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Moneycontrol.com >> Messageboard >> Category >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
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05 Dec 2008 10:06

Shankar Sharma is 100% right. December will be worst month in 2008 for our market and panic will set in from all the corners. Stocks like Rcom, Tata Steel, Raliance, Reliance Infra, LT, Bhel, Reliance Petro will break october lows which can provide opportunity for long-term investors...

In reply to:

Market to see carnage worse than Oct ???

Posted by : investor11

Shankar Sharma the most accurate projector analyst of thais year and the biggest bear does it again
In cnbc channel he has repoerted saying late dec and jan market to see very big fall bigger than what we have seen in oct
This he attributed this to expected poor earning by corporate
Please put your valuable opinion on this to help boarders to save their hard earn money

05 Dec 2008 10:06

Today, will pave the way for an eventful weekend. There are expectations of policy changes both on the fiscal as well as on the monetary front. Indian markets are focusing more on the internal issues. There is a meltdown in commodities as well.

Markets may witness a touch of volatility today as well because traders will adjust positions going into what could be an important weekend. It could reach the previous resistance levels of 2,850 and move from there.


Asian Indices:

Asia is mixed but a couple of markets are doing very well like the Hang Seng which is up 2%, the Korean market is up a couple of percentage point as well. The others are a bit mixed, China is down somewhat, the Nikkei has not made a big stride. So it is mixed but there are a couple of markets, which have not done too badly.


-Udayan Mukherjee, Managing Editor,CNBC TV18 ...

05 Dec 2008 09:54

shorts to be opened at the opening of trade coz from last 2 days lot of put writing has been going on at 2600,2500 and 2300 levels so there is all probability of markets being pulled up yesterday to create shorts at higher levels ..everybody watch out for a sudden downfall.

GANDABACCHA ...

In reply to:

NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000

Posted by : vam_aru

dear anju,

Today we should open around 30 points higher and seesawing between 2770 and 2820, and effectively settle around 2820 ...you can open shorts at around 2850

05 Dec 2008 09:53

yea alok.
markets will find its trend for the next 6 months after Q3 results which may be scary.

regards
shakti...

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : alokvarshney52

well said. If any person, like Shankar Sharma, who predicts the market trend with 100% accuracy, must have contacts with some groups which are controlling the markets for last few months. I think nobody can predict with such accuracy that too every time. It is a serious matter. SEBI should take a note of it.

05 Dec 2008 09:49

from last 2 days heavy put writing at 2500 and 2600 levels,seems upside is very much capped for now as rate cut and indian stimulus package is factored in the prices,everybody try not to open any longs today even if market may move up in first hour of trade.

GANDABACCHA...

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : TrueCompanion

Dear Princz, Please go though it again, I mentioned carrying forward position and not initiating a fresh position. If one can not start accumulating now, he will be just crazy to begin at Nifty 3000.
I firmly support your idea of adding more in case nifty breaks down 2500 on the lower side. I appreciate you have the urge to take challenges on the face of them. regards.

05 Dec 2008 09:48

Folks,

ALl indicators are bullish and naturally so coz we had a such a big rally.

But remember the TRIN is overbought at 0.16... of course i have seen TRINS of 0.01 too...but remember such overbought TRINs would mean profit booking when the rally is sufficiently good... So a 300 point rally may induce a sell off...so should we sell 3000 calls?

Also is it wise to short AUTO HC both look bearish

HC = health care

In view of GM going bankrupt and an overbought TRIN would the first sell off happen in Auto???...

05 Dec 2008 09:47

market likely to close in red . may be 50 points nifty down...

05 Dec 2008 09:44

well said. If any person, like Shankar Sharma, who predicts the market trend with 100% accuracy, must have contacts with some groups which are controlling the markets for last few months. I think nobody can predict with such accuracy that too every time. It is a serious matter. SEBI should take a note of it....

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : sp.palo

I agree googol. But you can never deny the advantage of long term investments and dont calculate things in a deep bear phase like this which none predicted.

QUOTE:
A Dosa on the plate is worth three on the pan.

UNQUOTE:
A burnt out dosa is worthless compared to a buttered dosa on the pan which will be served in a few minutes if you can control your hunger and anxiety.

regards
shakti

05 Dec 2008 09:44

100 bps rate cut could be expected...

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

05 Dec 2008 09:38

Dear Princz, Please go though it again, I mentioned carrying forward position and not initiating a fresh position. If one can not start accumulating now, he will be just crazy to begin at Nifty 3000.
I firmly support your idea of adding more in case nifty breaks down 2500 on the lower side. I appreciate you have the urge to take challenges on the face of them. regards....

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : Princz

C`mon Dear, why are you posting such statements. I have read many of your wise statements and they oppose the one you made now... No one should dare enter at 3000 nifty levels, best strategy would be shorting. One can enter at 2600, 2500 and then accumulate till whatsoever levels Nifty may break, but not definitely at 3000. Be honest in your opinions, would you open a fresh position at such a level.?

05 Dec 2008 09:30

yes yes yes rittu Mam ,

this is what i asked to BSR too ,
its dow now a days who is following nifty .
even otherwise things are so much of perfect sync that there seems to be a perfect plan on
when and how much to hype the level .
when the big news wud be out .
all this in the meantime is ploy to keep nifty/bse dull and down .

i feel that some index stocks are moving disproportionately in the game . may be that`s where the game will be reversed later !

ps : i know not all stock rise and fall the same etc etc.BUT the published bad news we have had till now is bad enough to rule out any fundamentals and logic ruling the market .
...

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : nightowl

TC
THIS IS TO YOU INCASE YOU MISS READING THIS MESSAGE... yes we are going to fall.. when is the question... i dont know yet.. working on it..stay in touch
Aunt ritts


wrong alokvarshney,
you have not analysed it correctly.... take daybefore(wednesday) for instance...
it was a sure shot up day.. but the market did not go up... take the 5 main counters traded that day... bharti, ongc,reliance,infosys,bhel.... all went down.... the rest went up.. did it mean anything to you??/..you see the nifty was being keptdown.... deliberately.. for what purpose is anyones guess... its not for me to discuss on a forum at least.nonetheless without discussing it i am hazarding a GUESS...my guess is , `for the last 45 mins of trade`..(we are trying to emulate the dow). now you are right when it comes to THE selling in those counters..it took place..but for one day.. perfect time to first shortsell for 3days and then enter those counters(i for one entered each one of them)... BECAUSE the very same went up today....This was a well thought out pattern.. and i for one had been expecting it for some days.. , just hadnt studied it enough to be abs sure.. by time i was sure i fell sick and could not make it to the p.c...,India has been able to figure out dows closing a good 10 hours before it happens.. study the charts again.. its not that our charts match the dows because we are following the dow.. its because we KNOW whats to happen there before it does and the same happens here first...This has been one of the emerging patterns of late... many more have been emerging, but you have to be very keen trader and a very observant one at that...

you can become a good trader by learning the technicals, but you can also become a great one by learning to see patterns and understanding them..,I go by one golden rule... there has to be logic behind everything that happens.. it for you to understand it..it is there for all to see, but its the individual who has to figure out the cryptics to it. market doesnt always do its own thing... its MADE to do things that others, in the right `places` want..

Regards

Nightowl

05 Dec 2008 09:29

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05 Dec 2008 09:23

market is making shorts at 2860 for nifty . bcz nifty is getting strick resiatnce to cross the 2800 . now . becareful not any thing when nifty will cross 2800 try make short . bcz at closing we think market will 2720 ....

05 Dec 2008 09:16

Dear googol,

Vishal retail become the stock market operator stock because it started to putting in 5 % UC`s again and again, so no body sells , so volumes are low, and whenever they feel they will let it go, but once it turns to Lower circuit, you will never be able to sell and come out.......

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : googol

Ritz

I missed Vishal

:-(

But not the next one from the owl

Hold it for some time.

The volumes are very low in UCs

It may go a long way

Good Luck

05 Dec 2008 09:16

market is making shorts at 2860 for nifty . bcz nifty is getting strick resiatnce to cross the 2800 . now . becareful not any thing when nifty will cross 2800 try make short . bcz at closing we think market will 2720 ....

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