In July 2010, IDFC got the Infrastructure Finance Company (IFC) status
within the NBFC category from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). We
leveraged this status to raise debt capital through the issue of
infrastructure bonds. As a measure of our efforts to widen our reach
among ordinary households, we raised Rs. 1,451 crore from over 7.3 lakh
retail investors. In addition, the IFC status, by allowing us to raise
capital through External Commercial Borrowing (ECB), has also opened
access to a new class of international debt finance agencies. Going
forward, we would use our new relationship with these foreign financial
institutions to leverage capital in forms other than ECBs, including
rupee bonds.
This year IDFC entered the list of top 50 Indian companies in the
Standard & Poors Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance (ESG)
India Index. Our presence on this Index is an indicator to our
investors that their portfolio is consciously balancing the interests
of all stakeholders, thereby creating a platform for strong long-term
performance.
Complementing our core activities in financing infrastructure
development in the country, we have carved out our development agenda
under the rubric of the IDFC
Foundation. The Foundation has now been registered as a company under
Section 25 of the Companies Act, 1956, which deals with not-for-profit
companies. IDFC will support the Foundation through a certain
percentage of its profits every year. The Foundation will also be able
to raise more third-party non- commercial development funds for
activities such as training government employees and advising the
government in policy matters, one of the prime objectives behind the
setting up of IDFC. Moreover, I am happy to inform you that IDFC
actively continues to contribute to the policy formulation and
development strategies of several sectors. IDFC has been nominated on
several committees set up by the Union Government including in the
transport sector, on electricity distribution, urban water and
sanitation, and several financial sector reform committees.
Notwithstanding a good financial year, there are serious challenges
mounting in the infrastructure sector. Lack of effective governance and
policy/regulatory uncertainty is perhaps the biggest challenge facing
not just the infrastructure sectors, but the country at large.
Corruption issues that came to the fore in the past year have had a
serious negative fall-out. Besides eroding investor confidence, the
working environment has become more difficult due to extreme risk
aversion in decision-making and consequent delays.
In the power sector, the impact of poor governance by states, lack of
political will for reforms, and stalled regulatory processes is leading
to a critical situation. This is clearly a matter of concern since this
is a priority sector accounting for nearly one-third of the projected
investments in infrastructure during the Eleventh Five Year Plan. The
private sectors role has been growing in power generation capacity, as
evidenced by the increase in its share in capacity addition from 13% in
the Tenth Five Year Plan to 30% in the first four years of the Eleventh
Five Year Plan. While an additional 40,000 MW is expected to be
commissioned in the next four years, effectively doubling existing
private sector installed generation capacity, there could well be a
slowing down of this new capacity coming on-stream. Essentially, this
is due to two key risks that the sector is facing – fuel risk and
off-taker risk. As a result, many thermal plants are operating below
capacity and the commissioning of some new ones is being delayed.
On the fuel risk, shortfalls in domestic coal supply have emerged as a
major speed-breaker to electricity production. Despite having the
fourth largest coal reserves in the world, our power sector cannot get
the coal it needs. Coal Indias production has been unable to keep pace
with the increase in domestic coal-based power capacity. A firm
commitment for the supply of domestic coal in the form of a Fuel Supply
Agreement is difficult for power developers to obtain and the agreement
is skewed in favour of the fuel supplier, leaving the developer with
great uncertainty and limited recourse. Given the recent increased pace
of power generation capacity addition and the substantial project
pipeline, the coal demand-supply gap is only likely to worsen. To meet
the incremental coal demand from the power sector alone, we estimate
that domestic coal production has to increase annually by 11% as
against a historical average growth rate of 6%. Failure to keep up with
rising demand will increase our dependence on imported coal to achieve
desired capacity utilisation levels (plant load factors) which, in
turn, would imply an increase in the cost of generation and
vulnerability to global fluctuations in coal prices and freight
charges. I must add here that the reliance on imported coal to improve
capacity utilisation of existing domestic coal-based power plants is,
of course, limited by the technology already locked into, as well as
the available infrastructure capacity, mainly ports and road and rail
connectivity. It is therefore urgent to solve the fuel problem so as
not to have stranded assets.
The expected increase in the cost of power generation brings to the
fore another key challenge facing the power sector – the stalling of
tariff reforms. Tariff revisions have not kept pace with the rising
fuel prices. Some State governments, on their part, have been reluctant
to levy even nominal user charges for large consumer categories such as
agriculture, while resisting attempts to rationalise electricity
tariffs for other categories such as domestic consumers. The total
amount due to State governments decision to subsidise such consumer
categories more than doubled in 3 years from Rs. 12,233 crore in 2005-06
to Rs. 29,665 crore in 2008-09, and has increased even further over the
two subsequent years. This clearly has an impact on the fiscal
position of State governments. In fact, because of the constrained
fiscal situation, the subsidy payments by State governments have not
matched their commitments, with consequent cash losses having to be
incurred by the discoms (distribution companies). All three factors –
delays in tariff revisions, increasing subsidy burden, and shortfalls
in subsidy payments from State governments – have contributed to the
poor financial health of the discoms as characterised by their
increasing cash losses, which have risen to an estimated Rs. 70,000 crore
or 0.9% of GDP in 2010-11, up from 0.4% of GDP in 2004-05. This is
despite several discoms bringing about operational improvements and
reducing their Aggregate Technical & Commercial (AT&C) losses. As a
result, some discoms have resorted to load- shedding rather than
purchasing power. This has led to the investor community arguing
strongly in favour of urgent corrective action to deal with such
off-taker risks. After all, it reflects a serious crisis of governance
that consumers have to face blackouts when power generators have
surplus power that is not purchased because the State-owned discoms are
bleeding financially. It is thus critical that effective regulatory
action keep pace with the changing market and economic conditions to
ensure the long-term viability of the sector.
These challenges in the power sector underscore the need to escalate
our efforts in harnessing renewable energy sources and reducing our
dependence on increasingly expensive fossil fuel based power
generation. An increased share of clean and renewable energy sources
in the nations energy portfolio would have a double dividend –
mitigating a critical constraint to our continued growth and
development, as well as lowering greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and
local pollution. Electricity sources such as wind and solar energy,
which do not have the fuel supply risks associated with coal-based
power plants, also benefit from a favourable regulatory and policy
regime. Here initiatives such as feed-in tariffs for renewable energy
and capital subsidies for construction of the renewable power plants go
a long way in mitigating the risks associated with thermal power
plants. As electricity generation constitutes the bulk of our GHG
inventory (38%), even the co-benefits from such a strategy are
significant. The recently released Kirit Parikh Committee Report on Low
Carbon Strategies for Inclusive Growth estimates that nearly 145
million tonnes of CO2, over 9% of the baseline emissions in 2020, could
be reduced in electricity supply with aggressive efforts to increase
the share of clean coal, nuclear, wind and solar energy in our
electricity generation mix.
Besides the larger governance issues afflicting the infrastructure
sector, project execution risks have grown, especially difficulties in
land acquisition, and unaddressed environmental and social impacts.
Environmental and social impacts of power, mining and other major
infrastructure projects continue to be significant. Several large
projects have been held up for both these reasons, including some of
the proposed Ultra Mega Power Plants (UMPPs). Delays in land
acquisition, environmental clearances, and declaration of several
resource-rich but ecologically sensitive areas as No-go areas have
also contributed to the tardiness in developing coal mines.
The strict application of the Go – No Go Area policy by the Ministry
of Environment and Forests points to how critical the environmental
challenge is. Much of the untapped resources lie in areas that are more
sensitive, both ecologically and socially. It is crucial that a clear,
sustainable development policy emerge to address this apparent deadlock
between environmental conservation and social inclusion on one hand and
infrastructure development on the other. Further, the processes of
environmental clearances need to allow for greater engagement with
local civil society right from the inception and planning stages to
ensure some ownership and effective participation of local populations.
Moreover, schemes and projects need to be designed whereby local
populations also share in the benefits from infrastructure development.
Unless the execution risks associated with environmental and land
acquisition issues are resolved urgently, it will be difficult to
sustain even the current pace of infrastructure development.
While the challenges at hand are clearly significant and require urgent
action, there is no doubt that the targeted GDP growth of 9-9.5%
envisaged in the Twelfth Five Year Plan would depend crucially on
increased investments in the infrastructure sectors. This is also
recognised in the issues for approach to the Twelfth Plan, which argues
for a reprioritisation in the allocation of resources in favour of
social and economic infrastructure sectors, and a greater role for
public private partnerships in infrastructure development alongwith
urgent attention to policy and institutional bottlenecks. Thus, the
medium to long-term outlook does present significant growth
opportunities. IDFC, being a key player in bringing together private
financing of infrastructure projects, would continue to play an
important role.
My colleagues at IDFC recognise that we have to enhance and expand our
efforts in the coming years and meet the high performance expectations
that the nation has come to expect from IDFC. Here I would like to
thank my colleagues for the efforts put in this year.
DEEPAK S. PAREKH
Chairman
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