I have great pleasure in presenting to you the 17th annual report of
your Company. the year that went by has been generally uneventful.
though USA is on the path of recovery, unemployment and other problems,
still plague the country. Europe has had its share of worries with
financial meltdown in PIIGS countries hounded the entire Global
economy, albeit temporarily. Growth of Asian economies and their fast
paced turnaround is heartening and holds hope for all concerned.
Indian story though is spectacular. GDP growth is heart-cockling and
India is seen as a rising super power in the times to come. However,
the growth is uneven. While as few states are doing extremely well,
there are a few states who are laggards and are languishing. What India
needs is an all round inclusive growth and not the growth in few
pockets of society. the surfacing of scams of huge magnitudes recently
is a matter of shame and regardless of who they are, the guilty must be
exposed and should be handed over exemplary punishment.
Sugar Industry:
The sugar industry globally is on a roller-coaster ride. After two
years of defcit production, sugar stocks stand depleted. the global
sugar balance continues to be tight and weather has impacted sugar
production in key sugar geographies. Volume of sugarcane milled may not
reach the ambitious projection made earlier. production in India holds
the key for world sugar balance. polices of Indian Government in
allowing export of sugar out of India would play a significant role.
let me jog your memory and recapitulate chronologically the unfolding
of events during the year which saw wild swings in the fortunes of
those associated with the Industry.
Heavy rainfall in south Central region Brazil had already dented the
sugarcane production in Brazil. Indian sugar season started with a
prediction of sugar production of 15 million tons. the union Government
also introduced path breaking concept of Fair & Remunerative price
(FRP) for sugarcane in lieu of the historical SMP. the intention of
Government was noble as SMP over a period of time had lost its
relevance and for many states it was merely a number. Central
Government announced F & R p of Rs 129.84 linked to a recovery of
9.50%. However state government of Uttar Pradesh in the meantime
announced SAP of Rs 165 per quintal. the farmers launched an agitation
and virtually laid a seize over the national capital demanding price of
Rs 280 per quintal.
The Uttar Pradesh sugar Manufactures Association in the meantime
announced a price of Rs 190 per quintal which included incentive of Rs 25
per quintal. though crushing started what followed thereafter was an
act of virtual hara-kiri by sugar mills as mills competed with one
another to pay higher price for cane procured.
production estimate of 15 million tons gained credence and was
considered sacrosanct. Domestic sugar prices zoomed to a high of Rs
4,200 per quintal in January, 2010 while international price of raw
sugar skyrocketed to a historical high of 33 cents per pound as India
was seen as a potentially big importer.
Threat of lower sugarcane availability, higher international prices and
higher domestic prices resulted in frenzied clamor for sugarcane and
all mills competed with one another in paying higher and higher price
for sugarcane. unscrupulous poaching of sugarcane from areas of other
sugar mills became rampant. Mere rumor that the price has been
increased by one sugar mills sparked further price war and the effect
was cascading. eventually, sugarcane prices stayed put at elevated
levels. While higher sugarcane price got established, the domestic
prices started tumbling. It dawned on the country that the production
of sugar was in fact not so low but reasonable. unabated import sugar
also flooded the sugar important. More importantly Central Government
fearing political backlash on account of higher food infation indulged
in political posturing and initiated a series of measures which dealt
brutal blow to the market sentiments and the price of sugar were on a
downward spiral thereafter.
When the crushing season ended, actual production numbers were at huge
variance with the estimates. Indian sugar production was 18.8 million
tons, more than 25% of the estimated production of 15 million tons.
Import of raw sugar couple with higher production tilted the Indian
Sugar balance and in what was expected to be defcit year turned out to
be not defcit at all. While the sugar price fall gathered momentum,
sugarcane price had already fastened at a level of Rs 250 per quintal.
Resultantly the pockets of sugar industry developed huge fissures and
their economics are in a state of disarray.
Few developments have been thought provoking and needs industrys
introspection. Firstly, the authenticity of the estimates: Year after
year, it has been proved the production estimates are not credible and
have more often than not gone haywire. secondly, the lack of discipline
on the part of industry: little did the industry realize the high
sugarcane price payment started in the middle of season was
irreversible. thirdly, poaching of sugarcane is a myopic strategy:
Eventually, cane development alone will bear sustainable benefits.
There are lessons for those of us in the industry to learn, to do soul
searching and see that the gaffes are not repeated least they will
torment the industry for all times to come. there is no grudging the
fortune of farmers who have received higher price for their produce. In
fact their interests and their development & prosperity are integral
and crucial for the growth of industry. Without the well being of
farmers, the industry cannot thrive. However, what is required is long
term cohesive policy and not spurts of high payments in one year and
defaults in another year.
It is difficult to prophesize the outcome of the season 2010-11. While
the Global sugar balance is again expected to be tight as the
production of sugar in most countries has suffered for one reason or
the other, there is buoyancy in India. production in India is estimated
to be about 25.5 million and tons and the Indian sugar balance
comfortable. Global sugar prices though are on a high and breached all
historical highs. prices which had touched a high of 33 cents per pound
in January, 2010 started falling rapidly. However, there is resurgence
in sugar price globally and the price presently prevailing is again 33
cents per pound for raw sugar and in excess of 800 USD per ton of white
sugar. In the meantime, the state Government of Uttar Pradesh has
announced SAP of Rs 205 per quintal for the year 2010-11.
There indeed is a strong case for allowing exports. In the absence of
credible estimates of sugar production for the year 2010-11, Government
wanted to tread cautiously and therefore made a small yet decisive
beginning by announcing export of 500,000 tons of sugar. However, the
recent rise in price of onions and tomatoes and food inflation in
excess of 18% has once again compelled to the Government to rethink on
allowability of exports. least the export of sugar stokes domestic
sugar prices and thereby fuel further inflation, the Government has
kept the matter of import in abeyance and has referred the matter to
empowered Group of Ministers.
In the aftermath of food inflation, the issue of deregulation is once
again swept under the carpet, though the time was most opportune for
implementing deregulation. From the industry perspective, the business
of sugar has become fait-accompli business. on the buy side, state
Government decides at what price sugarcane will be produced and what
will be the area from which sugarcane will be procured. on the sell
side, Central Government decides the quantity of sugar that each sugar
mill will sell every month. the industry operates in a water tight
situation. the situation is complicated by the requirement that
industry must subsidize the sale of sugar in public Distribution
system. 10% of production of every sugar mill is required to be offered
for PDS at significantly below cost of production. There is neither
scope for smart buying nor scope for smart selling. sugar perhaps
remains the only regulated industry in the Country.
Certain factors assume critical importance for the growth of the
industry. they are:
1. Having credible estimates of production so that policy makers can
frame policies for the growth of the industry.
2. stopping diversion of sugarcane for alternative sweetners such as
Jaggery and Khandasari. While production of Jaggery and Khandasari
sugar are a national waste and cause huge drag on the national
exchequer, diversion of sugarcane to them leads to misleading estimates
of sugar production
3. Doing away with the requirement of subsidizing sugar for PDS.
4. Deregulation: Deregulation of industry is the only long-lasting
solution for the problems engulfng the industry. While deregulation
will encourage effciency, it will separate the chalk from cheese as the
ineffcient sugar companies will be weeded out from business. Industry
will then be able to plan long term and execute the plans accordingly.
5. linking of sugarcane price to that of sugar: this is a time tested
formula followed successfully in many countries. It needs to be
replicated in India.
6. Focus on cane development: Mills should focus on cane development
and should channelize their resources for enduring benefits rather than
frittering them away for short term gains, such as poaching of
sugarcane from neighboring sugar mills.
7. Improve efflciency at plant levels and increase recovery and help
farmers improve yield of sugarcane at farm levels. Improvement in farm
yields will help sugar industry to optimally utilize their capacity.
Interests of sugar mills and farmers are complementary to each other.
together they can prosper and not at the cost of one another.
DWARIKESH PERFORMANCE :
The year gone by was a difficult year. While it started on a promising
note it ended on a dismal note. A very simple number crunching will
succinctly sum up the operations of the year. You Company crushed 1.9
million tons of sugarcane. While the SAP announced was Rs 165 per
quintal, UPSMA decided to pay Rs 190 per quintal. However, eventually
industry ended up paying on an average Rs 250 per quintal of sugarcane.
extra payment made per quintal of sugarcane when translated for the
total quantity of sugarcane crushed out to a mind boggling number and
sums up the story very candidly.
Quarterly results have witnessed wild swings. While the first quarter
was the best, the last quarter exactly the opposite. Factors and
circumstances were beyond control and only thing under control was
efficiency and it is a matter of pride that we have been efficient in
operating our plants. DN plant once again held the coveted position of
clocking the highest recovery in the state of Uttar Pradesh. Recovery
at Dp plant also is among the highest. efforts are made on large scale
to improve the recovery at DD plant. While the plant is among the best
in the country, the varietal sugar balance is being changed and efforts
are made to help farmers grow improved variety of sugarcane. efforts
and resources are dedicated to DD unit so that it is also in the same
league as other plants.
Your Company is continuing to focus on power generation and is
developing power as an important driver its business module. there is
already a paradigm shift in the business module of the Company and
contribution power revenue in revenue stream of the Company is
handsome.
CONClUDING NOTE
I take this opportunity to thank all our members of the staff, our
bankers and all officials for their co-operation extended during the
year. on behalf of the Board, let me assure all stakeholders that we
continue to strive hard with shareholders interest in the forefront
and I am confdent of enriching your worth in the years to come.
Thank you.
Gautam R. Morarka
(Chairman and Managing Director)
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