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Amol77  
Joined on : 8th-Feb-2007
Belongs to :  Platinum
Posted : 661 messages
Hits : 312


I am Amol from India.



All my picks should be treated as long term bets. I hardly give any short term pick, even if I do so, will mention it clearly. It would be very wise on your part to do study of the recommendation and invest in it only if you believe in story. I only have fundamental analysis done. Entry levels and targets are not discussed by me. Rather I believe in strategy. One such strategy is to sell half or some portion of the stock when it grow significantly in short duration and get your investment out and keep the rest for long term benefit.



My advice to others:

- Patience is always tested by the markets before it rewards.

- Long term investor can make decent profits.

- Consult a few people. Lots of idea and people can confuse you.

- Best thing in market, invest if you believe in the story/business.




I follow advice given by some respected boarders like KFactor,KJP, lkr, Ramge, Kukku and others.


I read messages posted by Zeenut, epiphany, ChartGuru



Here is my recommendation list:


Carbon Credits

Navin Flourine Updated on: 20th May 2008

Navin's Clean development project got approval from United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (unfccc) for 2.8 millions carbon credits for next 10 years. As a part of it it started receiving carbon credits from Fed 2008. Look at this page for the carbon credits issued to Navin. You can find the carbon credits issued by search the project number of Navin which is 0838. Navin will generate close to 7 lakhs carbon credits per quarter i.e. 28 lakhs per year. Each lot of carbon credits will be issued to Navin once it present their result and report to the agency.
Now here is a calculations:



28 lakhs per year Carbon credits

CMP of Carbon credits on NCDEX = 1054 (16th May 2008) Find latest price here

No of share of Navin = 10099889.



Earning calculations:
2800000 (Carbon credits per year) X 1054 (CMP of carbon credits) = 2951200000 (295 crores).

Less tax and other duties and payment to agencies (I assume that should not be more than 40%).

After reducing the tax amount remaining = 2951200000 X 0.6 = 1770720000 (177 crores).



EPS (yearly) = 1770720000 / 10099889 (No. of shares) = 175.32.



Give moderate PE of 31 (which happens to be Current PE) then the price should be = EPS X PE = 175.32 X 31 = 5434.92.



Will write more about the following stock as and when I get time

Gujarat Flourochemicals

SRF

Torrent Power




Real Estate

Shree Ram Urban Infra

Ruby mills

Swan Mills

SSI

Shree Precoated

Nuchem



Good business + Real Estate

KCP

Indian Hume Pipes Updated on: 20th May 2008

According to the director's report it has 30 plants closed across the country. Look at the recent announcement of the company.



Patel Engg.

Hindustan Construction

Rajesh Export

Walchandnagar

Godrej Industries


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19 Aug 2008 12:39
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Dear WhatsUP

I am sorry but I did not get your calculations and the entire explanation. Did you mean to say that buy back at Rs 17 was done some time back when the FV was 6 and with the current price how come you are multiplying by 6 and getting that magic 4 figure ?

Please explain to me as I did not understand.

Thanks
Amol....
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18 Aug 2008 18:05
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Dear dvksinghji

I dont knwo why its not doing good for now. I am a long term investor and this stock is under accumulation for me ... I mean keep it for next 3 years till 2011 and you will make wealth in this stock. I can\\`t saying or predict why this is not doing good in short term.

For me its a multi bagger for next 3 year at least and 5 year at most.
Keep adding when its at lows of 200 - 225... That does not mean it will not go below that ... below that level its a good buy...

Thanks
Amol. ...
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Swan Mills net profit rises 3733.33% in the June 2008 quarter

Sales rise 73.65% to Rs 7.05 crore

Net profit of Swan Mills rose 3733.33% to Rs 6.90 crore in the quarter ended June 2008 as against Rs 0.18 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2007. Sales rose 73.65% to Rs 7.05 crore in the quarter ended June 2008 as against Rs 4.06 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2007

...
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Price 339.00 346.90
Change -0.35% -0.57%
Vol. 22 15