158.33
It is a realistic budget and has an expenditure-led fiscal stimulus which is positive for domestic demand and medium-term growth. The budget is also largely tax neutral which is positive for both growth and inflation expectations. The budget has worked with a nominal GDP growth assumption of 10% which is fair given the slow start to monsoons this fiscal year. The equity and bond markets have reacted to a high fiscal deficit as it has implications for monetary policy and the interest rate environment. However, if growth does pick up on the back of the fiscal and monetary stimuli, and divestments (no major revenue assumptions made in budget) materialize, it could be positive for India’s fiscal position.
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