock valuations, change in depreciation system and capitalizing revenue expenses of running business to project account and many more. Earnings are also quite volatile: a wide variety of short-term factors can push them up or down for a quarter or two.

P/S RATIO
SALES GROWTH ON THE OTHER HAND IS A SUPERIOR TOOL FOR DETERMINING TREND SUSTAINABILITY, FOR THE FOLLOWING REASONS
1 In most industries sales are far less volatile than earnings. Because the relative merits of competitors’ products don not change overnight. We seldom see a situation where customers switch suppliers en masse. A company generally loses market share to another quite gradually.
2 Sales and revenues are not easily manipulated to inflate reported results. Sales are real and measurable. Usually they refer to the products actually billed and shipped for the reporting period. Companies trying to “improve” reported results seldom play with the sales line of the income statement.; they play with the lines below the sales line.
3 Earning growths without sales are generally not sustainable.
4 Sales growths is probably the best, most reliable indicator of whether the company’s value proposition is attractive to customer.

So see that sales are growing at some acceptable rate of growth- the higher the better but I would certainly like to see at least double digit sales growth in the recent years

NOW MOST IMPORTANT QUESTION IS HOW DO YOU USE SALES GROWTH AS A STOCK SELECTION CRITERION? Multiply one –year sales growth rates by one year share price growth to obtain a growth factor. This will be an indicator of market trend strength and trend sustainability.

.

OTHER POINTS TO BE KEPT IN MIND
(A) Pick Entrepreneurial Management Rather than Caretakers.
(B) Look for companies buying their own shocks in the open market. It is a good sign. 10% buy back should be considered good.
(C) A Low Corporate Debt-to-Equity Ratio is generally Better
(D) Lastly see Supply and Demand

Beginners should not search for other ratios or otherwise they will be confused and make the search of stock complicated. Excessive screening criteria can hurt your results. Applying successive layers of screening criteria can actually, exclude the best gainers from your portfolio
END
Next - Chart Reading.

NOTE:- In the end of the series I will give a foolproof formula for the benefit of INVESTOR. If followed as it is no investor will loose in the market even if he is six times wrong out of 10 times.

...

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Hindalco

Posted by : karshin

Date :24th Nov, 2009 - 20:25

BSE: Rs 135.25 ( 1.08 % ), NSE: Rs. 134.55 ( 1.01 % )
yes it is possible as it has announced its intention of expansion and further issue of capital....

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Shipping Corp

Posted by : karshin

Date :24th Nov, 2009 - 20:21

BSE: Rs 146.60 ( -0.98 % ), NSE: Rs. 146.50 ( -1.01 % )
It seems you are always right....

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