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akkbatra
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27/06/2007...I am a Medical teacher based at Yavatmal, Maharashtra. Here at MMB I consider myself a student trying to learn from Capt Tom (Joetom), Udayan, S. Kotak (kotakinvestment), Radhika (RN), BullshitRules, Hindlevernet (S. Mittal), DUstocks, callahan, flashstock05,Amarakbar (Lashkari), Gopez, sujatmitrabha, humblebroker, Malayali, sam pd, vam aru, lovemeall26 and many more Gurus. Email Id akkbatra@yahoo.co.in.
...CHEERS !
- FnO GUIDELINES -
How boring to read often … But how motivating to read after every BIG gain or loss ... just give it a try.
A) From THE OPTION TRADER’S GUIDE TO PROBABILITY, VOLATILITY & TIMING – By Jay Kaeppel -
(1) If you do not have a well-thought-out trading plan, you will find yourself chasing each twist and turn of the market.
(2) By examining the best-case (Trailing SL) and worst-case (Strict SL) scenarios for each trade, you can establish objective criteria for when to exit each trade, whether you are taking a profit or cutting a loss.
(3) Eliminate emotional decision-making.
(4) Relieve the psychological burden of being right or wrong in each situation.
(5) Do your best thinking up front and then trusting in your plan, rather than having to make subjective decisions in the heat of battle.
(6) As long as you minimize losses, profits will take care of themselves.
(7) The real secret of trading is simply that there is no easy money to be made in trading.
(8) Markets can be choppy and trend less for frustratingly long periods.
(9) Markets often reverse unexpectedly or gap sharply in the wrong direction.
(10) Buy orders get filled at the high of the day. Sell orders get filled at the low of the day.
(11) If you increase your trading size after a string of winners, the next trade will be a big loser. If you stop trading after a string of losers, the next trade you don’t take will be a big winner.
(12) Before you worry about making big money, you must insulate yourself from the danger of losing big money. The only way to do this is to address risk before reward.
(13) It is how one reacts to unpleasant experiences that separate the long-term winners from the 90% of traders who lose money.
(14) Spend more time focusing on not losing money than on making money.
(15) Too often, traders are so focused on the idea of making a lot of money that they fail to account for or even acknowledge the risks involved in the trades they make. This is the road to trading failure.
(16) The key is not in figuring out what to do once the worst-case scenario unfolds. The key is advance planning to avoid getting into such a situation in the first place.
(17) Remember, the questions you need to answer are “How bad can things get?” and “What do I plan to do about it?” To answer these questions, you must again look at what could happen to this trade before expiration.
(18) Anyone can get lucky on a trade now and then, but a solid understanding of the basics is required to achieve consistent long-term success. Option trading has a vocabulary all its own.
(to continue…)
...CHEERS !
- FnO GUIDELINES -
How boring to read often … But how motivating to read after every BIG gain or loss ... just give it a try.
A) From THE OPTION TRADER’S GUIDE TO PROBABILITY, VOLATILITY & TIMING – By Jay Kaeppel -
(1) If you do not have a well-thought-out trading plan, you will find yourself chasing each twist and turn of the market.
(2) By examining the best-case (Trailing SL) and worst-case (Strict SL) scenarios for each trade, you can establish objective criteria for when to exit each trade, whether you are taking a profit or cutting a loss.
(3) Eliminate emotional decision-making.
(4) Relieve the psychological burden of being right or wrong in each situation.
(5) Do your best thinking up front and then trusting in your plan, rather than having to make subjective decisions in the heat of battle.
(6) As long as you minimize losses, profits will take care of themselves.
(7) The real secret of trading is simply that there is no easy money to be made in trading.
(8) Markets can be choppy and trend less for frustratingly long periods.
(9) Markets often reverse unexpectedly or gap sharply in the wrong direction.
(10) Buy orders get filled at the high of the day. Sell orders get filled at the low of the day.
(11) If you increase your trading size after a string of winners, the next trade will be a big loser. If you stop trading after a string of losers, the next trade you don’t take will be a big winner.
(12) Before you worry about making big money, you must insulate yourself from the danger of losing big money. The only way to do this is to address risk before reward.
(13) It is how one reacts to unpleasant experiences that separate the long-term winners from the 90% of traders who lose money.
(14) Spend more time focusing on not losing money than on making money.
(15) Too often, traders are so focused on the idea of making a lot of money that they fail to account for or even acknowledge the risks involved in the trades they make. This is the road to trading failure.
(16) The key is not in figuring out what to do once the worst-case scenario unfolds. The key is advance planning to avoid getting into such a situation in the first place.
(17) Remember, the questions you need to answer are “How bad can things get?” and “What do I plan to do about it?” To answer these questions, you must again look at what could happen to this trade before expiration.
(18) Anyone can get lucky on a trade now and then, but a solid understanding of the basics is required to achieve consistent long-term success. Option trading has a vocabulary all its own.
(to continue…)
Also see akkbatra’s rated messages
18 Sep 2008 09:14
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15 Sep 2008 09:23
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Tracked by: 109 Boarder
14 Sep 2008 12:29
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Tracked by: 109 Boarder
Greedy one,
Not yet found Meryll or others holdings but Following are LEHMAN Brothers holdings in India..
GPIL 413832 , EMKAY 982134 ,GTC- 300000,IOLN -- 400000 , KPIT CUMMINS -- 862823,ORBIT -1750000,Anant Raj -- 5362500,DCB --5300000,SPIC MOBILE - 3289774,CCL-- 503000,Prithvi-- 476160,West Coast paper- 2500000,Kalpataru Power--350000,IVRCL-1600000,Pioneee Emb- 394356,Eidelweiss-- 1350000,SPice Tele-- 9203000,Philips Carbon- 1000000,PSL-980408,TULIP-811004,IOLN-585000,Moser Bear -2252000,Ruchi Soya--2270000,Mastek-1423406,Fedders LLyod-1505918,Dhampur Sugar- 2277272,NorthGate Tech- 1454904,Triveni Eng-5873053,NIIT- 2117926,United phos-2489609,CAIRNSOFT-3427000,AMTEK AUTO--2947000,KPIT CUMMINS-5700000,PLEX--455625,GATI--1112000,....
Not yet found Meryll or others holdings but Following are LEHMAN Brothers holdings in India..
GPIL 413832 , EMKAY 982134 ,GTC- 300000,IOLN -- 400000 , KPIT CUMMINS -- 862823,ORBIT -1750000,Anant Raj -- 5362500,DCB --5300000,SPIC MOBILE - 3289774,CCL-- 503000,Prithvi-- 476160,West Coast paper- 2500000,Kalpataru Power--350000,IVRCL-1600000,Pioneee Emb- 394356,Eidelweiss-- 1350000,SPice Tele-- 9203000,Philips Carbon- 1000000,PSL-980408,TULIP-811004,IOLN-585000,Moser Bear -2252000,Ruchi Soya--2270000,Mastek-1423406,Fedders LLyod-1505918,Dhampur Sugar- 2277272,NorthGate Tech- 1454904,Triveni Eng-5873053,NIIT- 2117926,United phos-2489609,CAIRNSOFT-3427000,AMTEK AUTO--2947000,KPIT CUMMINS-5700000,PLEX--455625,GATI--1112000,....
Rating : 
14 Sep 2008 01:41
View full thread (2650 messages)
Tracked by: 109 Boarder
Trade pattern shows high selling bias - Business standard
TECHNICALS
Vijay Bhambwani / Mumbai September 13, 2008, 2:49 IST
The headline indices remained on a southward trajectory as the decline continued for the fourth session in a row. The screen-reading method continued to signal weakness even as the conventional indicator of positive cost of carry continued to mislead the retail players.
The market breadth was negative as the BSE breadth was 1,069 : 2,822. The capitalisation of the breadth was also negative on a commensurate basis as the figures were Rs 2,885 CRs : Rs 14,477 Crs. The F&O indicators were pointing towards a higher turnover as the traders participated on the way down.
The 4,370-4,190 range advocated for Friday held as the Nifty spot traded within these parameters and respected the advocated support. The coming session is likely to witness a range of 4,300 on advances and 4,120 on declines — a continued declining daily range. The bulls will need to keep the Nifty above the 4,275 level consistently if the trend is to reverse in the near term.
The market internals indicate a higher turnover as the participation levels rose due to the weakness. The number of trades increased and the average ticket size was higher, indicating a higher selling bias. The capitalisation of the market was lower in line with a downtick session.
The outlook for the markets on Monday is that of absolute caution as the indices have confirmed a head-and-shoulder top to the rally that commenced after July 17, 2008.
Vijay L. Bhambwani
(CEO – BSPLindia. com)
The author is a Mumbai-based investment consultant and invites feedback at vijay@BSPLindia. com
...
TECHNICALS
Vijay Bhambwani / Mumbai September 13, 2008, 2:49 IST
The headline indices remained on a southward trajectory as the decline continued for the fourth session in a row. The screen-reading method continued to signal weakness even as the conventional indicator of positive cost of carry continued to mislead the retail players.
The market breadth was negative as the BSE breadth was 1,069 : 2,822. The capitalisation of the breadth was also negative on a commensurate basis as the figures were Rs 2,885 CRs : Rs 14,477 Crs. The F&O indicators were pointing towards a higher turnover as the traders participated on the way down.
The 4,370-4,190 range advocated for Friday held as the Nifty spot traded within these parameters and respected the advocated support. The coming session is likely to witness a range of 4,300 on advances and 4,120 on declines — a continued declining daily range. The bulls will need to keep the Nifty above the 4,275 level consistently if the trend is to reverse in the near term.
The market internals indicate a higher turnover as the participation levels rose due to the weakness. The number of trades increased and the average ticket size was higher, indicating a higher selling bias. The capitalisation of the market was lower in line with a downtick session.
The outlook for the markets on Monday is that of absolute caution as the indices have confirmed a head-and-shoulder top to the rally that commenced after July 17, 2008.
Vijay L. Bhambwani
(CEO – BSPLindia. com)
The author is a Mumbai-based investment consultant and invites feedback at vijay@BSPLindia. com
...
14 Sep 2008 01:37
View full thread (2650 messages)
Tracked by: 109 Boarder
Buying activity may boost Sensex - Business Standard
WEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Rex Cano / Mumbai September 14, 2008, 3:18 IST
The Sensex boomeranged after hitting a high of 15,107 early in the week. The markets began the week with a bang on the back of Indo-US nuclear deal but ended on a whimper despite lower inflation and higher IIP numbers.
The index retraced sharply from the resistance zone of 15,100-15,170, and tumbled towards the weekly support level of 13,970. The index touched an intra-week low of 13,934, and finally settled with a loss of 483 points at 14,001.
Metal, realty and energy stocks were the major losers last week, while cement and FMCG stocks were able to attract buyers. Sterlite nose-dived over 17 per cent, mainly on account of the company’s restructuring plan, to Rs 487. Reliance Infrastructure, Tata Power, RIL, Tata Steel, Jaiprakash Associates, DLF, Mahindra & Mahindra and ICICI Bank dropped by 5-8 per cent each. Maruti, Hindustan Unilever, Grasim and ACC, on the other hand, ended with marginal gains.
The Sensex is now getting closer to the lower band of support mentioned for this month, that is 13,350-13,500. On can expect considerable buying support at these levels, and possibly a bounce back, too.
The NSE Nifty moved in a range of over 350 points - from a high of 4,558, to a low of 4,200 - before settling with a loss of 124 points at 4,228.
The strong support base for the Nifty at 4,050 to 4,080 could come into play this week. If the index is able to maintain this support zone, one is likely to witness the index’s bounce back to atleast 4,370 to 4,450....
WEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Rex Cano / Mumbai September 14, 2008, 3:18 IST
The Sensex boomeranged after hitting a high of 15,107 early in the week. The markets began the week with a bang on the back of Indo-US nuclear deal but ended on a whimper despite lower inflation and higher IIP numbers.
The index retraced sharply from the resistance zone of 15,100-15,170, and tumbled towards the weekly support level of 13,970. The index touched an intra-week low of 13,934, and finally settled with a loss of 483 points at 14,001.
Metal, realty and energy stocks were the major losers last week, while cement and FMCG stocks were able to attract buyers. Sterlite nose-dived over 17 per cent, mainly on account of the company’s restructuring plan, to Rs 487. Reliance Infrastructure, Tata Power, RIL, Tata Steel, Jaiprakash Associates, DLF, Mahindra & Mahindra and ICICI Bank dropped by 5-8 per cent each. Maruti, Hindustan Unilever, Grasim and ACC, on the other hand, ended with marginal gains.
The Sensex is now getting closer to the lower band of support mentioned for this month, that is 13,350-13,500. On can expect considerable buying support at these levels, and possibly a bounce back, too.
The NSE Nifty moved in a range of over 350 points - from a high of 4,558, to a low of 4,200 - before settling with a loss of 124 points at 4,228.
The strong support base for the Nifty at 4,050 to 4,080 could come into play this week. If the index is able to maintain this support zone, one is likely to witness the index’s bounce back to atleast 4,370 to 4,450....
14 Sep 2008 01:25
View full thread (2650 messages)
Tracked by: 109 Boarder
4,200 level critical for Nifty - Business Standard
F&O OUTLOOK
B G Shirsat / Mumbai September 14, 2008, 3:20 IST
The Nifty maintained its crucial support of 4,220 on Friday, closing at 4,228 while the September futures ended the day at 4,245.8, adding open interest of 1.04 million shares. Though this is a positive trend technically, we expect a 25-50 point gap-down opening for the Nifty as the September futures on the SGX Nifty closed lower at 4,205 on the Singapore exchange. Technically, a loss of support at 4,200 would see the index drift to 4,100.
Friday’s derivative statistics for FIIs show an increase in short positions in index futures by nearly one million shares. This means an increase of one million shares in the Nifty September futures on Friday was entirely on account of the short build-up in index futures of FIIs. This could go against the market and, hence, despite the Nifty closing above the support level of 4220, the market may open on a weak note on Monday.
According to technical analyst Kamalesh Langote of vfmdirect. com, the current market setup shows a diametric pattern with 4,000-3,800 levels in the offing. A diametric pattern is a type of behaviour wherein each successive decline is smaller in price but the successive rally is larger in price. The most important trait of this pattern appears to be that the wave-D is always larger than wave-C and is usually the most complicated wave in the pattern from a visual standpoint.
Langote expects the market to move up for a day or two if the index maintains the 4,200 support. However, this up move may be short-lived and the index may end up with a lower end target of 3,800. The trading in options contracts suggests that traders expect the Nifty to garner support at 4,100 as put open interest at this strike increased sharply by 800,000 shares last week.
However, some traders were seen covering short positions in out-of-money puts on Friday. The 4,000 strike put, though, added open interest of 423,050 shares last week, the order book position on the NSE for Friday show a decline in open interest by 920,900 shares despite a trading volume of 2.67 million shares. Even 3,900 and 3,800 strikes put witnessed short-covering by put writers, indicating that the index may move below 4,000 in the near future....
F&O OUTLOOK
B G Shirsat / Mumbai September 14, 2008, 3:20 IST
The Nifty maintained its crucial support of 4,220 on Friday, closing at 4,228 while the September futures ended the day at 4,245.8, adding open interest of 1.04 million shares. Though this is a positive trend technically, we expect a 25-50 point gap-down opening for the Nifty as the September futures on the SGX Nifty closed lower at 4,205 on the Singapore exchange. Technically, a loss of support at 4,200 would see the index drift to 4,100.
Friday’s derivative statistics for FIIs show an increase in short positions in index futures by nearly one million shares. This means an increase of one million shares in the Nifty September futures on Friday was entirely on account of the short build-up in index futures of FIIs. This could go against the market and, hence, despite the Nifty closing above the support level of 4220, the market may open on a weak note on Monday.
According to technical analyst Kamalesh Langote of vfmdirect. com, the current market setup shows a diametric pattern with 4,000-3,800 levels in the offing. A diametric pattern is a type of behaviour wherein each successive decline is smaller in price but the successive rally is larger in price. The most important trait of this pattern appears to be that the wave-D is always larger than wave-C and is usually the most complicated wave in the pattern from a visual standpoint.
Langote expects the market to move up for a day or two if the index maintains the 4,200 support. However, this up move may be short-lived and the index may end up with a lower end target of 3,800. The trading in options contracts suggests that traders expect the Nifty to garner support at 4,100 as put open interest at this strike increased sharply by 800,000 shares last week.
However, some traders were seen covering short positions in out-of-money puts on Friday. The 4,000 strike put, though, added open interest of 423,050 shares last week, the order book position on the NSE for Friday show a decline in open interest by 920,900 shares despite a trading volume of 2.67 million shares. Even 3,900 and 3,800 strikes put witnessed short-covering by put writers, indicating that the index may move below 4,000 in the near future....
13 Sep 2008 19:14
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Dear Friends,
Its unfortunate that serial blasts have occured at Delhi. I had predicted next target cities in my below posts, posted twice before - Although Mushraff is not in power per se, but he is behind it, I am confident and hence I still believe in that heading of the post and next target cities. The post is reproduced for third time here below so as to create awareness once again. Take care friends.
Final Targets -Zardari, Sharif, Chaudhary (2) 27-Jul-08 02:34 Tracked by (0)
Posted by: akkbatra on ( 27-Jul-08 02:34 )
Friends,
Dont suspect Indian political parties to indulge in blasts at Banglore and Ahmedabad. Its politics, true, but not Indian but Parvez Musharaff and ISIs. You know Pakistan elected Zardari and Sharifs party to rule. Both have reinstated suspended court Judges there. Next in order is Musharafs impeachment and possibly death by hanging. What options Mush is left with? To distract Pak Govt from his impeachment and towards proxy war with India. Last month it was reported that more than 500 militants are awaiting to cross the border. Although mostly prevented to cross, ISI has many sleeping modules spreaded across all major cities in India. As a plan B, they have been activated to cause blasts. Sooner or later Indian Govt and specially BJP will start voicing against Pak resulting in the spoiling relations between the two countries, as desired by Mush. He will keep blaming Taliban for blasts in India. Mush knows, US is in recession, facing housing slump and financial crisis, it cant pay attention to Mushs misdeeds, It cant afford any more strikes from Pak soil against Taliban and US will be more interested in Nuke deal with India than adressing such terror acts. We, as Indians, unfortunately cant do anything more than trying prevention of such acts in future. Indian Govt CAN NOT take hard stand against Paks elected Govt, as ultimate beneficiary will be Mush. India, at the most can hope that Pak Govt decides the fate of Mush at the earliest possible. What will do Pak Govt and Parliament? Till they will try to collect the courage to overthrow Mush, Mush will kill Zardari (target no one) or Shariff (no 2) or Judge Chaudhary (no 3 target). Then all will slowly but surely turn in favour of Mush continuing as President. Till then dont expect the terror attacks to stop in India. My criminological analysis suspects next target cities as Gurgaon, Kanpur, Deharadun (Uttaranchal to be specific), Delhi and Lucknow. High alert is very much needed all over the country and specially at above cities apart from Metros. Take care friends....
...
Its unfortunate that serial blasts have occured at Delhi. I had predicted next target cities in my below posts, posted twice before - Although Mushraff is not in power per se, but he is behind it, I am confident and hence I still believe in that heading of the post and next target cities. The post is reproduced for third time here below so as to create awareness once again. Take care friends.
Final Targets -Zardari, Sharif, Chaudhary (2) 27-Jul-08 02:34 Tracked by (0)
Posted by: akkbatra on ( 27-Jul-08 02:34 )
Friends,
Dont suspect Indian political parties to indulge in blasts at Banglore and Ahmedabad. Its politics, true, but not Indian but Parvez Musharaff and ISIs. You know Pakistan elected Zardari and Sharifs party to rule. Both have reinstated suspended court Judges there. Next in order is Musharafs impeachment and possibly death by hanging. What options Mush is left with? To distract Pak Govt from his impeachment and towards proxy war with India. Last month it was reported that more than 500 militants are awaiting to cross the border. Although mostly prevented to cross, ISI has many sleeping modules spreaded across all major cities in India. As a plan B, they have been activated to cause blasts. Sooner or later Indian Govt and specially BJP will start voicing against Pak resulting in the spoiling relations between the two countries, as desired by Mush. He will keep blaming Taliban for blasts in India. Mush knows, US is in recession, facing housing slump and financial crisis, it cant pay attention to Mushs misdeeds, It cant afford any more strikes from Pak soil against Taliban and US will be more interested in Nuke deal with India than adressing such terror acts. We, as Indians, unfortunately cant do anything more than trying prevention of such acts in future. Indian Govt CAN NOT take hard stand against Paks elected Govt, as ultimate beneficiary will be Mush. India, at the most can hope that Pak Govt decides the fate of Mush at the earliest possible. What will do Pak Govt and Parliament? Till they will try to collect the courage to overthrow Mush, Mush will kill Zardari (target no one) or Shariff (no 2) or Judge Chaudhary (no 3 target). Then all will slowly but surely turn in favour of Mush continuing as President. Till then dont expect the terror attacks to stop in India. My criminological analysis suspects next target cities as Gurgaon, Kanpur, Deharadun (Uttaranchal to be specific), Delhi and Lucknow. High alert is very much needed all over the country and specially at above cities apart from Metros. Take care friends....
...
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