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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
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Market Outlook - Short Term

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02 Dec 2008 14:05

I Have been tracking the I.V`s of all Nifty Options (December Series) since the last couple of months...I dunno whether any one else does that too..And if anyone does track the I.V`s then they mustve surely noticed the drastic fall they had over the last couple of weeks...Hence I feel that there are no huge longs in the market but infact a major portion of the market is holding on to their short positions in the anticipation to make a killing out of a major fall....Just watch the open interest of the 2500 PE in Nifty which again gives an indication that the mkts MAY bottom out in the short term ( albeit VERY short term,say next 2 weeks) and stage a strong pullback rally thereby trapping all short sellers...What is interesting to note here is that inspite of so many BAD news coming in the markets have managed to be resilient and not tread below the much DREADED 2500 mark...Just imagine that even if SOME good news arrives the markets will get the much needed excuse to go up from these levels..
I am not a TA person nor a FUNDA-MENTAL guy ... I just watch Open Interest and track I.V`s of Nifty options...Which makes me conclude that we are in for a big rally anytime...Eventually breaking the IRONIC DRAVIDIAN WALL of 2850/2900 and moving up North before the 15th of THIS month..

Anyone sharing my view or even CONTRADICTING it would be appreciated..

Keep ur fingers crossed guys..

Rajtilak..........................

02 Dec 2008 14:03

nifty will fall even below 2000 levels this month as allround selling will take stocks tumbling to lows and even below october lows. Telco, Tisco, Suzlon, Hindalco will be in trouble this month. It is better to sell these stocks and buy at the end of the month....

In reply to:

Do you see the Nifty below 2500 by year-end?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

02 Dec 2008 13:51
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Tracked by: 0 Boarder

we also give personalised advices through which right levels to sell and buy can be known immediately...

In reply to:

Bloodbath ahead

Posted by : Princz

Thank you sir for your views, will wait for the right call from your side to enter. what abt the dec rally all biggies on cnbc were hinting about ?

02 Dec 2008 13:46
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yes , I agree with your views. This time metals and telecomunication stocks will be under tremendous pressure accompanied with infrastructure and oil stocks....

In reply to:

Bloodbath ahead

Posted by : kadiyali

Investors will do well by keeping their cash bag ready & full to grab their choicest stocks at unbelievably lower prices anywhere from 15th Dec to Jan 20th.

02 Dec 2008 13:22
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Addressed to  marketbear

Thank you sir for your views, will wait for the right call from your side to enter. what abt the dec rally all biggies on cnbc were hinting about ?...

In reply to:

Bloodbath ahead

Posted by : marketbear

Indian markets will resume bloodbath again and October lows will be broken very shortly. See huge selling by FII`s next week comencing from 8th November. Do not buy at all. Metals, Telecom, infrastructure stocks will melt on the exchange. Stocks like Reliance, Tata Steel, Sail, Rcom, SBI, NTPC will take big hit during this bloodbath. Tata Steel is likely to go below 100 level as there is no positive atmosphere for the metal stocks. Companies todays results also can play a dent on the stock and stock can be target of sellers in coming sessions. Nifty is likely to touch level of 1880 this month. This december month will be worst ever in the history for our market.

02 Dec 2008 13:20

Yes. Nifty will close below 2500 by year-end....

In reply to:

Do you see the Nifty below 2500 by year-end?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

02 Dec 2008 13:16

sure it will go below 2500...

In reply to:

Do you see the Nifty below 2500 by year-end?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

02 Dec 2008 13:08

in short term can market test new low .i like to invest more 3-4 lacs .i have invested 3lacs in equity maket in last 6 months my folio are- lnt .ril.sbi axis bank.bhel.r com tatapower tcs tosco.satyam infosys sterlite ranbaxyin each about 10 -20 thounsands.i invest in systametic in 6 months coninu or stopwill cntinue/stop ...

In reply to:

Mkt outlook to remian -ve in short-term: JV Capital

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Sajiv Dhawan of JV Capital Services said investors, who have been buying in these volatile markets, have been suffering losses. "With a negative economic data and very little positive news to look forward to, apart from the rates cuts which are not coming in, there is a fear that the market outlook in the short-term will remain negative."

02 Dec 2008 13:06
View full thread (7 messages)

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Investors will do well by keeping their cash bag ready & full to grab their choicest stocks at unbelievably lower prices anywhere from 15th Dec to Jan 20th....

In reply to:

Bloodbath ahead

Posted by : marketbear

Indian markets will resume bloodbath again and October lows will be broken very shortly. See huge selling by FII`s next week comencing from 8th November. Do not buy at all. Metals, Telecom, infrastructure stocks will melt on the exchange. Stocks like Reliance, Tata Steel, Sail, Rcom, SBI, NTPC will take big hit during this bloodbath. Tata Steel is likely to go below 100 level as there is no positive atmosphere for the metal stocks. Companies todays results also can play a dent on the stock and stock can be target of sellers in coming sessions. Nifty is likely to touch level of 1880 this month. This december month will be worst ever in the history for our market.

02 Dec 2008 13:06

NIFTY target given 2565.

Nifty Fut. Exact low is 2565...........EXACT TARGET ACHIEVED.

SBI target given 998.. Low is 995. TARGET ACHIEVED.

HDFc Target given 1371.... Low is 1342.. TARGET ACHIEVED.

RELIANCE : target given 1047. Low is 1025. TARGET ACHIEVED.

HDFc Bank target given 839.. LOW TILL NOW IS 845... Almost achieved. May achive later...

BHEL target given 1177.. Low is 1213.. still 3 % down.. wait......

Anything you want more ??????

This are Posted at night. not a live calls!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
S. KOTAK

...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : KotakInvestment

BSR,

02-12-2008
____________

I will watch Two Options Nifty:

Call 3500 @ 5.25
Call 3400 @ 8.10

If market fall , these two will be available at more than 50 % discount. Once market go up, operator will kill all sellors.
Secondly Nifty PE-2300 @ 47.55 Close today.....
Both shall be traded smartly with Max target this expiry.
Nifty - 2503-2097
Daily traders shall smartly hedge.......

S Kotak
Stocks to watch tomorrow

Relliance : 1109.........1047
SBI.......: 1056........ .998
BHEL : 1270.........1177
HDFc Bank : 898...........839
HDFC......: 1443.........1371

Waiting for target may be decided how market opens!!!!!!!

And at what levels it go on hiting.....
Nifty : 2682

Pivot : 2728

Resi : 2787

Sup : 2623-2565

free fall below 2503

S. Kotak

02 Dec 2008 13:04

FII outflow & Global market negative news affect our market. Our market waiting for election....

In reply to:

Do you see the Nifty below 2500 by year-end?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

02 Dec 2008 13:02

rajmani81718, major market operators working in tandem can bring down/take up nifty as they wish, when turnover in the market falls....

In reply to:

Do you see the Nifty below 2500 by year-end?

Posted by : rajmani81718

i dont know why the market has fallen down but the most i had heard is that its all global factor but i dont thing this is true because last week all over the global market had rallied more than 20% and when its come to india we had rallied only 2% and now when american market had fallen 8% we too are postin a 5% down fall its truly unfair so its not the global market which we are following there is something different going out. the other thing i want to tell is that the role of technical and fundamental analysist they keeps on saying that market will rise at this and that date and when the market falls down they simply downgrades there target to half so i dont think that they are someone who can help in growing your hard earned money so JUST IGNORE THEM.

02 Dec 2008 12:59
View full thread (7 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Indian markets will resume bloodbath again and October lows will be broken very shortly. See huge selling by FII`s next week comencing from 8th November. Do not buy at all. Metals, Telecom, infrastructure stocks will melt on the exchange. Stocks like Reliance, Tata Steel, Sail, Rcom, SBI, NTPC will take big hit during this bloodbath. Tata Steel is likely to go below 100 level as there is no positive atmosphere for the metal stocks. Companies todays results also can play a dent on the stock and stock can be target of sellers in coming sessions. Nifty is likely to touch level of 1880 this month. This december month will be worst ever in the history for our market....

02 Dec 2008 12:57
View full thread (2354 messages)

Tracked by: 149 Boarders

Addressed to  hindlevernet

HLN

WHATS ur YAHOO ID. Kindly let me know...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600

Posted by : hindlevernet

Dear orange,

Nifty touched 2740 today and it may come close to 2770 tomorrow.
But there is no such guarantee. I cannot assure you that I will
be able to post my messages here every day. However you are free
to register at yahoo messenger where I chat on line or you may
leave off line message for my reply.

Once Nifty rises to the range of 2750-2800, it is all set to fall
down from that level. May be it does not cross its high made today.


SURESH MITTAL

02 Dec 2008 12:53


2500 is the major support now, it may break tomorrow.....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : Guest

will the market break the key support of 2600?

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