anjum64's Message History
Replies
Messages Posted
My rated Messages
Hi anjum64!
The best stocks to buy after a market meltdown will be best determined by the price of the stock after the carnage in relation to its assumed realistic price. The stock that appears to have the highest valuation discount amongst a number of fundamentally good stocks are the best buys.
Quite often, momentum stocks like Suzlon, Unitech, Aban Offshore etc. are bought by momentum traders in a steep fall as they suffer the most losses and hence bounceback the maximum in the recovery phase. I am not going to suggest any momentum stocks although I like Aban Offshore (minus its overleveraging), Unitech (it may remain an underperformer) and Suzlon (it is not to be touched by even a bargepole till it shows any semblance of profit. In fact, if it continues its present performance, its annual losses will be FIVE TIMES its equity). Luckily for myself, I am not a momentum investor or a day-tader (I consider that the main reason for making profits from stock market investing) .
Next, I do not invest in for 3 months, in fact, nothing less than a year. Let me share the concept I have realised about stock market investing from more than two decades of investing.
When you invest in stocks, think that the promoter of the company is asking you to invest money in return of shares of the company. You assess the company, find that its promoters are experienced in the field and are capable and dynamic, the sector is likely to perform well and the business has good demand and is likely to give good returns. So you become part owner of the company. When you invest in a company, it should be with the feeling that `I don`t mind being a partner in this company and I am so impressed by it that I can even bet my money on it`. If such is the case, then I am sure you can never invest in a share for just three months. You will agree that you have to give a company at least a year to perform.
Next, even while you invest in a company for at least a year, do keep taking your profits out in case the share price rises abnormally fast. And such money that you keep taking out, should ideally not be invested back in shares. Try to plough it out into fixed deposits, income schemes of mutual funds, real estate or just spend it all up the way you like. Money made in stocks should ideally not be invested back in stocks. However, if you are a hard core stock addict, you can get back to buying your favourite stocks, but only in a mindless, sharp correction that amazes everyone like the present one. The fact that like rains, they do come every few months - just that you need to wait patiently for a few months for them.
Next, if you have been investing in stocks for many years by now, check out honestly if you are actually making money in stocks and outperforming the indices.If you seem not to do even as good as the Sensex or Nifty, it is best that you invest in stocks through a good mutual fund. The time and effort that you save by not directly investing in stocks can be best used to undertake your hobbies, listening to music or anything else that you feel like doing.
Why I say so is because you got to be investing directly in stocks as much for the learning it provides by reading about companies and businesses as for the profits you plan to make. Only if you adopt such an attitude will you do your own research and reading before you buy each share and try to be your own master rather than invest purely because someone else suggested you to do so.
If you find substance in what I said ( I don`t insist that you agree with me fully, but even in parts is fine) you can ask me for some long term ideas worth investing in.
Is that a deal?...
Addressed to aloka27, alwaysbetter, Dakshina murthy, world investor, ashalanshu, Ashtrix, avijitb, a_senthil_pvi, bhusbhac, bubbu64, BullSheetRules, Callahan, callnput, chief_kamani, cooldoom, deepakkukreja, dipakgod, dixitr, fmcgbites, garret, googol, guptaone, hansal77, headstead, hindlevernet, DREAM-MODEST, hsnmf, jaggihs, jalunm, patience, jasavi, jignersh desai, a2k2bug, kanth15, kekanaje, kinchit s mehta, pup, Valid_Data, preacher, mitz, LEO THE LION, newbieinvestor, maximindia, mukut, nagu75, naugtyboy, netdo, Nish, nitin024, Nodick, WALNUT, nvj999, pallavac, panasonic, pitquote, pkjattking, pms.swastika, marketman, investor11, prjayachandran, pss5588, NAUGHTY007, radhika_nandlal, Neeraj kumar, Ritesh_kg, rajkishore420, rajvil, GOLD FINGER, jaisankar, rupesh711in, rvk41, chchch, sauravsachin, subasu, sd3, Sahil1984, shareking.co.in, Bist, Option Analyst, aamaadmi, souravkundu, RamBhole, Barat, sukhoi37, sumit22gupta, supreet34, totalview, Money_Bear+Bull, valuepick, vam_aru, Varner, tara23, vinoo123, xyz_indian, tally
Thanks Anjum ji,
Regards,
Manish Bothra,
Kolkata....
Kingfisher Air
Reply By gundray
Date: 19th Jun, 2009 - 19:27
BSE: Rs 51.95 ( -1.24 % ), NSE: Rs. 52.00 ( -1.23 % )
oh yes you can avg at 52 levels all airline stock will be reaching to new highs before budget because in budget fdi for foreign airlines will be given permission to take stake in indian carriers so traders and punters will take risk so kingfisher will move faster then others 75 not ruled out before budget...
If you are bearish on the Nifty - Then short Nifty and buy approprite call options.
The futures move in tandem with the spot - sometime with discount and other times a slight premium.
If the market rises as it did today. Your loss on the futures would be partially offset by the gains on the options.
Once Nifty hits key resistence levels - you can have a hard stop loss on the call option to protect the gains in them.
If u had shorted at 3220 - your stop loss should have been few points over the key resistence around 3050-3075 zone.
...
Dear anjum64,
Thank you dear friend for the appreciation.
I write less these days but will definitely write when i feel TURNING is around.
Current turning is up thus now when downward turning will be anticipated by me in future, i will definitely let my friends know. Read my homepage.
Bottoms , accumulations of MONTHS and then HIGHER BOTTOM confirmations , QUARTERLY Candle formations , simple 3 day, week, month moving averages, buy above open with stoploss at open and sell below open with stoploss at open is the mantra,clear logical unbiased mind will always see the path ahead clearly while others will be feeling they are in the mist of uncertainty.
warm regards
Vipul Lashkari...
I agree 100% with Mr.Malyali that the bear trap has been set.The world markets are going to see a gradual upmove from Monday.All shorts should be covered & be ready to profit from a gradual bullish market. ...
Addressed to anjum64, basruru, bgvijay, blueinc, chief_kamani, a4patel, dwbull, dineshsahay, guruguru, here2trade, hindlevernet, hsnmf, kadiyali, kapil_investor, KJR, Kushal, mannish, MMB Moderator, MMB Messenger, nimesh.chandra, nitin024, GUJARATHI, novice1000, polavarapuad, radhika_nandlal, redbull, rrenji, sambala, KotakInvestment, just_born, Udayan Mukherjee, aahoo, tara23, vkk43
Repeating once again for you, KJR...
I`ve already given my fans/friends, how to tackle & drain today`s market, crystal clearly... yea, crystal clearly ???
Today(06/03/09 : Friday : Last trading day of 1st week of March, 2009), I posted...
(1). This is what I`ll call, NIFTY`s BOTTOMING OUT PROCEDURE... (means, NIFTY WILL bottom out, today 06/03/09)
(2). BUY NIFTY on *****OR***** after 5th of March, 2009... (after 5th of March, 2009 means, today 06/03/09)
(3). Its a *****MUST***** to cover all the SHORT positions before 2nd week of March, 2009... (before 2nd week of March, 2009 means, today 06/03/09).
(4). 2nd week of March, 2009 IS BULLISH... (means, BUY NIFTY on last trading session of 1st week of March, 2009, means... today 06/03/09).
(5). Today(06/03/09), DOW/NASDAQ/S&P.500 *****WILL***** slip again... but it *****WILL***** be the last slip.
MALAYALI : aggressive BUYING not recommended, means... cautious BUYING recommended, deploy your 10% cash in today(06/03/09) market... today, I`ll BUY just 80 Lots Nifty Futures APRIL 2009 Series... & that`s cautious BUYING
...
Spanco
Posted by : anjum64
Date :4th Nov, 2009 - 11:27
BSE: Rs 53.50 ( 1.61 % )
dear PRJ
thanks for the detailed reply on stock investing. it has really changed my mindset and now i am not afraid to invest for the longterm. its true, if you plant a sapling you have to give it time to grow into a tree. please recomend a few good stocks for which i shall be thankfull to you. Take care....
Spanco
Posted by : anjum64
Date :2nd Nov, 2009 - 17:35
BSE: Rs 51.40 ( -1.25 % )
dear PRJ,
after the-market melt down please suggest 3 stocks to invest in for 3 months which can give good returns. thanks....
dearPRJ
i have been a silent reader of your messages and appreciate your immense knowledge. i want to invest 1 lac in shares.please guide me wether i should invest all the money now or should i wait for a correction? Please give names of 3 shares for short term & medium term for a 25 % gain. Thanks...
Godawari Power
Posted by : anjum64
Date :13th Oct, 2009 - 11:12
BSE: Rs 165.30 ( -1.64 % ), NSE: Rs. 165.75 ( -1.49 % )
DearRajkishore420
I have benefited from your calls. Just wanted to say THANK YOU....
dear mannish,
all three calls were great.keep it up and thanks...
very good calls iguest. keep up the good work of helping all boarders. thanks...
Kingfisher Air
Posted by : anjum64
Date :18th Jun, 2009 - 12:31
BSE: Rs 55.15 ( 1.38 % ), NSE: Rs. 55.00 ( 1.20 % )
i have kingfisher air at 68/= what should i do now, average or not?...
|