As I wrote in last years annual report, India is back on the growth
path. Of course, there are different views about this growth - whether
we can soon transit to over 9%, or whether we will be hovering around
the 8% mark until we conquer infrastructural bottlenecks, or the extent
to which growth prospects can get affected by persistent inflation and
consequential increases in the interest rate by the Reserve Bank of
India. All of us are debating these issues. However, nobody that I
know of denies the fact that India has smartly recovered from the
consequences of the global financial and economic crisis; and that
there is enough entrepreneurial energy throughout the country to
generate at least 8% real GDP growth.
There is another thing that none can deny. It is the terrible shortage
of power throughout India, and the urgent need to build - and get on
stream - thermal, hydro, nuclear and renewable power plants with
associated transmission and distribution infrastructure throughout the
land.
Consider the facts. In 2010-11, India as a whole suffered from a peak
demand deficit of 9.8%. Every region faced power deficits. Among the
more industrialised parts of the nation, Western India was the worst
off with a peak demand deficit of 14.7%; followed by Northern at 8.9%;
then Southern at 6.4%; and Eastern at 5%. The worst was the North East
where the peak deficit was 18.5%.
There are three reasons for this universally persistent shortfall.
First, generation capacities have not grown fast enough. Indeed, the
difference between planned and actual is huge. For instance, the actual
cumulative capacity addition over the last five years is around 50% of
what was planned. Second, the transmission infrastructure remains weak.
Despite efforts to achieve better grid connectivity, there is a major
gap between targets and achievement. Third, distribution still remains
an area of concern in most parts of India. Distribution loss, in
monetary terms, is huge.
If India is to achieve consistent 9% plus GDP growth over the next
decade, it has to improve the power infrastructure at a rapid pace.
Yet, as it stands today, there are some critical constraints. Let me
share with you a few of these. Despite the seeming investment boom in
the power sector, I am concerned about some issues.
In the first place, most of the private sector thermal power projects
were based on assumptions of high merchant power tariffs and off- take.
The rates have crashed, typically to levels well below those that were
assumed in preparing the feasibility studies. Thus, the presumed basis
for profitability of many private power projects - where high merchant
tariffs and demand would more than compensate for low state electricity
board (SEB) tariffs and payouts - seems to have got stuck. Merchant
power is offering less per unit than anticipated; and most SEBs have
neither the money nor the financial ability to adequately pay for
power. Thus, power projects that planned for a blended tariff rate of
over Rs.3.60 per unit are under risk; and those who planned at Rs.5 and
above are completely unviable.
Then there is the issue of coal linkage. As many thermal power projects
are discovering to their dismay, coal linkages often exist only on
paper - but not in reality. Moreover, with steady increase in coal
prices world-wide and with Indias largest public sector supplier of
coal having become more income sensitive now that it is a listed
company, the price of coal is getting higher than planned. And the
existing buyers of power are not necessarily interested in underwriting
that higher price.
Finally, there is the problem of grid connectivity. Even if a power
plant got assured coal, it would have to connect its perishable product
to the national grid. That is proving to be a problem in many regions,
especially remote power plants that, while being close to mine
pitheads, are far removed from the main inter-state transmission lines.
Power, therefore, is an opportunity - but not an opportunity for all
and sundry. One has to know the business; one has to have serious
expertise; one must have adequate back-stops at all levels; and,
ideally, one has to own the distribution.
This is where your Company scores over many others. CESC generates as
well as distributes. Its generating stations at Budge Budge, Southern,
Titagarh and New Cossipore cumulatively generate 1,225 MW, which feeds
into the Companys distribution grid for meeting the power needs of
Kolkata and its neighbourhoods. CESC is a utility company that services
over 2.5 million customers. Last year alone, it added around 1.2 lakh
customers - an increase of over 25% over the previous year. In spite of
a significant increase in peak demand to 1,686 MW, your Company was
able to maintain its high standards in the availability and reliability
of power.
It is this combination of generation and distribution that has allowed
your Company to be relatively insulated from the increasing
uncertainties of the power sector which I have outlined above.
Consequently, CESC has done well financially. During 2010-11, your
Companys earnings from sale of electricity increased by 19.7% over
last year to reach Rs.3,940 crore. Including other income, total income
grew by 18.7% to Rs.4,092 crore. Profit before depreciation and
taxation (PBDT) grew by 21.2% to Rs. 882 crore during the year. Profit
after taxes (PAT) for 2010-11 increased by 12.7% to Rs.488 crore. These
are sound results.
The 2 x 300 MW coal fired thermal power project at Haldia (West Bengal)
is progressing well. All requisite clearances and investment approval
are in place. Coal linkages have been secured. The project is scheduled
to be completed by the end of 2013-14. The 2 X 300 MW coal fired
thermal power project at Chandrapur (Maharashtra) is also progressing
according to schedule. We have also entered the solar energy space at
Bikaner (Rajasthan), to understand the business and create necessary
expertise in an area that promises to be significant in the future.
May I, on behalf of you and the Board of Directors, congratulate your
Companys management for achieving strong financial and operational
results in 2010-11Rs. I feel proud of being the Chairman of an enterprise
that does so well in power generation and distribution. May it
progress. Finally, my thanks to you for your support and good wishes.
R P Goenka
24 June 2011 Chairman
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