Online
| Post a Message | Explore Forums | Browse Stock Messages | Hot Discussions | Top rated Messages | Top Boarders | |
|
|
|
You are here : Moneycontrol  MMB Market View |
| The latest messages in different topics under Market View are displayed on this page |
Market View
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear manish.gupta.ic - RIL had hit a low of Rs 1025 today and closed at 1077. There was buying support witnessed in the dying moments which indicates that there should be some ore recovery tomorrow. I suppose that crude which is now touching US$ 48 is ironically proving to be putting RIL into some pressure. However lower crude prices also mean a higher US$ exchange rate so according to my calculations that profitability still remains for RIL. Also our BoP still remains comfortable despite a 12% fall in exports from India. So even if crude remains at a price of around Rs 2000 per barrel the oil production will have a good profit. Also the gas production is in any case much more profitable than imported gas!
FII selling seems to be tapering off and this is one stock which they would have a preference to hold. Also this might indicate that our markets may not test October lows again!
The huge fall in commodity prices itself should see massive reductions in prices of many day to day end products and real estate in the REAL ECONOMY. At some point of time soon this should spur domestic demand. This should steady our ship a lot.
Crude was projected to trade at US$ 150-200-250 by many noted experts however it has plunged to US$ 48. Once agian this factor is something like a bailout PRICE and may spur recovery in global demand and consumerism. It is now only a question of time before most probably starting from this Christmas and New Year that a recovery in global markets may start picking up gradually.
So 1150 should be soon during this week especially since the inflation might fall substantially this week. Hoepfully Honourable Prime Minister who now has the Finance portfolio in his hands now might probabaly come up with IMPORTANT stimulus this week itself. It does not require an expert to guess that the first priority of our Government is to check inflation drastically and that they cannot risk this going up with a full scale stimulus package of interest cuts and liquidity. So small doses can be expected. As of now our Government seems to be in safe hands of getting re-elected since the rural folks should be quite happy unless our poor farmers have been buying stocks with their debt write-offs.
As of now expect some spending on pending projects and infrastructure by the Government maybe as early as tomorrow. Regarding rate cuts and infusing liquidity it has to happen latest by January / Febraury 2009 latest by which time there would be no effect on inflation by which time we will be in election mode....
In reply to:
Pullback rally over, stay away: Sudarshan Sukhani
Posted by :
manish.gupta.ic
Hi, in what time frame RIL will retouch 1150 mark. 
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Explained: Fictional stock market wealth
For example, let`s say five people each own one share of a company that has only five shares. Let`s say each share is worth $10. How much money is there total? Well, it`s five times 10, so that makes $50.
Now, let`s say that one of these five people decides to sell his share to his friend, but he`s convinced his friend to buy it for $20 (a profit of $10 to the seller). He sells one share to his friend for $20. What`s the share price now, for the whole company? The share price is $20 because the share price is based on the last sold price. Now there are five people and each of them has one share that`s worth $20. Suddenly, there`s $100 total instead of $50 total. All five people think they`ve just doubled their money!
That`s what happens in the stock market. See, all five people think they`re getting rich. But what really happened is that one idiot bought the stock at double the price. There was no new customer, no new business revenue and no new profit. There was just one guy who overpaid for the stock. That`s how fictional wealth is created in stock market exchanges. It`s just an illusion. Where did this extra $50 come from? It came out of nowhere. It`s just numbers on paper.
The reverse also happens. Let`s say there are five people who now own stocks that they think are worth $20, because that`s what one person paid. Then, one person decides to sell the stock but can only sell it for $10. Suddenly, the stock price for the entire company drops to $10. Now these five people who thought they had $20 each just lost $10. They lost half their equity in the company. Now they only have $10 each, and the total worth is now $50. Where did the other $50 go? Well, it didn`t go anywhere because it didn`t exist. It was just on paper. This is what happened during the dot-com boom, except that larger sums of money were involved.
What does all this have to do with home loans? Banks loan money to people based on their individual assets, and those assets include fictional wealth that only exists as numbers on paper (or bytes in a computer database, actually). And these numbers can be easily distorted by irrational buyers who overpay. As a result, many banks are making home loans using little more than thin air as the assets backing the loans.
This is how a real estate bubble happens at the same time as a stock market bubble. This is San Francisco in 1999. This is Silicon Valley in 2000. It`s exactly what happened. At that time, I was warning about the looming stock market crash, and it was poorly received. A few people listened and they sold their stocks and were safe, but most people didn`t. They said, "You`re crazy. This thing is going up forever. We are all rich. We are all rich!"
But I knew better. When you sell a share and you have cash in your hand, then you can count it as money. Until then, it`s just whatever somebody else paid for it. My point in explaining all of this is that I`ve told this same story to financial advisors. They would look at me and say, "What? I don`t get that. What do you mean? What do you mean that money is created out of thin air?" They don`t get it. When the dot-com crash happened, billions of dollars were lost overnight through that exact same method I just described. Billions of dollars did not fly away. Those dollars did not get transferred into some rich person`s pocket, which is what most people believe. They think rich people ran away with the money. That`s incorrect. The money never existed in the first place. The money disappeared overnight because suddenly the stock price was dropping rapidly.
Sunday, January 01, 2006 by: Mike Adams, NaturalNews Editor...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
papias, sorry I could not reply in time, as your message seems to have landed only towards market closure....
In reply to:
Should i hold or sell
Posted by : papias
at where market wd close. Kindly advise . urgent
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
website is under construction. Currently you can mail us on on "cybervillage2001@rediffmail dot com"...
In reply to:
Bloodbath ahead
Posted by :
Princz
Whats yur website/blog. do tell...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Markets are trading in negative terrain, despite showing smart recovery from lows of the day. Recovery led by Bharti Airtel, BHEL, NTPC, ITC, Idea, DLF, Reliance Infrastructure, Unitech, Ranbaxy, ICICI Bank, Ambuja Cements, ACC, Hindalco, SAIL and ABB....
Anns,
Hmmmmmm..... Very impressive as always... Mkts turned quite a bit ..... Kudos!
Good Prediction!!
My li`l one`s Bday today.... She turned 7
Had initially planned a party at a mall , but turned it into a small affair.... She was slightly sad, but when we explained her the situation in malls, party halls etc. She quite maturely understood . :)
But with her facial expression, even I start feeling sad yaar, but thats how it is..... Life goes on.....
pranky!!...
In reply to:
MOTHER of all BULL-RUNS is pending- Pranky!! :)
Posted by :
radhika_nandlal
I heard him speak on TV18, Udayan interviewed him...yes i heard his prediction.
Tracked by: 23 Boarders
i have purchased 200 PNB ! @ 409..wats say ! ...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : MALAYALI
I`m not holding any NIFTY positions. I`m not going to place my money today. Better luck tomorrow. MALAYALI : stay away... that`s all
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
2250 is morelike it, or even 2000. ...
In reply to:
Do you see the Nifty below 2500 by year-end?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
Tracked by: 23 Boarders
thank u ...boss... for clearing our doubt wiill wait for tomoorow trade ... leoslion...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : MALAYALI
I`m not holding any NIFTY positions. I`m not going to place my money today. Better luck tomorrow. MALAYALI : stay away... that`s all
Tracked by: 23 Boarders
I`m not holding any NIFTY positions. I`m not going to place my money today. Better luck tomorrow. MALAYALI : stay away... that`s all...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : MALAYALI
And finally MALYALI broke the market code. Yea... 2625... the crutial level to watch today 2/12/2008. If today 02/12/2008 Nifty Futures December Series trades or close BELOW 2625 levels... GO FOR SHORTING... and if it trades or closed ABOVE 2625 levels... JUST STAY AWAY & not to be in any positions... MALAYALI strictly restricts all my fans from a BUY, today. SAFETY FIRST. European market may guide Indian market, today. MALAYALI : & finally I did it
Tracked by: 23 Boarders
king ...dontb give last 5 mints. trade follow can not be excuted boss reply n oblige ... leoslion
...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : MALAYALI
And finally MALYALI broke the market code. Yea... 2625... the crutial level to watch today 2/12/2008. If today 02/12/2008 Nifty Futures December Series trades or close BELOW 2625 levels... GO FOR SHORTING... and if it trades or closed ABOVE 2625 levels... JUST STAY AWAY & not to be in any positions... MALAYALI strictly restricts all my fans from a BUY, today. SAFETY FIRST. European market may guide Indian market, today. MALAYALI : & finally I did it
Tracked by: 23 Boarders
king did the trade you directed ... no power in my office / residence .... interacting from my friends laptop.... king cant track the nifty ... will wait for your call only to open short / long if you trade / direct the same .... waiting n tracking nly your message board...your admirer/ fan/ follwer... regards leoslion...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : MALAYALI
And finally MALYALI broke the market code. Yea... 2625... the crutial level to watch today 2/12/2008. If today 02/12/2008 Nifty Futures December Series trades or close BELOW 2625 levels... GO FOR SHORTING... and if it trades or closed ABOVE 2625 levels... JUST STAY AWAY & not to be in any positions... MALAYALI strictly restricts all my fans from a BUY, today. SAFETY FIRST. European market may guide Indian market, today. MALAYALI : & finally I did it
Tracked by: 23 Boarders
dear RN,
You were right.How much you could make today from your long position in nifty? These days malayali`s predictions are also hitting bulls eye.He is minting money like anything.what about tomorrow?.Regards...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
Deka how its playing out now. See we will always follow DOW.. after all we are emerging market but its not totally useless either.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
See dollar stronger in coming days as we get closer to Q4 US results. Dollar upside upto Rs. 54-55 could be seen. But it has to factor in the equity market. So equity correction along with dollar strength would go hand in hand. If at Rs. 54055 equity markets do not show new bottoms then I think there would be more upside for dollar Say Rs. 57 per dollar. It could bottom out the markets that time....
In reply to:
Mkts weak despite pullback; Bharti, NTPC, Rel Infra up
Posted by : MMB Messenger
A sell-off in global markets is seen, after the NBER confirmed the US is in recession since December 2007. The Sensex plunged 186 points to 8,653 and the Nifty fell 49 points to 2,637, at 2:18 hours IST. BSE Midcap and Small Cap indices went down 2-2.7%.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
A sell-off in global markets is seen, after the NBER confirmed the US is in recession since December 2007. The Sensex plunged 186 points to 8,653 and the Nifty fell 49 points to 2,637, at 2:18 hours IST. BSE Midcap and Small Cap indices went down 2-2.7%....
Poll
Udayan's Market Outlook
 |
Pullback rally to fizzle out if mkt breaches 2500-2600 | |
| ||
| Udayan Mukherjee, Stocks Editor, TV18 | ||
 |
Popular Boarders 7days| 144 | |
| 144 | |
| 89 | |
| 76 | |